805 Ponce De Leon Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,750
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice today to show (478) 291-6464.. CASH ONLY and property is sold AS IS.
Key facts
- New roof
- New windows
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $697 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,270/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $338 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.27%
- DSCR
- 3.73
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,566
- List price
- $48,750
- Delta
- -1.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2752 Antioch Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+3%) | 2mo | $10,000 | $6 | 60 |
| 673 Villa Esta Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,604 (-4%) | 4mo | $139,900 | $87 | 55 |
| 1047 Newberg Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,773 (+6%) | 10mo | $154,900 | $87 | 54 |
| 587 Robert Henry St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,466 (-13%) | 7mo | $148,000 | $101 | 54 |
| 2758 Houston Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,922 (+15%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $13 | 53 |
| 643 Heard Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,554 (-7%) | 14mo | $89,864 | $58 | 53 |
| 573 Villa Esta Cir | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,524 (-9%) | 8mo | $132,000 | $87 | 48 |
| 748 Ell St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,760 (+5%) | 12mo | $16,500 | $9 | 43 |
| 966 W Grenada Ter | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,468 (-12%) | 12mo | $101,500 | $69 | 39 |
| 507 Villa Esta Cir | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,788 (+7%) | 16mo | $63,000 | $35 | 37 |
| 608 Lynmore Ave | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 1,555 (-7%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $113 | 36 |
| 586 Lynmore Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,848 (+10%) | 18mo | $133,000 | $72 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $39,139
- Equity at exit
- $7,269
- IRR
- 67.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.51×
- Total profit
- $102,566
- Equity at exit
- $4,215
Cash invested: $13,650 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,270 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$256
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $366/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $697
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,188
- Closing costs
- $1,462
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 645 Rutherford Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,395 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 520 Nelson St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,225 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 495 Pittman St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $995 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3709 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 846 Bedingfield Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1187 | $975 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 806 Armory Dr Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 832 Richmond St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1364 | $925 | $0.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4052 Mikado Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1240 Rocky Creek Rd Unit A Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1342 | $1,090 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1635 2nd St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,500 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4322 Mikado Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,230 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 832 Elm St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $48,750 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $48,750 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $48,750 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $48,750 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $48,750 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $48,750 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,750 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $48,750 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,750 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,750 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,750 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,750 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,750 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,750 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,750 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $48,750 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $48,750 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice, listing agent, today to show. Please email all offers with proof of funds. CASH ONLY!! Sold AS IS!
-
2026-05-15price $48,750 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice, listing agent, today to show. Please email all offers with proof of funds. CASH ONLY!! Sold AS IS!
-
2026-05-13status Back On Market 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice today to show (478) 291-6464.. CASH ONLY and property is sold AS IS.
-
2026-05-13status Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice today to show (478) 291-6464.. CASH ONLY and property is sold AS IS.
-
2026-05-11status Pending 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice today to show (478) 291-6464.. CASH ONLY and property is sold AS IS.
-
2026-05-06status Under Contract 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice, listing agent, today to show. Please email all offers with proof of funds. CASH ONLY!! Sold AS IS!
-
2026-04-03$50,000 Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice today to show (478) 291-6464.. CASH ONLY and property is sold AS IS.
-
2026-03-24$50,000 New 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
This one's for the savvy investors and renovators! This income-producing property already has the bones. Located in Macon, Georgia where rental demand is increasing, here's your chance to add to your portfolio. Cash-flow machine in the making. Property already has new roof and windows. Budget for new electrical, then collect reliable rents and build equity. Contact Alice, listing agent, today to show. Please email all offers with proof of funds. CASH ONLY!! Sold AS IS!
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2024-08-23status Under Contract
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2024-08-23soldstatus $38,000 Sold
-
2024-08-23soldstatus $38,000 Closed
-
2024-08-20status Pending
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2024-07-16$42,500 New
-
2024-07-16$42,500 Active
-
2019-05-06soldstatus $10,000
-
2019-05-01soldstatus $10,000
-
2018-12-15$19,000
-
2014-11-14soldstatus $8,000
-
2014-09-15$14,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $366 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $448 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$83/yr (+$7/mo · 22.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,731
- − Property taxes
- −$366
- − Insurance
- −$244
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,219
- − Management
- −$1,219
- − Depreciation
- −$1,418
- Taxable income
- $8,045
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,931
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,433/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+227.2% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $48,750 CGMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $48,750 GAMLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — CGMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — CGMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $50,000 CGMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $50,000 GAMLS
- 2024-08-23 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $38,000 FMLS
- 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $38,000 GAMLS
- 2024-08-20 Pending — FMLS
- 2024-07-16 Listed $42,500 FMLS
- 2024-07-16 Listed $42,500 GAMLS
- 2019-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-01 Sold (MLS) $10,000 GAMLS
- 2018-12-15 Listed $19,000 GAMLS
- 2014-11-14 Sold (MLS) $8,000 MGMLS
- 2014-09-15 Listed $14,900 MGMLS
Property tax history
+22.0%/yrLatest (2025): $366 · -12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…