1512 Owens Blvd Blvd · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
a DREAM property as a starter house, empty nester, or investor. WELL maintained 3 bedroom 2 bathroom cottage. Upgraded touches such as new vinyl floors, stainless steel appliances, and a brand NEW 2024 roof! Great primary suite with trey ceilings and jacuzzi tub. Long galley style kitchen with washer/dryer hook-ups inside. Garage parking and additional storage. Less than a mile from I-610. Succession property and heirs are HIGHLY motivated!
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Primary suite
- Garage parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-474/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (3.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elem. Math And Science (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 747 students, 98% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.59%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,398
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4517 Jeanne Marie Pl | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+6%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $142 | 82 |
| 1535 Harrison Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (+3%) | 11mo | $204,000 | $167 | 76 |
| 1319 Granada Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (+6%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $178 | 70 |
| 1247 Foy St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (+4%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $32 | 65 |
| 4405 Cartier Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,046 (-12%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $167 | 53 |
| 1470 Riviera Ave | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,027 (-14%) | 2mo | $262,500 | $256 | 52 |
| 309 Wallace Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,259 (+5%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $187 | 52 |
| 3615 Cadillac St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 9mo | $182,500 | $166 | 45 |
| 1336 Sere St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,311 (+10%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $69 | 43 |
| 1525 Mithra St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (+13%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $167 | 43 |
| 1900 Wickfield Dr | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (-14%) | 3mo | $191,000 | $186 | 36 |
| 318 Wallace Dr | 0.63mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,357 (+14%) | 9mo | $246,000 | $181 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-38,996
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -23.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-56,050
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70122
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 336
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,677 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,332/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $-40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $71 | -5% $16 | +0% $-40 | +5% $-95 | +10% $-150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-172 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-40 | +5% $27 | +10% $93 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $59 | -0.5pp $10 | base $-40 | +0.5pp $-90 | +1.0pp $-141 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1486 Mandolin St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4114 Duplessis St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4229 Buchanan St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $2,250 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1621 Caton St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4110 Saint Bernard Ave Unit 1 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,215 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4110 St Bernard Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,215 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4117 Roneagle Way Apt D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4101 Cadillac St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1664 Saint Denis St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4736 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1373 Sere St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 760 | $1,350 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1371 Sere St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 760 | $1,350 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3624 Havana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1388 | $1,875 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3622 Buchanan St Unit 3622 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,525 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4304 Pauger St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1345 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 213 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5151 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5518 Warrington Dr Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5324 Wildair Dr Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1656 Pleasure St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3400 Havana St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5322 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,000 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3420 Annette St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3515 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5700 Wilton Dr New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3956 Pauger St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1506 Treasure St Unit 1506 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4618 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4616 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,750 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5700 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1516 Aviators St Apt D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1532 Aviators St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1566 Aviators St Unit D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,360 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1816 Benefit St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3023 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,200 | $2.29 | 16d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3021 Republic St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,200 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1868 Benefit St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5546 Pasteur Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2913 St Bernard Ave Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2910 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 444-char remark
-
2026-06-17$195,000 Pending 23 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,332 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,332 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,332
- − Insurance
- −$1,772
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,610
- − Management
- −$1,610
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$3,792
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$910
- After-tax cash flow
- $436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,253
- Household income
- $49,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2150.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 18% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.37%
- Current HPI
- 231.9921
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+127.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2024-12-13 Sold (MLS) $185,000 GSREIN
- 2024-11-08 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2024-11-01 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2024-10-09 Listed $195,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-09 Listed $195,000 GSREIN
- 2024-08-08 Price Changed $185,000 GSREIN
- 2024-06-27 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1996-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 1996-10-31 Sold (MLS) $79,900 GSREIN
- 1996-05-20 Listed $81,200 GSREIN
- 1996-05-20 Listed $81,200 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+16.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,332 · +565.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…