3768 Sweden Walker Rd · Clarkson, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Get Dad a home for Father's Day! Come see this 3-bedroom, 2-bath Ranch conveniently located near Route 104 and within the desirable Brockport Central School District. This home features an attached 2.5-car garage and a partially finished basement offering a dedicated laundry room, ample storage, and additional living space A cozy gas fireplace adds warmth and character to the home, while generator wiring provides added peace of mind and convenience. Additional features include low-maintenance vinyl siding, efficient gas boiler heat, public water and sewer, and several updated windows and flooring. Original hardwood floors are preserved beneath the existing carpet, offering the potential t
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Gas fireplace
- Generator wiring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water available; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electric service
- Home design: Single-story existing home; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Patio; Rectangular lot; Road frontage on a main thoroughfare; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 200
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with forced air; Zoned heating and cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Programmable thermostat; Partially finished basement with sump pump; Recreation room
- Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#864 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+, cost of living B; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Brockport Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #369 of 590 in NY (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $175k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.56%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,380
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3780 Sweden Walker Rd | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,384 (+9%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $195 | 75 |
| 7661 W Ridge Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (-7%) | 19mo | $230,000 | $194 | 53 |
| 7608 W Ridge Rd | 0.23mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,460 (+15%) | 23mo | $195,000 | $134 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-19,514
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,775
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14420
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,887 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$355 /mo · $4,255/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $244 | -5% $195 | +0% $145 | +5% $96 | +10% $46 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-4 | -5% $71 | +0% $145 | +5% $220 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $234 | -0.5pp $190 | base $145 | +0.5pp $100 | +1.0pp $54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,255 · $355/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,255 · $355/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,643
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$4,255
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,811
- − Management
- −$1,811
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,004
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$241
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brockport Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605580
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,571
- Composite
- 43.28/100
- National rank
- #3044
- State rank
- #369 of 590 in NY
Livability — Clarkson
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #864
- US rank
- #16642
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,375
- Household income
- $75,577
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 472.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.08%
- Current HPI
- 261.3695
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+119.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $175,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-11-10 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $165,000 UNYREIS
- 2010-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records
- 2005-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $85,500 Public Records
- 1997-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,255 · +26.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…