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606 E 164th Pl
B Composite 71.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$186,000

606 E 164th Pl · South Holland, IL 60473
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,105 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1959 Est $209k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 606 E 164th Pl in South Holland! This spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offers plenty of room for comfortable living and entertaining. With a thoughtful layout, this home is perfect for anyone looking for extra space inside and out. The property includes a large 2-car detached garage, providing convenience and storage, plus a backyard ideal for gatherings, gardening, or relaxing outdoors. Inside, you'll appreciate the generous room sizes that make this a truly large home with flexibility for today's lifestyle. Located close to shopping, dining, and entertainment, this home combines convenience with comfort - don't miss your chance to make it home!

Key facts

  • Close to dining
  • Close to shopping
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

LARGE DETACHED GARAGEBACKYARD FOR GATHERINGSCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO DININGCLOSE TO ENTERTAINMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Some photos are virtually staged; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces; 2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level with sub-level; Fee simple ownership; Built prior to 1978 (age 61–70 years)
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot under 1/4 acre; Lot dimensions: 6400

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main level)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (Master on main; additional bedrooms on main, second, and lower levels)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement bathroom present
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished and partially finished basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $186k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $819 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $186k).
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 8.4% in South Holland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $135k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $186,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
11.58%
Cash-on-cash
18.88%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$208,845
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16645 Cottage Grove Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,120 (+1%) 1mo $211,894 $189 80
16728 School St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,170 (+6%) 2mo $196,000 $168 73
16417 Claire Ln 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,209 (+9%) 2mo $254,995 $211 73
823 E 163rd St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,184 (+7%) 1mo $197,500 $167 70
535 E 166th Pl 0.27mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (+9%) 2mo $156,500 $130 66
811 E 169th Pl 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,123 (+2%) 3mo $257,000 $229 66
944 E 163rd Pl 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,205 (+9%) 2mo $201,000 $167 61
16815 Wausau Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,076 (-3%) 2mo $151,000 $140 60
16811 Wausau Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,145 (+4%) 3mo $245,000 $214 57
16914 Parkside Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,187 (+7%) 3mo $224,700 $189 52
1006 E 163rd St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,263 (+14%) 1mo $262,500 $208 51
16428 Greenwood Ave 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+14%) 3mo $215,000 $171 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$22,401
Equity at exit
$27,733
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$88,143
Equity at exit
$16,082

Cash invested: $52,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60473

Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,290 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$975
Tax from tax record
$727 /mo · $8,719/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$691
Net cashflow
$819

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,253
Max offer price $186,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,500
Closing costs
$5,580
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,170 $2.54 1d 1 0.51mi
16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1136 $3,330 $2.93 6d 1 0.94mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 7d 1 1.21mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 24d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $186,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $186,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $186,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $186,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $186,000 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $186,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $186,000 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $186,000 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $186,000 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $186,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $186,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $186,000 Active 131 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $186,000 Active 130 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $186,000 Active 129 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $186,000
  16. 2026-04-03
    status Active
  17. 2026-03-19
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  18. 2026-03-06
    price $190,000
  19. 2026-02-13
    price $198,000
  20. 2026-01-22
    listed $204,000 Active
  21. 2026-01-22
    historical
  22. 2026-01-16
    price
  23. 2025-12-19
    price
  24. 2025-11-21
    price
  25. 2025-11-05
    listed Active
  26. 2025-11-05
    historical
  27. 2025-10-24
    price
  28. 2025-10-03
    price
  29. 2025-09-19
    price
  30. 2025-09-12
    price
  31. 2025-08-28
    listed Active
  32. 2022-05-19
    price $2,065
  33. 2015-05-11
    soldstatus $135,000
  34. 2015-04-24
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed Sale
  35. 2015-03-11
    status Pending
  36. 2015-02-19
    listed $150,000 New
  37. 2015-01-27
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed Sale
  38. 2014-12-12
    status Pending
  39. 2014-11-20
    price $49,900
  40. 2014-10-17
    price $59,900
  41. 2014-08-28
    listed $79,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,719 · $727/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,719 · $727/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,477
− Mortgage interest
−$10,419
− Property taxes
−$8,719
− Insurance
−$930
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,158
− Management
−$3,158
− Depreciation
−$5,411
Taxable income
$7,682
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,844
After-tax cash flow
$7,989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — South Holland

Score
77/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#3071

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Holland, IL
City population
21,407
Population (ZIP)
21,407

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.36%
Current HPI
201.2479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.8% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $186,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $190,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $198,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $204,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-19 Price Changed $2,065 RENT.
  • 2015-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2015-04-24 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-11 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-19 Listed $150,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-27 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-12 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-20 Price Changed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-17 Price Changed $59,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-28 Listed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $8,719 · +47.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…