17003 Ross Rd · Southwest City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- Cash flow +4.3/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bed 2 bath doublewide on permanent foundation on 1 acre with detached 12 ft x 32 ft garage with a inground storm shelter. This one wont last long. There is additional land available , one tract additional is 5.01 acres MLS # 1146181 and other is 23.06 acres additional on MLS # 1146186
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Soaking tub
- Split floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee listed as monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water available; Septic system (septic tank) available
- Home design: Single-story; Double wide mobile home
- Construction: Block foundation; Block and concrete construction with vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Resale property (less than 25 years old)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Patio; Gravel driveway; Outbuilding; Back yard fencing; Property located outside city limits; Lot is cleared and level; Dirt road frontage on a county/public road; Faces east
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 13' x 13'); Eat-in kitchen (approx. 9' x 10'); Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the main level (approx. 9'9" x 12'4"); Bedroom on the main level (approx. 9'9" x 12'6")
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom layout; Double pane windows; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Utility room on the main level (approx. 7'6" x 8'); Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-601 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (38.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (46.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (46.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#525 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Gravette School District (rural): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 238 in AR (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $225k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.54% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.45%
- DSCR
- 0.49
- GRM
- 15.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $192,412
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- 16.94%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $22,415
- Equity at exit
- $136,890
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $97,160
- Equity at exit
- $244,404
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72768
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Price-to-rent
- 15.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $-601
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-446 | -5% $-523 | +0% $-601 | +5% $-679 | +10% $-757 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-696 | -5% $-649 | +0% $-601 | +5% $-553 | +10% $-506 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-488 | -0.5pp $-544 | base $-601 | +0.5pp $-659 | +1.0pp $-719 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-04status Active 1020-char remark
-
2026-05-01historical 1020-char remark
-
2026-04-30$225,000 Active 1020-char remark
-
2020-07-21soldstatus $120,000
-
2020-07-17soldstatus $120,000 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Nice 3 bed 2 bath doublewide on permanent foundation on 1 acre with detached 12 ft x 32 ft garage with a inground storm shelter. This one wont last long. There is additional land available , one tract additional is 5.01 acres MLS # 1146181 and other is 23.06 acres additional on MLS # 1146186
-
2020-05-05$120,000 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Nice 3 bed 2 bath doublewide on permanent foundation on 1 acre with detached 12 ft x 32 ft garage with a inground storm shelter. This one wont last long. There is additional land available , one tract additional is 5.01 acres MLS # 1146181 and other is 23.06 acres additional on MLS # 1146186
-
2016-10-07soldstatus $66,900
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
17003 Ross Rd. , Sulphur Springs. Like new spacious double wide manufactured home on one acre lot. Split floor plan, Large living room with corner fireplace. Nice roomy kitchen, Laundry room, Garden tub & stall shower in MBR bath. Private setting. New inground storm cellar. Will FHA & VA
-
2016-02-26$74,900
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
17003 Ross Rd. , Sulphur Springs. Like new spacious double wide manufactured home on one acre lot. Split floor plan, Large living room with corner fireplace. Nice roomy kitchen, Laundry room, Garden tub & stall shower in MBR bath. Private setting. New inground storm cellar. Will FHA & VA
-
2015-12-30soldstatus $46,277
-
2015-08-14$50,604
-
2006-06-02soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$11,479
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,755
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,458/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gravette School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506840
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,964
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #3728
- State rank
- #26 of 238 in AR
Livability — Southwest City
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #19788
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,320
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 21% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Danish 10% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.68%
- Current HPI
- 420.7339
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+2150.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — NWARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Delisted — NWARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $225,000 NWARMLS
- 2020-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $120,000 NWARMLS
- 2020-05-05 Listed $120,000 NWARMLS
- 2016-10-07 Sold (MLS) $66,900 NWARMLS
- 2016-02-26 Listed $74,900 NWARMLS
- 2015-12-30 Sold (MLS) $46,277 NWARMLS
- 2015-08-14 Listed $50,604 NWARMLS
- 2006-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $25 · -73.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…