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B- Composite 66.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$177,000

None · Calumet City, IL 60409
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,575 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1955 Est $203k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: - Includes a garage
  • Home design: - Single family property
  • Construction: - Living area approximately 1,575

Interior

  • Bedrooms: - 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: - 2 bathrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $177k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $177k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,115/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2415% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $171,690 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.84%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,175
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1335 Buffalo Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,474 (-6%) 9mo $164,900 $112 65
1474 Forest Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-5%) 10mo $165,000 $110 63
1387 Price Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,341 (-15%) 3mo $93,900 $70 61
877 163rd St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,339 (-15%) 2mo $189,000 $141 55
17002 Chicago Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,400 (-11%) 7mo $202,000 $144 52
1401 Stanley Blvd 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,389 (-12%) 8mo $214,900 $155 51
1461 Wentworth Ave 0.50mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (-11%) 4mo $130,000 $93 50
17257 Park Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-5%) 8mo $194,900 $130 48
1304 Price Ave 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (+14%) 10mo $85,000 $47 42
17204 Bernadine St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,340 (-15%) 1mo $234,000 $175 39
17218 Park Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (-14%) 5mo $139,000 $103 33
40 166th Pl 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,356 (-14%) 10mo $175,000 $129 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$6,832
Equity at exit
$26,391
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$73,290
Equity at exit
$15,304

Cash invested: $49,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60409

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,115 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$928
Tax est. 1.5%
$221 /mo · $2,655/yr
Insurance
$74
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$448

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,548
Max offer price $177,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,250
Closing costs
$5,310
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1312 Gordon Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1134 $1,600 $1.41 7d 1 0.37mi
1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 12d 1 0.54mi
252 Lawndale St Hammond, IN 4.0 3.0 2016 $2,600 $1.29 1d 1 1.06mi
34 Elizabeth St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1246 $2,400 $1.93 1d 1 1.11mi
3 Waltham St Hammond, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,095 $0.91 24d 1 1.22mi
17723 Exchange Ave Unit 17723-1N Lansing, IL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 1d 1 1.45mi
7611 Kinsley Pl Munster, IN 3.0 2.0 1700 $4,700 $2.76 1d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 35 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $177,000 Coming Soon 34 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,382
− Mortgage interest
−$9,915
− Property taxes
−$2,655
− Insurance
−$885
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,031
− Management
−$2,031
− Depreciation
−$5,149
Taxable income
$2,717
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$652
After-tax cash flow
$4,721/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
NCES district ID
1738940
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,207
Composite
10.27/100
National rank
#9793
State rank
#563 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet City

Score
71/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#6552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet City, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
35,100
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
35,100
Household income
$55,369
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2415.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.01%
Current HPI
197.2137
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…