305 Dogwood St · Gainesville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Peaceful .42-acre property in a quiet Gainesville setting featuring a mobile home with plenty of potential. This beautiful lot offers privacy, a natural setting, and an excellent opportunity for a future homesite, investment property, or personal retreat. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and everyday amenities while still enjoying the charm and tranquility of North Georgia living.
Key facts
- 0.42 acre lot
- Built 1971
- Listed 35 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric available; Natural gas available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home; One level; Resale condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen features listed; Appliances: Other
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms; No special bedroom features listed
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level); No master bathroom features
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Other interior features; No common walls
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.7% in Gainesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#181 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
- Hall County (rural): math 28% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #81 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Hall Middle School (math 18% / reading 27%, grade F, #327 of 470 statewide, top 70%, 863 students, 66% FRL); West Hall High School (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #348 of 424 statewide, top 83%, 1,241 students, 52% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hall County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; 2,274 units permitted in Hall County in 2024 (620 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hall County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.39%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,397
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -36.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $12,610
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $60,437
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30501
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,556 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $526/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$125,000 Active
-
2026-05-08$125,000 New 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Peaceful .42-acre property in a quiet Gainesville setting featuring a mobile home with plenty of potential. This beautiful lot offers privacy, a natural setting, and an excellent opportunity for a future homesite, investment property, or personal retreat. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and everyday amenities while still enjoying the charm and tranquility of North Georgia living.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $526 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,150 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$624/yr (+$52/mo · 118.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,675
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$526
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,494
- − Management
- −$1,494
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $3,898
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$936
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hall County
- NCES district ID
- 1302610
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,708
- Composite
- 27.15/100
- National rank
- #7029
- State rank
- #81 of 174 in GA
Livability — Gainesville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #11362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hall County · 188,353 people
- City population
- 140,301
- Metro
- Gainesville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,258
- Household income
- $64,175
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2055.0
Population outlook (Hall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,275 people
- By 2030
- 240,204 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 268,440 · +19.2%
- By 2050
- 293,596 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 350,293 · +55.5%
- By 2100
- 389,329 · +72.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 39% Two or more races 18% Black 12% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 35% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.8% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -50.9pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+43.2 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+56.4 2008: R+50.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.22%
- Current HPI
- 286.1181
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.55%
- Metro
- Gainesville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $125,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $526 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…