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17003 Ross Rd
F Composite 24.48
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.4/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$225,000

17003 Ross Rd · Southwest City, MO 72768
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2007 1.01 ac lot $139/sqft · 17% above area Est $192k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 3 bed 2 bath doublewide on permanent foundation on 1 acre with detached 12 ft x 32 ft garage with a inground storm shelter. This one wont last long. There is additional land available , one tract additional is 5.01 acres MLS # 1146181 and other is 23.06 acres additional on MLS # 1146186

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Soaking tub
  • Split floor plan

Tags

PRIVATE SETTINGSPLIT FLOOR PLANWALK-IN CLOSETSOAKING TUBFENCED BACKYARDSTORM SHELTER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association fee listed as monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water available; Septic system (septic tank) available
  • Home design: Single-story; Double wide mobile home
  • Construction: Block foundation; Block and concrete construction with vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Resale property (less than 25 years old)
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Patio; Gravel driveway; Outbuilding; Back yard fencing; Property located outside city limits; Lot is cleared and level; Dirt road frontage on a county/public road; Faces east

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 13' x 13'); Eat-in kitchen (approx. 9' x 10'); Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on the main level (approx. 9'9" x 12'4"); Bedroom on the main level (approx. 9'9" x 12'6")
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom layout; Double pane windows; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room on the main level (approx. 7'6" x 8'); Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-601 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (38.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (46.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (46.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#525 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gravette School District (rural): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 238 in AR (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $225k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,738 (46.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.54%
Cap rate
3.09%
Cash-on-cash
-11.45%
DSCR
0.49
GRM
15.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$192,412
List price
$225,000
Delta
16.94%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$22,415
Equity at exit
$136,890
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$97,160
Equity at exit
$244,404

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 72768

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Price-to-rent
15.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax est. 1.5%
$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$-601

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,968
Max offer price $138,021
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-446 -5% $-523 +0% $-601 +5% $-679 +10% $-757
Rent -10% $-696 -5% $-649 +0% $-601 +5% $-553 +10% $-506
Rate -1.0pp $-488 -0.5pp $-544 base $-601 +0.5pp $-659 +1.0pp $-719

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Active 1020-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    historical 1020-char remark
  3. 2026-04-30
    listed $225,000 Active 1020-char remark
  4. 2020-07-21
    soldstatus $120,000
  5. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $120,000 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Nice 3 bed 2 bath doublewide on permanent foundation on 1 acre with detached 12 ft x 32 ft garage with a inground storm shelter. This one wont last long. There is additional land available , one tract additional is 5.01 acres MLS # 1146181 and other is 23.06 acres additional on MLS # 1146186

  6. 2020-05-05
    listed $120,000 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Nice 3 bed 2 bath doublewide on permanent foundation on 1 acre with detached 12 ft x 32 ft garage with a inground storm shelter. This one wont last long. There is additional land available , one tract additional is 5.01 acres MLS # 1146181 and other is 23.06 acres additional on MLS # 1146186

  7. 2016-10-07
    soldstatus $66,900
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    17003 Ross Rd. , Sulphur Springs. Like new spacious double wide manufactured home on one acre lot. Split floor plan, Large living room with corner fireplace. Nice roomy kitchen, Laundry room, Garden tub & stall shower in MBR bath. Private setting. New inground storm cellar. Will FHA & VA

  8. 2016-02-26
    listed $74,900
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    17003 Ross Rd. , Sulphur Springs. Like new spacious double wide manufactured home on one acre lot. Split floor plan, Large living room with corner fireplace. Nice roomy kitchen, Laundry room, Garden tub & stall shower in MBR bath. Private setting. New inground storm cellar. Will FHA & VA

  9. 2015-12-30
    soldstatus $46,277
  10. 2015-08-14
    listed $50,604
  11. 2006-06-02
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,489
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,375
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,159
− Management
−$1,159
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$11,479
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,755
After-tax cash flow
$-4,458/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gravette School District
NCES district ID
0506840
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,964
Composite
40.41/100
National rank
#3728
State rank
#26 of 238 in AR

Livability — Southwest City

Score
59/100
State rank
#525
US rank
#19788

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,320

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 21% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Danish 10% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.68%
Current HPI
420.7339
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2150.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Delisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $225,000 NWARMLS
  • 2020-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $120,000 NWARMLS
  • 2020-05-05 Listed $120,000 NWARMLS
  • 2016-10-07 Sold (MLS) $66,900 NWARMLS
  • 2016-02-26 Listed $74,900 NWARMLS
  • 2015-12-30 Sold (MLS) $46,277 NWARMLS
  • 2015-08-14 Listed $50,604 NWARMLS
  • 2006-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $25 · -73.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…