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6307 Wealthy Ln
D- Composite 38.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

6307 Wealthy Ln · Zephyrhills North, FL 33542
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 231 Days on market
Built 1984 4,194 sqft lot Est $103k · 40% over $140/mo HOA · 9% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

IT'S ALL ABOUT LIFESTYLE!!! Come check out the Beautiful, Furnished and Move-In Ready HOME in Country Aire Village (55+). This is a co-operative Mobile Home Community with LOW ($140) monthly fees which include cable TV and internet also water & sewer. This community offer a busy activities calendar with concerts on the 5 Acre. This Home has been beautifully remodeled with loads of up-grades. For a single wide, this is boasting with loads of space Enjoy this perfect location right in the HEART of C. A. V. The recreational hall is right across the street as well as the heated pool and Pickle Ball court. This beautifully home boasts pride of ownership and Florida active living. This hom

Key facts

  • Recreational hall
  • Pickle ball court
  • Heated pool

Tags

LOW HOA FEERECREATIONAL HALLHEATED POOLPICKLE BALL COURTMODERN OPEN FLOOR PLANNEW EASY CLEAN CABINETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Furnished; Total living area reported (estimated) 1280 sq ft; Building area total 1968 sq ft; Total acreage: less than 1/4 acre
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply; Annual taxes listed
  • HOA & community: Association required (Bonnie) — $140 monthly; Association amenities: Cable TV, Clubhouse, Gated community, Laundry, Pickleball court(s), Pool, Recreation facilities, Sauna, Shuffleboard court, Spa/Hot Tub, Tennis court(s); Association fee includes: Cable TV, Common area taxes, Pool, Escrow reserves, Internet, Management, Private road, Recreational facilities, Sewer, Trash, Water; Association approval required; Community features: Clubhouse, Deed restrictions, Golf carts allowed, Pool, Street lights; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), max pet weight 25 lbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Underground utilities; Sprinkler recycled
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); 1 story; Multi/split levels; Faces south; Completed condition
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.1 acre lot
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Rain gutters; Irrigation equipment; Asphalt road; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Water filtration system
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#787 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.60%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$103,488
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39153 Hillcrest Dr 0.17mi 2/1.5 (-1) 932 (+1%) 5mo $70,000 $75 80
6246 Midland St 0.41mi 3/2.0 960 (+4%) 4mo $101,000 $105 71
39115 Ola Ave 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (+4%) 1mo $120,000 $125 70
39047 Hillcrest Dr 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 896 (-3%) 8mo $100,000 $112 70
39613 Sterling Dr 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 896 (-3%) 3mo $95,000 $106 65
39652 Elgin Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 960 (+4%) 10mo $143,000 $149 63
39033 Flora Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 903 (-2%) 7mo $85,000 $94 61
39519 Rockford Ave 0.41mi 2/1.5 (-1) 844 (-9%) 11mo $120,000 $142 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-22,140
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-28,517
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33542

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Rents YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,477 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,428/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$140
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,366
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $170 -5% $129 +0% $88 +5% $47 +10% $6
Rent -10% $-29 -5% $30 +0% $88 +5% $146 +10% $205
Rate -1.0pp $161 -0.5pp $125 base $88 +0.5pp $50 +1.0pp $12

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
39132 County Road 54 #2184 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 25d 1 0.31mi
39132 County Rd Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 25d 1 0.32mi
38939 North Ave Unit 2 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 870 $1,300 $1.49 18d 1 0.53mi
38748 Calumet Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 6d 1 0.63mi
5603 Eugene Dr Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 652 $1,049 $1.61 13d 1 0.71mi
5548 Annette St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 652 $1,049 $1.61 13d 1 0.72mi
5532 Jennie St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 862 $1,100 $1.28 13d 1 0.72mi
38942 9th Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,425 $1.68 25d 1 0.74mi
5600 Jennie St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 730 $1,100 $1.51 25d 1 0.74mi
5647 20th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,425 $1.68 25d 1 0.74mi
5552 Annette St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 652 $1,049 $1.61 25d 1 0.76mi
38647 Rose Ln Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 814 $1,350 $1.66 25d 1 0.76mi
38621 Rose Ln Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,495 $1.44 0d 1 0.79mi
5652 18th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 976 $1,200 $1.23 25d 1 0.79mi
5542 20th St Unit 1234473P Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 839 $3,199 $3.81 4d 1 0.84mi
5532 20th St Unit 1234470P Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 839 $7,732 $9.22 0d 1 0.84mi
38485 County Road 54 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 25d 1 0.97mi
6052 10th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 644 $1,200 $1.86 25d 1 1.04mi
6788 Basswood Cir Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1067 $1,250 $1.17 25d 1 1.04mi
38552 9th Ave Zephyrhills, FL 4.0 2.0 1052 $2,100 $2.00 21d 1 1.06mi
38350 Ironwood Pl #5 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1094 $1,800 $1.65 25d 1 1.11mi
39014 South Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,395 $1.66 6d 1 1.38mi
39014 South Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,395 $1.66 0d 1 1.38mi
5028 16th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,545 $1.41 0d 1 1.41mi
5441 6th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,650 $1.63 25d 1 1.47mi
4845 20th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 752 $1,350 $1.80 25d 1 1.48mi
38702 South Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,600 $2.00 25d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$140 · $1,680/yr
Likely covers
watersewerinternetcablepool

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,900 Active 231 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 230 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 229 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 228 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,900 Active 226 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 222 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 221 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,900 Active 220 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $144,900 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $144,900 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,900 Active 215 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 214 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 213 DOM
  14. 2026-01-21
    price $144,900
  15. 2025-12-03
    price $145,000
  16. 2025-10-30
    listed $148,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,428 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,428 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,729
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$1,428
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,418
− Management
−$1,418
− HOA
−$1,680
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$1,272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$305
After-tax cash flow
$1,360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Zephyrhills North

Score
61/100
State rank
#787
US rank
#18026

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Zephyrhills North, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,612
Household income
$49,316
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
831.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.25%
Current HPI
313.3993
Rent YoY
▼ -3.56%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $148,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+18.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,428 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…