963 Bayou Dularge Rd · Dulac, LA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AS IS.
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Listed 88 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-110 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $80k (19.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 1.4% in Dulac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#395 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Terrebonne Parish (other): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dularge Elementary School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #40 of 646 statewide, top 7%, 298 students, 74% FRL); Houma Junior High School (math 23% / reading 49%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 729 students, 56% FRL); Terrebonne High School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #80 of 265 statewide, top 32%, 1,386 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 300 units permitted in Terrebonne Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $99k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.70%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,500
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -29.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-22,814
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-27,905
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70363
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $804/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $-110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-54 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-110 | +5% $-138 | +10% $-166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-205 | -5% $-157 | +0% $-110 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-16 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-60 | -0.5pp $-85 | base $-110 | +0.5pp $-136 | +1.0pp $-162 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $99,000 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
AS IS.
-
2026-04-09price $99,000 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
AS IS.
-
2026-03-23$115,000 Active 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
AS IS.
-
2026-03-23$115,000 Active 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
AS IS.
-
2009-03-09soldstatus $31,500
-
2009-03-09soldstatus $13,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $804 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $804 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,335
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$804
- − Insurance
- −$5,614
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,147
- − Management
- −$1,147
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$2,801
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$672
- After-tax cash flow
- $-650/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Terrebonne Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201740
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,612
- Composite
- 33.38/100
- National rank
- #5480
- State rank
- #23 of 98 in LA
Livability — Dulac
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #395
- US rank
- #24560
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,668
Population outlook (Terrebonne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,724 people
- By 2030
- 120,321 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 121,894 · +2.7%
- By 2050
- 121,119 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 117,270 · -1.2%
- By 2100
- 107,544 · -9.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Native American 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Terrebonne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.5% · R 75.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.9pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+41.2 2008: R+40.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.27%
- Current HPI
- 91.3914
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+214.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $99,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $99,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $115,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2009-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
- 2009-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $804 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…