2545 E Avenue I #11 · Lancaster, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautiful home is set in a breath-taking community. Close-to-town and entertainment venues, this 3 bedroom 2 bath home features not only a covered patio, but a covered carport, with spaces for 3 cars. The yard is fenced both front and rear. Looking for a lifestyle? Why worry about yard work? Lancaster Performing Arts, Lancaster Sports Complex, the many parks and softball fields, and Downtown Lancaster with it's walking-space, bistros, shops and recreation are close-by.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Fenced yard
- Covered carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.2% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#282 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Eastside Union Elementary (suburban): math 15% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #1,226 of 1,400 in CA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Eastside Elementary (428 students, 91% FRL); Gifford C. Cole Middle (703 students, 92% FRL); Eastside High (2,650 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 81% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1646 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 62d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.60%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $420,538
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -57.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2545 E Ave I #81 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $126 | 86 |
| 45465 25th St E #11 | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (0%) | 3mo | $184,000 | $147 | 80 |
| 2545 E Avenue I #14 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $104 | 78 |
| 45465 25th St E #28 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (0%) | 10mo | $162,000 | $130 | 76 |
| 2545 E Ave I #6 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 13mo | $144,000 | $107 | 76 |
| 45465 E 25th St #262 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-6%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $149 | 76 |
| 45465 25th E #268 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-5%) | 7mo | $197,000 | $166 | 74 |
| 45465 25th St #93 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (-6%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $81 | 73 |
| 2550 E Avenue I Space 29 | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+10%) | 10mo | $119,000 | $87 | 63 |
| 2121 E Avenue I #64 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 10mo | $168,500 | $125 | 59 |
| 2121 E Avenue I #17 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $115 | 57 |
| 2121 E Avenue I #28 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+12%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $125 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-6,264
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $9,874
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 9 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.6 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $149,450 ($129/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 67 d
- This list price
- 80% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +161.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 93535
- Home prices YoY
- -24.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 1646
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,925 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $689/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $547 | -5% $496 | +0% $445 | +5% $394 | +10% $343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $293 | -5% $369 | +0% $445 | +5% $521 | +10% $597 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $536 | -0.5pp $491 | base $445 | +0.5pp $398 | +1.0pp $351 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2121 E Avenue I #49 Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,295 | $1.71 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2121 E Avenue I #49 Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,295 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 45118 Parkview Ln Lancaster, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $2,500 | $2.55 | 119d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1786 Linn Way Unit 1788 Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,900 | $2.00 | 67d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1786 Linn Way Unit 1786 Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $2,250 | $1.99 | 61d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 45414 17th St E Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,400 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 44709 26th St E Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,300 | $1.75 | 113d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1734 Lightcap St Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,700 | $1.84 | 87d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 45041 Colleen Dr Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1303 | $2,995 | $2.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2533 Topaz Ln Lancaster, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $2,295 | $2.08 | 7d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2500 Topaz Ln Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,800 | $2.20 | 119d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1647 Orchid Ln Lancaster, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,875 | $1.88 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1647 Orchid Ln Lancaster, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1084 | $1,950 | $1.80 | 117d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1628 Cactus Dr Apt B Lancaster, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,999 | $2.00 | 61d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1827 East Avenue J Unit 2 Lancaster, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 112d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Park manager: Anthony (661-946-1277)Manufacturer: Fleetwood HomesModel: 3523BDimensions: 52 ft by 12 ftLabel/Serial numbers on record
- HOA & community
- Park amenities include pool and clubhouse/rec roomNew space rent listed
Exterior
- Utilities
- Cable TV availableNatural gas
- Home design
- Mobile homeLocated in a park (Lido Estates), Space #11
- Construction
- Composition shingle roofSiding exteriorManufactured in 2005Skirted
- Exterior features
- Chain link fencingAwningPorch
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherRefrigeratorGas rangeGarbage disposal
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Natural gas heatingCentral air
- Interior features
- DishwasherRefrigeratorGas rangeGarbage disposal
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $179,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $179,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $179,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $179,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $179,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $179,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $179,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $179,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $179,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $179,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-09-13status $179,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-09-02remarks 665-char remark
-
2026-07-22status $179,900 Pending 88 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $179,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $179,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $179,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $179,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $179,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $179,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $179,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $179,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $179,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $179,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $179,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $179,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $179,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $179,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $179,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $179,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $179,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $179,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $179,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $179,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $179,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $179,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $179,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $179,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $179,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $179,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 43 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $689 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,367 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$678/yr (+$56/mo · 98.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$689
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,848
- − Management
- −$1,848
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $2,506
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$602
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained mobile home in a desirable community offers a good investment opportunity with minimal updates needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace kitchen countertops — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Improves convenience and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eastside Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0611910
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,840
- Composite
- 21.43/100
- National rank
- #13636
- State rank
- #1226 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #282
- US rank
- #9504
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lancaster, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 10,940,515 people
- City population
- 194,251
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 79,409
- Household income
- $70,360
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 25% Black 21% White 17% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 37% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.13%
- Current HPI
- 449.4494
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.14%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+33.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $179,900 AVMLS
- 2022-05-25 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-05-25 Sold (MLS) $130,000 CRMLS
- 2022-05-16 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2022-04-28 Listed $135,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $689 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…