136 Tyler St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SO much potential in this charming University Heights Cape Cod! The main level features a spacious living room with a built-in bookshelf, a convenient first-floor primary bedroom, and a full bath. The eat-in kitchen includes a pantry, refrigerator and stove and connects to the large, cute entryway area through side door. At the rear of the home, a bright and spacious sunroom provides additional living space and overlooks the backyard. Upstairs, you’ll find two additional bedrooms along with a generously sized hallway that offers the potential to be converted into a fourth bedroom, office, or flex space. The basement provides lots of storage and the outside has a the fully fenced backy
Key facts
- 5,940 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical service
- Home design: Single-story appearance (listed as 1 story); Resale property; City street frontage; Rectangular lot near public transit
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Built existing (no new construction indicated)
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Fully fenced yard; Covered patio/porch; Patio; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen with pantry
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the second level; One bedroom on the first level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced-air heating
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Sunroom; Florida room; Main-level primary bedroom; Bedroom on main level; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.97%
- DSCR
- 2.47
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,587
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -53.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142 Englewood Ave | 0.19mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,504 (-1%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $143 | 80 |
| 430 Parker Ave | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 | 1,512 (-1%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $198 | 74 |
| 71 Merrimac St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-8%) | 5mo | $129,999 | $93 | 67 |
| 32 Wellington Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,482 (-3%) | 1mo | $272,000 | $184 | 66 |
| 176 Lasalle Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,601 (+5%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $169 | 59 |
| 157 Wellington Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,533 (+1%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $153 | 57 |
| 26 Coburg | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (-1%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $240 | 55 |
| 89 Byron Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,534 (+1%) | 5mo | $227,500 | $148 | 55 |
| 58 Grandview Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,638 (+8%) | 0mo | $251,000 | $153 | 54 |
| 41 Fairfield Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,384 (-9%) | 4mo | $197,500 | $143 | 52 |
| 133 Allenhurst Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,410 (-8%) | 1mo | $332,800 | $236 | 52 |
| 38 Byron Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,670 (+10%) | 2mo | $314,000 | $188 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $45,280
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.20×
- Total profit
- $141,012
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14214
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,066 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $922
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2240 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 1d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,500 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $3,750 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 33 Tillotson Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $2,095 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,997 | $2.93 | 1d | 10 | 0.54mi |
| 175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 414 Taunton Pl Unit Lowet Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 524 University Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 348 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1424 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 1d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 307 Sterling Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,445 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,595 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 151 Lamson Rd Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $2,350 | $1.70 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4098 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2108 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 202 Summit Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 25 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1914 | $1,350 | $0.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 359 Colvin Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2010 | $2,100 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 10d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 869-char remark
-
2026-05-04$119,900 Active 869-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $375 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,201 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$826/yr (+$69/mo · 220.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,984
- − Management
- −$1,984
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $9,649
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,316
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,314
- Household income
- $58,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -282.52%
- Current HPI
- 373.377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.81%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $375 · +39.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…