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162 Ash St
D+ Composite 49.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$26,000

162 Ash St · Park Forest, IL 60466
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Townhouse · 46 Days on market
Est $52k · 50% under $748/mo HOA · 42% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come and enjoy this spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath townhome located in the Ash Street Co-Op. This home features gleaming hardwood floors throughout, generous closet space, and ample storage. Both bedrooms are well-sized, and the unit offers convenient washer and dryer hookups. Residents have access to comprehensive maintenance, including building exteriors, HVAC systems, water heaters, plumbing, electrical wiring, lawn care, trees, common areas, and snow removal. On-demand maintenance is available to owners as needed. Buyers must receive approval from Co-op Management and qualify based on credit, income, and background review. Owner-occupancy is required; rentals are not permitted. A $50 applic

Key facts

  • Hardwood floors
  • Ample storage
  • $748 HOA

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSGENEROUS CLOSET SPACEAMPLE STORAGEWASHER AND DRYER HOOKUPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit building
  • Financial info: Not currently leased; No special service area
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $748; HOA covers exterior maintenance, lawn care, and snow removal; Pets allowed (cats and dogs allowed; large pets permitted)

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking (1 space); Additional/other parking
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Attached single property; Townhouse — 2 story; Entry level: 1st floor
  • Construction: Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Property built before 1978
  • Exterior features: School bus service

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (13 x 8) with ceramic tile flooring
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on second floor (15 x 13) with hardwood floors; Second bedroom on second floor (14 x 10) with hardwood floors; Additional bedrooms noted
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living areas and bedrooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Other flooring in basement laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement (10 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $26k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $26k).
  • Recommended offer: $25k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 9.7% in Park Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $180 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $780 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
Recommended offer $25,220 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.89%
Cap rate
28.84%
Cash-on-cash
80.52%
DSCR
4.58
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$51,800
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
162 Ash St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,400 (0%) 0mo $26,000 $19 100
267 Juniper St #0 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,400 (0%) 2mo $65,000 $46 63
215 Krotiak Rd 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,218 (-13%) 11mo $45,000 $37 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
81.3%
Equity multiple
4.76×
Total profit
$27,384
Equity at exit
$3,877
10-year hold
IRR
84.9%
Equity multiple
10.05×
Total profit
$65,882
Equity at exit
$2,248

Cash invested: $7,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60466

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,793 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$136
Tax est. 1.5%
$32 /mo · $390/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$748
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,174
Max offer price $26,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,500
Closing costs
$780
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
631 Andover St Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 4d 1 0.33mi
444 Hickory St Unit 2A Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 1d 1 0.61mi
436 W Hickory St Unit Na Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,800 $1.65 1d 1 0.62mi
432 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 20d 1 0.63mi
417 W Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 20d 1 0.69mi
3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,680 $1.64 1d 11 0.78mi
370 E 17th St Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1058 $2,600 $2.46 17d 1 0.82mi
1267 Division St Unit 1267 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,500 $1.25 1d 1 1.07mi
398 W Lincoln Hwy Unit 4 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 1d 1 1.08mi
19 Apple Ln Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1541 $2,300 $1.49 12d 1 1.27mi
1667 Buena Vista Ave Unit 1st floor Chicago Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 24d 1 1.33mi
63 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 24d 1 1.48mi
236 Chestnut Ave Unit S South Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1032 $2,000 $1.94 24d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$748 · $8,976/yr
Likely covers
waterelectriclandscapingsnow removal

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $26,000 Pending 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $26,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $26,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $26,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-05-06
    status Active
  6. 2026-04-29
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  7. 2026-04-17
    listed $26,000 Active
  8. 2026-03-11
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  9. 2026-03-10
    historical
  10. 2026-02-10
    status Active
  11. 2026-01-30
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  12. 2026-01-09
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,511
− Mortgage interest
−$1,456
− Property taxes
−$390
− Insurance
−$130
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,721
− Management
−$1,721
− HOA
−$8,976
− Depreciation
−$756
Taxable income
$6,360
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,527
After-tax cash flow
$4,335/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Park Forest

Score
78/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#2726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park Forest, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
21,461
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
21,461
Household income
$61,654
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.87%
Current HPI
219.9692
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $26,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…