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14670 Church Rd
C- Composite 53.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

14670 Church Rd · Addison, MI 49247
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1960 2.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Escape to the country and enjoy the freedom of owning 2 beautiful acres with a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home and a large pole barn. Surrounded by open space and peaceful views, this property offers the perfect blend of rural living and practical functionality. With an updated metal roof, new pressure tank, and a newly remodeled bathroom, the vision is endless. The home is ready for your personal touch and presents an excellent opportunity to add value while creating the country retreat you've always wanted. Whether you're looking for a hobby farm, workshop space, room for toys and equipment, or simply a place to enjoy the outdoors, this property delivers. The 30x30 pole barn provides exceptional storage and workspace options, while the acreage offers plenty of room for gardens, animals, recreation, or future expansion. Properties with this much land, a large outbuilding, and unlimited potential don't come along often. Bring your vision and unlock everything this country gem has to offer

Key facts

  • Hobby farm
  • Large pole barn
  • New pressure tank

Tags

2 BEAUTIFUL ACRESLARGE POLE BARNUPDATED METAL ROOFNEW PRESSURE TANKNEWLY REMODELED BATHROOMHOBBY FARM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No attached garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Natural gas available; Electric power
  • Home design: Ranch-style residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1960; Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: 2.0 acres lot; Shed(s); Pole barn; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall furnace; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Owned LP (propane) tank; Partial basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (1.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#580 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hudson Area Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #416 of 540 in MI (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #866 of 1,397 statewide, top 65%, 435 students, 67% FRL); Hudson Middle School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #453 of 493 statewide, top 93%, 200 students, 59% FRL); Hudson Area Jrsr High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #462 of 713 statewide, top 66%, 438 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Hillsdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsdale County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $98,838 (1.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.90%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$216,580
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14140 Church Rd 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 858 (-3%) 1mo $210,000 $245 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-4,501
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$11,012
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49247

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$988 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$184

Break-even live

Break-even rent $755
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $241 -5% $212 +0% $184 +5% $156 +10% $128
Rent -10% $106 -5% $145 +0% $184 +5% $223 +10% $262
Rate -1.0pp $234 -0.5pp $210 base $184 +0.5pp $158 +1.0pp $132

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    status $99,900 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    remarks 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (998 chars)

    Escape to the country and enjoy the freedom of owning 2 beautiful acres with a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home and a large pole barn. Surrounded by open space and peaceful views, this property offers the perfect blend of rural living and practical functionality. With an updated metal roof, new pressure tank, and a newly remodeled bathroom, the vision is endless. The home is ready for your personal touch and presents an excellent opportunity to add value while creating the country retreat you've always wanted. Whether you're looking for a hobby farm, workshop space, room for toys and equipment, or simply a place to enjoy the outdoors, this property delivers. The 30x30 pole barn provides exceptional storage and workspace options, while the acreage offers plenty of room for gardens, animals, recreation, or future expansion. Properties with this much land, a large outbuilding, and unlimited potential don't come along often. Bring your vision and unlock everything this country gem has to offer

  10. 2026-06-01
    listed $99,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (998 chars)

    Escape to the country and enjoy the freedom of owning 2 beautiful acres with a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home and a large pole barn. Surrounded by open space and peaceful views, this property offers the perfect blend of rural living and practical functionality. With an updated metal roof, new pressure tank, and a newly remodeled bathroom, the vision is endless. The home is ready for your personal touch and presents an excellent opportunity to add value while creating the country retreat you've always wanted. Whether you're looking for a hobby farm, workshop space, room for toys and equipment, or simply a place to enjoy the outdoors, this property delivers. The 30x30 pole barn provides exceptional storage and workspace options, while the acreage offers plenty of room for gardens, animals, recreation, or future expansion. Properties with this much land, a large outbuilding, and unlimited potential don't come along often. Bring your vision and unlock everything this country gem has to offer

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$374 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$956 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$582/yr (+$49/mo · 155.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,861
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$949
− Management
−$949
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$588
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$141
After-tax cash flow
$2,069/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hudson Area Schools
NCES district ID
2618810
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,996
Composite
21.93/100
National rank
#8227
State rank
#416 of 540 in MI

Livability — Addison

Score
60/100
State rank
#580
US rank
#18632

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,257

Population outlook (Hillsdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,704 people
By 2030
41,996 · -3.9%
By 2040
38,019 · -13.0%
By 2050
34,095 · -22.0%
By 2075
25,897 · -40.7%
By 2100
18,746 · -57.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsdale

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.7% · R 75.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-39.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.79%
Current HPI
307.255
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2014-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-09-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-09-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-19 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-19 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $374 · -75.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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