Fourplex
180 Fillmore St · New York, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Renovated 4 family home with two-bedroom apartments granite countertops in kitchens, laundry in basement. Rents currently under market. GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!
Key facts
- 4,468 sq ft lot
- Built 1931
- Listed 340 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.27M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-46/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.25M (2.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.09M (14.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.09M (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,919/mo this rent would consume 153% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2008% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 340 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.12M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $1.27M implies a 1494% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 340 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.62%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $881,280
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Crescent Ave | 0.58mi | 8/2.0 | 2,205 (+2%) | 10mo | $560,000 | $254 | 53 |
| 18 Ely St | 0.54mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 2,200 (+2%) | 8mo | $755,000 | $343 | 52 |
| 226 Benziger Ave | 0.51mi | 9/4.0 (+1) | 2,258 (+4%) | 16mo | $925,000 | $410 | 50 |
| 65 York Ave | 0.35mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 2,450 (+13%) | 9mo | $999,888 | $408 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-183,474
- Equity at exit
- $190,107
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-22,344
- Equity at exit
- $110,239
Cash invested: $357,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10301
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 38.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,919 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,686
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,594 /mo · $19,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$531
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,293
- Net cashflow
- $-185
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $10,920 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,730 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,730 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,730 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $2,730 |
| Total (4 units) | $10,919 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $318,750
- Closing costs
- $38,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2024-08-27status Pending
-
2023-05-09status Pending
-
2023-04-26historical Contingent
-
2023-01-03status Active
-
2023-01-01historical
-
2022-11-04price $1,275,000
-
2022-06-01$1,300,000 Active
-
2004-09-07soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $131,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$71,420
- − Property taxes
- −$19,125
- − Insurance
- −$6,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,482
- − Management
- −$10,482
- − Depreciation
- −$37,091
- Taxable loss
- −$23,947
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,747
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,525/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Richmond County · 404,174 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,052
- Household income
- $85,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2008.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 37% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 2% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -407.37%
- Current HPI
- 319.0616
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.07%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+1493.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2024-08-27 Pending — SIBORMLS
- 2023-05-09 Pending — SIBORMLS
- 2023-04-26 Contingent — SIBORMLS
- 2023-01-03 Relisted — SIBORMLS
- 2023-01-01 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2022-11-04 Price Changed $1,275,000 SIBORMLS
- 2022-06-01 Listed $1,300,000 SIBORMLS
- 2004-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,229 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…