3220 Crescent Ave #39 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large Kitchen, Covered Patio, Family Room! Kitchen has eating area. Large Living Room, semi formal Dining room & 3 great bedrooms. Nice appointments throughout. Oversized and finished garage with openers. Fenced back yard with lots of room for gardening. Master suite features double sink vanity & step-in shower. POSSIBLE OWNER CARRY O.A.C.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Large kitchen
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: R-1 zoning; Listing status: Active
- Financial info: Lot rent paid monthly
- HOA & community: Located in Summer Oaks park; Land lease in effect (land lease expiration: June 30, 2026); Lot rent charged monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer; No green certification indicated
- Home design: Manufactured home in park (residential); Single-story/main level living; Not attached to another property; Built in 1996
- Construction: Built in 1996; T-111 siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Manufactured by Golden West Homes
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Fenced yard; Garden; Sprinkler system; Yard; T-111 siding; Composition roof; Level lot; Paved road access; Territorial view
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Built-in range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Kitchen island; Microwave; Sliding doors accessed from kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with vaulted ceiling; Second bedroom on main level with vaulted ceiling; Third bedroom on main level with vaulted ceiling
- Flooring: Wall-to-wall carpet throughout main living areas and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laundry area; Washer and dryer included; Wall-to-wall carpet; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Utility room on main level; Washer and dryer included; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $247k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.7% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Eugene SD 4J (urban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #10 of 58 in OR (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Gilham Elementary School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #79 of 412 statewide, top 21%, 584 students, 36% FRL); Cal Young Middle School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade D-, #38 of 128 statewide, top 31%, 494 students, 48% FRL); Sheldon High School (math 70% / reading 70%, grade B, #14 of 143 statewide, top 10%, 1,525 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $108k; list at $285k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.46%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $272,646
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3220 Crescent Ave #102 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,776 (-0%) | 10mo | $271,000 | $153 | 91 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #55 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,829 (+3%) | 9mo | $294,000 | $161 | 88 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #64 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,870 (+5%) | 7mo | $272,400 | $146 | 86 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #78 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (-4%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $142 | 81 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #33 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,755 (-2%) | 21mo | $286,900 | $163 | 80 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #80 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,906 (+7%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $152 | 80 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #81 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,891 (+6%) | 9mo | $305,000 | $161 | 78 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #25 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,782 (0%) | 24mo | $262,000 | $147 | 75 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #91 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,920 (+8%) | 24mo | $293,000 | $153 | 68 |
| 3220 Crescent Ave #89 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-10%) | 18mo | $263,000 | $164 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-33,417
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-5,814
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97408
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,470 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $325 | -5% $244 | +0% $163 | +5% $83 | +10% $2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-32 | -5% $66 | +0% $163 | +5% $261 | +10% $359 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $307 | -0.5pp $236 | base $163 | +0.5pp $90 | +1.0pp $14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2850 Shadow View Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1172 | $2,570 | $2.19 | 15d | 23 | 0.28mi |
| 2847 Tennyson Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $2,515 | $2.79 | 15d | 8 | 0.56mi |
| 2754 Chad Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1381 | $2,295 | $1.66 | 46d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 53 Hillview 1 Unit 1 Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $2,595 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2940 Matt Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 46d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1740 Adkins St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 15d | 8 | 0.79mi |
| 2545 Benson Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $2,400 | $1.79 | 46d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2310 Snelling Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,395 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2423 Benson Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $2,800 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2517 Quebec St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 46d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1981 Margaret St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,495 | $1.56 | 46d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-22remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-22$285,000 Active 9 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,100 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,764 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$664/yr (+$55/mo · 31.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,372
- − Management
- −$2,372
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$2,878
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$691
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eugene SD 4J
- NCES district ID
- 4104740
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,688
- Composite
- 42.15/100
- National rank
- #3302
- State rank
- #10 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,420
- Household income
- $104,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 402.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.97%
- Current HPI
- 286.5805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-9.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2010-05-25 Sold (MLS) $108,000 RMLS
- 2010-04-20 Pending — RMLS
- 2010-02-12 Listed $119,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,100 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…