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3768 Sweden Walker Rd
C Composite 57.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

3768 Sweden Walker Rd · Clarkson, NY 14420
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,270 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1960 0.46 ac lot Est $246k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Get Dad a home for Father's Day! Come see this 3-bedroom, 2-bath Ranch conveniently located near Route 104 and within the desirable Brockport Central School District. This home features an attached 2.5-car garage and a partially finished basement offering a dedicated laundry room, ample storage, and additional living space A cozy gas fireplace adds warmth and character to the home, while generator wiring provides added peace of mind and convenience. Additional features include low-maintenance vinyl siding, efficient gas boiler heat, public water and sewer, and several updated windows and flooring. Original hardwood floors are preserved beneath the existing carpet, offering the potential t

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Gas fireplace
  • Generator wiring

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGEPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMAMPLE STORAGEGAS FIREPLACEGENERATOR WIRING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water available; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electric service
  • Home design: Single-story existing home; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Patio; Rectangular lot; Road frontage on a main thoroughfare; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 200

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with forced air; Zoned heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Programmable thermostat; Partially finished basement with sump pump; Recreation room
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#864 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+, cost of living B; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Brockport Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #369 of 590 in NY (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $175k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.56%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$246,380
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3780 Sweden Walker Rd 0.02mi 3/1.5 1,384 (+9%) 9mo $270,000 $195 75
7661 W Ridge Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,184 (-7%) 19mo $230,000 $194 53
7608 W Ridge Rd 0.23mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,460 (+15%) 23mo $195,000 $134 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-19,514
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-6,775
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14420

Home prices YoY
-10.6%
Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,887 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$355 /mo · $4,255/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,703
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $244 -5% $195 +0% $145 +5% $96 +10% $46
Rent -10% $-4 -5% $71 +0% $145 +5% $220 +10% $294
Rate -1.0pp $234 -0.5pp $190 base $145 +0.5pp $100 +1.0pp $54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $175,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,255 · $355/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,255 · $355/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,643
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$4,255
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,811
− Management
−$1,811
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,004
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$241
After-tax cash flow
$1,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brockport Central School District
NCES district ID
3605580
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,571
Composite
43.28/100
National rank
#3044
State rank
#369 of 590 in NY

Livability — Clarkson

Score
62/100
State rank
#864
US rank
#16642

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
20,375
Household income
$75,577
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
472.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.08%
Current HPI
261.3695
Rent YoY
▲ 2.72%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+119.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $175,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-10 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $165,000 UNYREIS
  • 2010-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records
  • 2005-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2002-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2001-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $85,500 Public Records
  • 1997-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,255 · +26.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…