127 Hester Dr #127 · Cathedral City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in The Canyon, a gated community in the heart of Cathedral City. This 2002 Skyline double-wide manufactured home offers a comfortable and easy to maintain living environment designed for everyday convenience. Interior features a bright, open layout that allows for a natural flow between the main living areas and kitchen creating a space that feels inviting and functional. Additional features include laminate flooring newer HVAC and indoor laundry. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors offering an area to relax. The attached garage offers covered parking and or additional storage.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Laminate flooring
- Attached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 5.1% in Cathedral City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities D-.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 525 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.05%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,750
- List price
- $154,999
- Delta
- 15.89%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89 Armenia Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+3%) | 3mo | $177,000 | $125 | 90 |
| 244 Settles Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+5%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $94 | 87 |
| 392 Standing Bear | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-1%) | 2mo | $113,000 | $83 | 85 |
| 162 Hilligoss Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,504 (+9%) | 3mo | $66,000 | $44 | 78 |
| 493 Prairie | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-2%) | 5mo | $189,000 | $141 | 77 |
| 234 Settles Dr | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+10%) | 3mo | $117,000 | $77 | 76 |
| 221 Settles Dr | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+10%) | 5mo | $149,000 | $99 | 73 |
| 263 Coble Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+10%) | 5mo | $119,900 | $79 | 73 |
| 257 Wolf | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+5%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $52 | 71 |
| 316 Little Deer | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+5%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $49 | 69 |
| 24 Mesa View Dr | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+5%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $47 | 65 |
| 264 Wolf | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-9%) | 4mo | $74,000 | $59 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $42,428
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.90×
- Total profit
- $125,721
- Equity at exit
- $13,401
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92234
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 525
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,686 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$564
- Net cashflow
- $1,051
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68615 Paseo Soria Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $3,500 | $2.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 68153 Lakeland Dr Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,500 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 68368 Calle Leon Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,790 | $2.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 68368 Calle Leon Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,790 | $2.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 33892 Sky Blue Water Trl Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,800 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 69180 Victoria Dr #8 Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,995 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 69155 Dinah Shore Dr Apt 20 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,050 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 69155 Dinah Shore Dr Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 33495 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit B Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 33495 Cathedral Canyon Dr Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit B10 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,600 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit H64 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,500 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,960 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,960 | $2.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 34750 Marcia Rd Unit 02 Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 18d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 33255 Date Palm Dr Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,795 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 69200 Nilda Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $2,495 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 35615 Paseo Circulo E Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $2,250 | $2.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 33387 Shifting Sands Trl Unit 2 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,999 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 68882 Calle Mula Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1714 | $2,500 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 69603 Heather Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,300 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 34073 Emily Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,100 | $2.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 34073 Emily Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,100 | $2.17 | 18d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 69646 Antonia Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,450 | $2.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 34361 Denise Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 34071 Denise Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,599 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2010 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit 8 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 993 | $1,895 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 152 Estrada Way #152 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5951 Montecito Dr #5 Palm Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 159 Estrada Way Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,850 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6071 Hazeltine Plz Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $3,200 | $2.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 26 Pueblo Vista Dr Palm Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $3,200 | $2.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 32150 Aurora Vista Rd Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,195 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 32150 Aurora Vista Rd Unit C Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,395 | $2.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 36040 Avenida de las Montanas Unit E Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $3,200 | $2.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2420 Los Coyotes Dr Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1608 | $2,600 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5314 Los Coyotes Dr Palm Springs, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1550 | $2,600 | $1.68 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,999 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $154,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $164,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-09historical Active Under Contract 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Located in The Canyon, a gated community in the heart of Cathedral City. This 2002 Skyline double-wide manufactured home offers a comfortable and easy to maintain living environment designed for everyday convenience. Interior features a bright, open layout that allows for a natural flow between the main living areas and kitchen creating a space that feels inviting and functional. Additional features include laminate flooring newer HVAC and indoor laundry. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors offering an area to relax. The attached garage offers covered parking and or additional storage.
-
2026-04-01$164,999 Active 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Located in The Canyon, a gated community in the heart of Cathedral City. This 2002 Skyline double-wide manufactured home offers a comfortable and easy to maintain living environment designed for everyday convenience. Interior features a bright, open layout that allows for a natural flow between the main living areas and kitchen creating a space that feels inviting and functional. Additional features include laminate flooring newer HVAC and indoor laundry. A covered patio extends the living space outdoors offering an area to relax. The attached garage offers covered parking and or additional storage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,325
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,578
- − Management
- −$2,578
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $10,780
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,587
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,019/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This 2002 Skyline double-wide manufactured home in The Canyon gated community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a bright, open layout and is well-maintained, making it a good investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Updating the landscaping — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Reorganizing the interior layout — Can improve functionality and increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Updating the landscaping — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Reorganizing the interior layout — Can improve functionality and increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Cathedral City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #11749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cathedral City, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 52,267
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,267
- Household income
- $73,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1682.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.57%
- Current HPI
- 356.9845
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — GPSMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $164,999 GPSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…