2 Akokisa Dr · Cherokee Village, AR
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLER! JUST $45,900 buys this COMPLETELY FURNISHED TOWNHOUSE- NEAT & CLEAN & MOVE-IN CONDITION! Come look at this great new listing-WALK TO HEATED POOL! 1 bedroom & bath up, 1 bedroom and bath downstairs- great for privacy- nice family rm downstairs with sliders leading out to patio- viewing green space- perfect spot to relax! Upstairs in addition to bedroom- bath is living rm, dining room kitchen and utility room. Townhouse is suited to 2 family living. Vinyl replacement windows thru-out. #2037
Key facts
- Outdoor pool
- Near town center
- Tornado safe room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.7% in Cherokee Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 688 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $115k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.58%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $188,760
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Warpath Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,360 (+3%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $29 | 67 |
| 29 W Lakeshore Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-2%) | 5mo | $186,200 | $143 | 58 |
| 1 W Lakeshore Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,472 (+12%) | 6mo | $319,000 | $217 | 52 |
| 6 Navajo Trce | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-6%) | 23mo | $117,500 | $94 | 49 |
| 50 Cheyenne Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,131 (-14%) | 2mo | $142,500 | $126 | 44 |
| 47 W Lakeshore | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 23mo | $282,000 | $210 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-682
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $22,507
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72529
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 688
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,324 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $701/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $282
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Annette Rd Cherokee Village, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 194 E Lakeshore Dr Cherokee Village, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 541-char remark
-
2026-06-14$114,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $701 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $735 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$34/yr (+$3/mo · 4.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$701
- − Insurance
- −$1,241
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,271
- − Management
- −$1,271
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $1,625
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$390
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507770
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,066
- Composite
- 33.63/100
- National rank
- #5400
- State rank
- #66 of 238 in AR
Livability — Cherokee Village
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #17211
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cherokee Village, AR
- City population
- 5,090
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,090
Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,170 people
- By 2030
- 15,711 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 14,974 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 14,420 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 13,235 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 11,492 · -28.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sharp
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.53%
- Current HPI
- 182.4438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+237.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $114,900 FSBO.com
- 2016-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
- 2016-08-31 Sold (MLS) $44,500 CARMLS
- 2016-08-22 Pending — CARMLS
- 2016-07-13 Price Changed $45,900 CARMLS
- 2016-04-20 Listed $49,900 CARMLS
- 2016-04-20 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2016-04-15 Listed $49,900 CARMLS
- 1994-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.1%/yrLatest (2025): $701 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…