413 Sioux Trl · Chattanooga, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away on the side of Missionary Ridge is this cozy 1 bedroom 1 bathroom home - with a little TLC it makes an affordable investment property or home! Approximately 15 years ago, it was gutted down to the studs and plaster was removed and replaced with drywall as well as updates to electrical and plumbing. Roof, gutters, hot water heater and dishwasher are approximately 2 years old. HVAC is approximately 12 years old. House is being sold as is.
Key facts
- Updates to plumbing
- 3,528 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Fixer condition
- Construction: Stone foundation; Stone, wood siding and other exterior materials; Asphalt shingle roof; Built with traditional construction materials
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Gentle sloping lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range and oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range and oven; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Ridge Elementary (math 22% / reading 18%, grade F, #644 of 952 statewide, top 68%, 996 students, 0% FRL); Dalewood Middle School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #278 of 333 statewide, top 85%, 258 students, 0% FRL); Brainerd High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #294 of 332 statewide, top 91%, 635 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 127 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.91%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $9,373
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $30,281
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37411
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,117 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3245 Idlewild Dr Unit 2 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3301 Navajo Dr Unit 5 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $850 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 400 Alice Dr Unit A Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $999 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 12 Bellflower Cir Unit 2 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 565 | $985 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 102 S Germantown Rd Unit A Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 500 | $1,475 | $2.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 34 Woodlawn Dr Unit 4 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,000 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3309 Pinewood Ter Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,093 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3222 Gleason Dr Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $955 | $1.44 | 23d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 3222 Gleason Dr Chattanooga, TN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 817 | $930 | $1.14 | 13d | 4 | 0.70mi |
| 1075 S Watkins St Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,300 | $1.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3621 Monte Vista Dr Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3634 Monte Vista Dr Unit 3634 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $995 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2400 15th Ave Unit 336 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $950 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1703 S Lyerly St Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,199 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 73 Shallowford Rd Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 541 | $1,190 | $2.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 73 Shallowford Rd Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 541 | $1,190 | $2.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 918 Donaldson Rd Chattanooga, TN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 751 | $790 | $1.05 | 23d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 2104 Union Ave Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 408 | $950 | $2.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2109 Bailey Ave Apt 203 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,000 | $1.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2003 Bailey Ave Unit 2009 304 Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2003 Bailey Ave Unit 2003 304 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,150 | $2.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2003 Bailey Ave Unit 2003 208 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,150 | $2.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2414 Shady Ln Unit B Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2602 14th Ave Unit B Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2609 14th Ave Unit 3 Chattanooga, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $850 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2004 Garfield St Unit 102 Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,400 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19status $79,900 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 455-char remark
-
2026-06-18$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $567 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$89/yr (+$7/mo · 18.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,072
- − Management
- −$1,072
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,577
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$858
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,821/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton County
- NCES district ID
- 4701590
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,456
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7122
- State rank
- #42 of 139 in TN
Livability — Chattanooga
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #2582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chattanooga, TN
- County
- Hamilton County · 312,777 people
- City population
- 131,999
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,997
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 685.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 393,784 people
- By 2030
- 412,983 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 449,502 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 484,341 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 565,746 · +43.7%
- By 2100
- 618,394 · +57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.85%
- Current HPI
- 240.2557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+23.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Pending — GCAR
- 2026-06-18 Listed $79,900 GCAR
- 2010-04-05 Listed $64,900 RCAOR
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $478 · +29.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…