Triplex
1059 Belmont Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$899,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great 3 family Brick home in the East New York section of Brooklyn. This home features a main apartment which is 3 bedrooms and has basement access. The 2 units upstairs are 1-2 bedrooms each. Located close to transportation, expressway and shopping. This home is great for a user or an investor and has lots of upside potential.
Key facts
- Basement access
- Close to shopping
- Close to expressway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×3bd/1.5ba + 2×1bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $900k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $483/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $887k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $819k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,871/mo this rent would consume 171% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 7574% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($819k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.90%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,075,800
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369 Milford St | 0.43mi | 8/1.0 | 3,198 (-3%) | 5mo | $1,200,000 | $375 | 51 |
| 309 Berriman St | 0.52mi | 6/4.0 | 3,432 (+4%) | 6mo | $1,090,000 | $318 | 44 |
| 1140 Sutter Ave | 0.36mi | 8/3.0 | 3,420 (+4%) | 19mo | $694,785 | $203 | 42 |
| 196 Shepherd Ave | 0.72mi | 6/3.0 | 3,240 (-2%) | 4mo | $1,055,000 | $326 | 40 |
| 7602 Blake Ave | 0.56mi | 7/3.0 | 3,036 (-8%) | 1mo | $640,000 | $211 | 40 |
| 9735 77th St | 0.66mi | 8/2.0 | 2,984 (-10%) | 8mo | $1,450,000 | $486 | 26 |
| 1017 Dumont Ave | 0.71mi | 8/4.0 | 3,116 (-6%) | 17mo | $618,500 | $198 | 24 |
| 390 Essex St | 0.63mi | 8/5.0 | 2,812 (-15%) | 8mo | $1,140,000 | $405 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-24,925
- Equity at exit
- $134,178
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $222,526
- Equity at exit
- $77,807
Cash invested: $251,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11208
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 20.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,871 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,719
- Tax from tax record
- −$465 /mo · $5,584/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,863
- Net cashflow
- $1,449
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,958 | -5% $1,703 | +0% $1,449 | +5% $1,194 | +10% $939 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $748 | -5% $1,098 | +0% $1,449 | +5% $1,799 | +10% $2,149 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,902 | -0.5pp $1,677 | base $1,449 | +0.5pp $1,215 | +1.0pp $978 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1.5 | $3,709 |
| 2× units | 1 | 1.5 | $5,162 |
| #2 | 1 | 1.5 | $2,581 |
| #3 | 1 | 1.5 | $2,581 |
| Total (3 units) | $8,871 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,975
- Closing costs
- $26,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10124 78th St Ozone Park, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2299 | $3,500 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 74-38 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2480 | $2,800 | $1.13 | 18d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 97-30 91st St Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3465 | $3,000 | $0.87 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 101-27 95th St Unit 1R Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3120 | $2,000 | $0.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-12-04status Pending
-
2025-08-20$899,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,584 · $465/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,396 · $866/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,812/yr (+$401/mo · 86.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $106,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,408
- − Property taxes
- −$5,584
- − Insurance
- −$4,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,516
- − Management
- −$8,516
- − Depreciation
- −$26,179
- Taxable income
- $2,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$660
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,724/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 105,428
- Household income
- $62,077
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7574.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 39% Asian 10% Two or more races 8% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -546.38%
- Current HPI
- 376.1489
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-04 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2025-08-20 Listed $899,900 BNYMLS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,584 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…