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413 Sioux Trl
B- Composite 68.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

413 Sioux Trl · Chattanooga, TN 37411
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 712 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1920 3,528 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked away on the side of Missionary Ridge is this cozy 1 bedroom 1 bathroom home - with a little TLC it makes an affordable investment property or home! Approximately 15 years ago, it was gutted down to the studs and plaster was removed and replaced with drywall as well as updates to electrical and plumbing. Roof, gutters, hot water heater and dishwasher are approximately 2 years old. HVAC is approximately 12 years old. House is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • Updates to plumbing
  • 3,528 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920

Tags

GUTTED DOWN TO THE STUDSUPDATES TO ELECTRICALUPDATES TO PLUMBINGROOF APPROXIMATELY 2 YEARS OLD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Stone, wood siding and other exterior materials; Asphalt shingle roof; Built with traditional construction materials
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Gentle sloping lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range and oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range and oven; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Crawl space
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Ridge Elementary (math 22% / reading 18%, grade F, #644 of 952 statewide, top 68%, 996 students, 0% FRL); Dalewood Middle School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #278 of 333 statewide, top 85%, 258 students, 0% FRL); Brainerd High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #294 of 332 statewide, top 91%, 635 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 127 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.15%
Cash-on-cash
20.91%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$9,373
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$30,281
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37411

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,117 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $478/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $623
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3245 Idlewild Dr Unit 2 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 722 $1,200 $1.66 23d 1 0.20mi
3301 Navajo Dr Unit 5 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 500 $850 $1.70 23d 1 0.43mi
400 Alice Dr Unit A Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 700 $999 $1.43 13d 1 0.54mi
12 Bellflower Cir Unit 2 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 565 $985 $1.74 23d 1 0.65mi
102 S Germantown Rd Unit A Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.5 500 $1,475 $2.95 13d 1 0.68mi
34 Woodlawn Dr Unit 4 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 650 $1,000 $1.54 23d 1 0.69mi
3309 Pinewood Ter Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 600 $1,093 $1.82 23d 1 0.70mi
3222 Gleason Dr Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 664 $955 $1.44 23d 2 0.70mi
3222 Gleason Dr Chattanooga, TN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 817 $930 $1.14 13d 4 0.70mi
1075 S Watkins St Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 771 $1,300 $1.69 13d 1 0.75mi
3621 Monte Vista Dr Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,200 $1.66 23d 1 0.77mi
3634 Monte Vista Dr Unit 3634 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 728 $995 $1.37 13d 1 0.79mi
2400 15th Ave Unit 336 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 625 $950 $1.52 23d 1 0.86mi
1703 S Lyerly St Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,199 $1.71 13d 1 0.87mi
73 Shallowford Rd Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 541 $1,190 $2.20 13d 1 0.87mi
73 Shallowford Rd Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 541 $1,190 $2.20 23d 1 0.87mi
918 Donaldson Rd Chattanooga, TN 1.0–2.0 1.0 751 $790 $1.05 23d 2 0.97mi
2104 Union Ave Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 408 $950 $2.33 23d 1 0.99mi
2109 Bailey Ave Apt 203 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 504 $1,000 $1.98 13d 1 1.00mi
2003 Bailey Ave Unit 2009 304 Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 23d 1 1.10mi
2003 Bailey Ave Unit 2003 304 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 550 $1,150 $2.09 13d 1 1.10mi
2003 Bailey Ave Unit 2003 208 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 550 $1,150 $2.09 23d 1 1.10mi
2414 Shady Ln Unit B Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 700 $1,500 $2.14 23d 1 1.16mi
2602 14th Ave Unit B Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 23d 1 1.16mi
2609 14th Ave Unit 3 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 616 $850 $1.38 23d 1 1.17mi
2004 Garfield St Unit 102 Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,400 $2.00 23d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $79,900 Pending 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 455-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$478 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$567 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$89/yr (+$7/mo · 18.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,398
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$478
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,072
− Management
−$1,072
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$858
After-tax cash flow
$3,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton County
NCES district ID
4701590
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,456
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7122
State rank
#42 of 139 in TN

Livability — Chattanooga

Score
78/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#2582

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chattanooga, TN
County
Hamilton County · 312,777 people
City population
131,999
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
18,997
Household income
$56,579
Rent vs Own
38.9% rent · 61.1% own
Severe rent burden
685.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
393,784 people
By 2030
412,983 · +4.9%
By 2040
449,502 · +14.1%
By 2050
484,341 · +23.0%
By 2075
565,746 · +43.7%
By 2100
618,394 · +57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -190.85%
Current HPI
240.2557
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $79,900 GCAR
  • 2010-04-05 Listed $64,900 RCAOR

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $478 · +29.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…