67108 Old Odanah Rd · Gingles, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large manufactured home on 9 acres close to everything Ashland has to offer. 4 bedrooms 2 baths with plenty of room for a garden garage and anything else you can think of.
Key facts
- 9 acres
- Garden garage
- 9 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family property; 1 story
- Construction: Approximately 1,800 finished above-grade square feet; No finished below-grade square footage reported
- Exterior features: 9-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Single-story layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($534/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (8.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Ashland School District (town): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #325 of 342 in WI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Lake Superior Elementary (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #857 of 1,041 statewide, top 83%, 603 students, 61% FRL); Ashland Middle (math 15% / reading 33%, grade F, #325 of 383 statewide, top 85%, 398 students, 61% FRL); Ashland High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 626 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.36%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-19,816
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-13,528
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54806
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,280 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $141 | -5% $93 | +0% $45 | +5% $-4 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-57 | -5% $-6 | +0% $45 | +5% $95 | +10% $146 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $80 | base $45 | +0.5pp $8 | +1.0pp $-29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $139,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-03-12$154,900 Active 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Large manufactured home on 9 acres close to everything Ashland has to offer. 4 bedrooms 2 baths with plenty of room for a garden garage and anything else you can think of.
-
2026-03-12$154,900 Active 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Large manufactured home on 9 acres close to everything Ashland has to offer. 4 bedrooms 2 baths with plenty of room for a garden garage and anything else you can think of.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,098
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,229
- − Management
- −$1,229
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$1,800
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$432
- After-tax cash flow
- $966/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland School District
- NCES district ID
- 5500510
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,114
- Composite
- 19.4/100
- National rank
- #8782
- State rank
- #325 of 342 in WI
Livability — Gingles
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,708
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,204 people
- By 2030
- 14,639 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 13,198 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 11,841 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 9,755 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 8,675 · -42.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Native American 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.4pp toward R · 2008: 37.1pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+11.0 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+30.8 2008: D+37.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.11%
- Current HPI
- 168.3012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $154,900 LSAR
- 2026-03-12 Listed $154,900 SAAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…