35319 Downing Ave · North Ridgeville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic Home On Park Like Yard. Newer Kitchen W/ Appliances, Main Bth, Landscaping W/ Grnd Lighting, Gar Dr Opener, Pool Covers & Accessories. Lg Fam Rm W/ Full Wall Gas Fireplace & Wood Ceiling. Play Rm Or Den Off Fam Rm. Out Bldg W/ Electric. Spacious Covered Deck. Play Area W/ Wood Play Station.
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1977
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (12.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (21.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.3% in North Ridgeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#305 in OH, #4,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- North Ridgeville City (suburban): math 49% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #339 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $300k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.95%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $364,447
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -17.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35177 Schoolhouse Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 2,125 (+1%) | 8mo | $421,000 | $198 | 80 |
| 5249 Manchester Cir | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 2,264 (+7%) | 7mo | $310,000 | $137 | 75 |
| 35748 Mills Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 2,203 (+4%) | 11mo | $455,000 | $207 | 67 |
| 5216 Dana Pl | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,880 (-11%) | 7mo | $321,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 35271 Downing Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,892 (-10%) | 10mo | $273,000 | $144 | 63 |
| 35217 Nikki Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (-12%) | 12mo | $318,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 5020 Avon Belden Rd | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,008 (-5%) | 9mo | $285,900 | $142 | 61 |
| 35191 Schoolhouse Ln | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,284 (+8%) | 10mo | $388,000 | $170 | 59 |
| 5327 Jaycox Rd | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,034 (-4%) | 12mo | $577,000 | $284 | 58 |
| 35835 Baldauf Xing | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,227 (+6%) | 2mo | $600,414 | $270 | 56 |
| 5528 Robert Ct | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,218 (+5%) | 7mo | $380,000 | $171 | 51 |
| 36351 Mills Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,834 (-13%) | 8mo | $480,000 | $262 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-61,699
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-70,529
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44039
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,341 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$358 /mo · $4,297/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $-206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-36 | -5% $-121 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-291 | +10% $-376 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-391 | -5% $-299 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-114 | +10% $-21 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-55 | -0.5pp $-130 | base $-206 | +0.5pp $-284 | +1.0pp $-363 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4710 Jaycox Rd Avon, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,299 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5922 Albert Ave North Ridgeville, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1588 | $2,125 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 748-char remark
-
2026-05-11status Active 748-char remark
-
2026-05-04status Pending 748-char remark
-
2026-05-02$299,900 Active 748-char remark
-
2003-07-25soldstatus $169,500 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Fantastic Home On Park Like Yard. Newer Kitchen W/ Appliances, Main Bth, Landscaping W/ Grnd Lighting, Gar Dr Opener, Pool Covers & Accessories. Lg Fam Rm W/ Full Wall Gas Fireplace & Wood Ceiling. Play Rm Or Den Off Fam Rm. Out Bldg W/ Electric. Spacious Covered Deck. Play Area W/ Wood Play Station.
-
2003-07-25soldstatus $169,500
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Fantastic Home On Park Like Yard. Newer Kitchen W/ Appliances, Main Bth, Landscaping W/ Grnd Lighting, Gar Dr Opener, Pool Covers & Accessories. Lg Fam Rm W/ Full Wall Gas Fireplace & Wood Ceiling. Play Rm Or Den Off Fam Rm. Out Bldg W/ Electric. Spacious Covered Deck. Play Area W/ Wood Play Station.
-
2003-05-19$166,500 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Fantastic Home On Park Like Yard. Newer Kitchen W/ Appliances, Main Bth, Landscaping W/ Grnd Lighting, Gar Dr Opener, Pool Covers & Accessories. Lg Fam Rm W/ Full Wall Gas Fireplace & Wood Ceiling. Play Rm Or Den Off Fam Rm. Out Bldg W/ Electric. Spacious Covered Deck. Play Area W/ Wood Play Station.
-
1997-05-19historical
-
1997-02-19soldstatus $127,000
-
1996-11-19$129,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,297 · $358/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,488 · $374/mo
- Expected delta
- +$191/yr (+$16/mo · 4.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$4,297
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,248
- − Management
- −$2,248
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$7,720
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,853
- After-tax cash flow
- $-621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Ridgeville City
- NCES district ID
- 3904453
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,437
- Composite
- 48.46/100
- National rank
- #2130
- State rank
- #339 of 656 in OH
Livability — North Ridgeville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #305
- US rank
- #4924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Ridgeville, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 36,780
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,780
- Household income
- $96,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 207.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.14%
- Current HPI
- 210.6074
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+130.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-02 Listed $299,900 MLSNOW
- 2003-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $169,500 Public Records
- 2003-07-25 Sold (MLS) $169,500 MLSNOW
- 2003-05-19 Listed $166,500 MLSNOW
- 1997-05-19 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1997-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
- 1996-11-19 Listed $129,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,297 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…