3800 S 1900 W #242 · Roy, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Quiet neighborhood
- Exterior ramp
- Mountain views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association amenities include RV parking, storage, picnic area, and management; Utilities included by association: water, sewer, trash, cable TV; Pets permitted (with pet rules); Senior community; Subdivision: MONTE VISTA
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 4 parking spaces; 2 covered/carport spaces; 2 open parking spaces; Common RV parking; Covered parking
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected (culinary and secondary)
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-level living; Faces south; Single-family zoning
- Construction: Aluminum exterior construction; Asphalt roof; Built/standing
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered patio; Awning(s); Exterior lighting; Storm doors; Double-pane windows; Storage shed(s); Window coverings; Mountain view; Sprinkler system (auto-full); Paved road access; Mature landscaping with xeriscaping
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range hood; Trash compactor; Water softener (owned)
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two three-quarter bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bathroom; Walk-in closet; Free-standing range/oven; Vaulted ceilings; Blinds on windows; Skylights; Sliding glass doors
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-774/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (8.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#32 in UT, #1,449 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F.
- Weber District (suburban): math 36% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #56 of 80 in UT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Midland School (math 37% / reading 28%, grade F, #416 of 585 statewide, top 71%, 568 students, 29% FRL); Roy Jr High (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #123 of 138 statewide, top 90%, 1,008 students, 37% FRL); Roy High (math 15% / reading 39%, grade F, #131 of 171 statewide, top 79%, 1,834 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 43% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.40%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-28,143
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -79.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.57×
- Total profit
- $-50,558
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84067
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,038 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$880
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $-64
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $15 | -5% $-25 | +0% $-64 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-226 | -5% $-145 | +0% $-64 | +5% $16 | +10% $97 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-7 | -0.5pp $-35 | base $-64 | +0.5pp $-94 | +1.0pp $-125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 Carson Ave West Haven, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2049 | $2,500 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3330 S Midland Dr West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 16d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 3560 Midland Dr West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,599 | $1.71 | 16d | 22 | 0.82mi |
| 4499 S 1930 W Roy, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1106 | $2,162 | $1.95 | 16d | 11 | 0.90mi |
| 2112 W 3300 S West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,772 | $1.82 | 16d | 15 | 0.93mi |
| 3405 S 2400 W West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 25d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 90 West Roy, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $1,635 | $1.52 | 16d | 11 | 1.12mi |
| 4372 S 1000 W Unit A Riverdale, UT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1375 | $1,725 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 918 W 4350 S Ogden, UT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,350 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2778 W 4175 S #236 Roy, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2190 | $2,000 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4156 S 2825 W #215 Roy, UT | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2100 | $2,200 | $1.05 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4389 S Locomotive DR Roy, UT | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1651 | $2,340 | $1.42 | 16d | 48 | 1.35mi |
| 3922 Lamplighter Way Riverdale, UT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1390 | $1,695 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2914 W 3885 S West Haven, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,395 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $880 · $10,560/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-18price $115,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-17$125,000 Active
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2023-06-01soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
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-
2023-04-03status Under Contract 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
-
2022-10-18$130,000 Active 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2017-05-18soldstatus Sold 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2017-04-20status Under Contract 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2017-04-04$80,000 Active 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 4 d/yr ≥94°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,957
- − Management
- −$1,957
- − HOA
- −$10,560
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$2,101
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$504
- After-tax cash flow
- $-269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weber District
- NCES district ID
- 4901200
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,750
- Composite
- 32.28/100
- National rank
- #5757
- State rank
- #56 of 80 in UT
Livability — Roy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #1449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roy, UT
- County
- Weber County · 260,557 people
- City population
- 38,794
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,794
- Household income
- $91,115
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 216.0
Population outlook (Weber County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 274,329 people
- By 2030
- 288,577 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 314,848 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 338,710 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 384,412 · +40.1%
- By 2100
- 409,305 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weber
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 36.8% · R 60.3% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -284.84%
- Current HPI
- 323.642
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.45%
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+56.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $125,000 WFRMLS
- 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2023-04-03 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2022-10-18 Listed $130,000 WFRMLS
- 2017-05-18 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2017-04-20 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2017-04-04 Listed $80,000 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…