620 W Pearson St · Mexico, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!
Key facts
- New plumbing
- New siding
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; One story; Entry level: One
- Construction: Metal siding; Steel siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space basement; Built with one level
- Exterior features: Patio/porch: Other; Other outdoor structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Trash compactor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: High speed internet
- Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater; Water heater; Other appliance(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($920 rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.5% in Mexico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#256 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mexico 59 (town): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #229 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hawthorne Elem. (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #751 of 1,115 statewide, top 68%, 429 students, 100% FRL); Mexico Middle (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #260 of 391 statewide, top 67%, 503 students, 100% FRL); Mexico High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 746 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 52% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Audrain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Audrain County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.14%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $8,525
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $32,908
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65265
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $920 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $224/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-08$69,900 Active
-
2022-08-18soldstatus 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!
-
2021-09-17soldstatus 272-char remark
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!
-
2021-09-08$30,000 272-char remark
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!
-
2021-09-01$30,000 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
This one bedroom home is just as cute as a button and could be a great investment or cheap living! There's been all new plumbing ran, new flooring and the roof is less than 5 years old! The backyard is spacious and it's close to the high school, Hawthorne and local parks!
-
2021-04-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $224 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $678 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$454/yr (+$38/mo · 202.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$224
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$883
- − Management
- −$883
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,747
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$659
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,086/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mexico 59
- NCES district ID
- 2920810
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,152
- Composite
- 29.07/100
- National rank
- #6601
- State rank
- #229 of 324 in MO
Livability — Mexico
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #256
- US rank
- #12405
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mexico, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,131
Population outlook (Audrain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,791 people
- By 2030
- 28,684 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 30,598 · +10.1%
- By 2050
- 32,319 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 36,395 · +31.0%
- By 2100
- 37,277 · +34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Audrain
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.6% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -47.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.24%
- Current HPI
- 213.6163
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+133.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $69,900 HMMLS
- 2022-08-18 Sold (MLS) — HMMLS
- 2021-09-17 Sold (MLS) — CBORMLS
- 2021-09-08 Listed $30,000 CBORMLS
- 2021-09-01 Listed $30,000 HMMLS
- 2021-04-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $224 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…