None · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$177,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: - Includes a garage
- Home design: - Single family property
- Construction: - Living area approximately 1,575
Interior
- Bedrooms: - 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: - 2 bathrooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $177k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $177k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,115/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2415% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.84%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,175
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1335 Buffalo Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,474 (-6%) | 9mo | $164,900 | $112 | 65 |
| 1474 Forest Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-5%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $110 | 63 |
| 1387 Price Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,341 (-15%) | 3mo | $93,900 | $70 | 61 |
| 877 163rd St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,339 (-15%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $141 | 55 |
| 17002 Chicago Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-11%) | 7mo | $202,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 1401 Stanley Blvd | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,389 (-12%) | 8mo | $214,900 | $155 | 51 |
| 1461 Wentworth Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-11%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $93 | 50 |
| 17257 Park Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-5%) | 8mo | $194,900 | $130 | 48 |
| 1304 Price Ave | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+14%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $47 | 42 |
| 17204 Bernadine St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (-15%) | 1mo | $234,000 | $175 | 39 |
| 17218 Park Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-14%) | 5mo | $139,000 | $103 | 33 |
| 40 166th Pl | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,356 (-14%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $129 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $6,832
- Equity at exit
- $26,391
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $73,290
- Equity at exit
- $15,304
Cash invested: $49,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,115 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$928
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$221 /mo · $2,655/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $448
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,250
- Closing costs
- $5,310
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1312 Gordon Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,600 | $1.41 | 7d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 12d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 252 Lawndale St Hammond, IN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2016 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 34 Elizabeth St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $2,400 | $1.93 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3 Waltham St Hammond, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,095 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 17723 Exchange Ave Unit 17723-1N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7611 Kinsley Pl Munster, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $4,700 | $2.76 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 34 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,382
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,655
- − Insurance
- −$885
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,031
- − Management
- −$2,031
- − Depreciation
- −$5,149
- Taxable income
- $2,717
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$652
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…