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620 W Pearson St
B- Composite 66.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

620 W Pearson St · Mexico, MO 65265
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 560 sqft · Other public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1930 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • New siding
  • Community amenities

Tags

NEW WINDOWSNEW FLOORINGNEW PLUMBINGNEW SIDINGEASY ACCESS TO RECREATIONCOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One story; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal siding; Steel siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space basement; Built with one level
  • Exterior features: Patio/porch: Other; Other outdoor structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Trash compactor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: High speed internet
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater; Water heater; Other appliance(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($920 rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.5% in Mexico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#256 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mexico 59 (town): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #229 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hawthorne Elem. (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #751 of 1,115 statewide, top 68%, 429 students, 100% FRL); Mexico Middle (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #260 of 391 statewide, top 67%, 503 students, 100% FRL); Mexico High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 746 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 52% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Audrain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Audrain County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.65%
Cash-on-cash
19.14%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$8,525
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$32,908
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65265

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$920 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $224/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$193
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    listed $69,900 Active
  2. 2022-08-18
    soldstatus 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!

  3. 2021-09-17
    soldstatus 272-char remark
    Show marketing remark (272 chars)

    This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!

  4. 2021-09-08
    listed $30,000 272-char remark
    Show marketing remark (272 chars)

    This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!

  5. 2021-09-01
    listed $30,000 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!

  6. 2021-04-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$224 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$678 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$454/yr (+$38/mo · 202.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,036
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$224
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$883
− Management
−$883
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$2,747
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$659
After-tax cash flow
$3,086/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mexico 59
NCES district ID
2920810
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,152
Composite
29.07/100
National rank
#6601
State rank
#229 of 324 in MO

Livability — Mexico

Score
65/100
State rank
#256
US rank
#12405

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mexico, MO
Population (ZIP)
15,131

Population outlook (Audrain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,791 people
By 2030
28,684 · +3.2%
By 2040
30,598 · +10.1%
By 2050
32,319 · +16.3%
By 2075
36,395 · +31.0%
By 2100
37,277 · +34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Audrain

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.6% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-31.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -47.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.6 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.24%
Current HPI
213.6163
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $69,900 HMMLS
  • 2022-08-18 Sold (MLS) HMMLS
  • 2021-09-17 Sold (MLS) CBORMLS
  • 2021-09-08 Listed $30,000 CBORMLS
  • 2021-09-01 Listed $30,000 HMMLS
  • 2021-04-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $224 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…