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202 Coneflower Rd
D+ Composite 45.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$233,000

202 Coneflower Rd · Savannah, GA 31302
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,418 sqft · Townhouse public records · 128 Days on market
Built 2023 Excellent condition 2,178 sqft lot Garage $164/sqft · 11% below area Est $261k · 11% under $200/mo HOA · 9% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Let the Seller's Short Sale be Your Gain! Enjoy resort-style living at an exceptional value in this beautiful townhome located in The Pines at New Hampstead! This thoughtfully designed home features an open-concept floor plan with a spacious living area and a chef’s kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, an appliance pantry, a separate food pantry, and a center island—perfect for entertaining. Being an end unit, the additional windows flood the home with sunlight. The large upstairs owner's suite offers a walk-in closet and a spa-like bathroom with double vanities, granite countertops, a spacious shower, and plenty of room to unwind.

Key facts

  • Chef kitchen
  • Appliance pantry
  • Separate food pantry

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT FLOOR PLANCHEF KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESAPPLIANCE PANTRYSEPARATE FOOD PANTRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $233k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-378/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (2.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Savannah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
  • Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 439 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $205,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94% ✗
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.58%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$261,020
List price
$233,000
Delta
-10.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Coneflower Rd 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $254,880 $180 98
435 Salvia Rd 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $235,000 $166 98
184 Coneflower Rd 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $255,000 $180 96
121 Coneflower Rd 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $255,000 $180 95
435 Salvia Rd 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $182,750 $129 94
203 Coneflower Rd 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 8mo $250,000 $176 92

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.9%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-46,035
Equity at exit
$34,741
10-year hold
IRR
-24.4%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-66,881
Equity at exit
$20,146

Cash invested: $65,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
9 active · 9 under contract
Months of supply
10.8 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$249,880 ($176/sqft)
Median days on market
102 d
This list price
11% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+4.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 31302

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Rents YoY
-5.5%
Active inventory
439
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,181 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,222
Tax from tax record
−$236 /mo · $2,828/yr
Insurance
−$97
HOA
−$200
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$458
Net cashflow
$-32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,221
Max offer price $227,429
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $100 -5% $34 +0% $-32 +5% $-97 +10% $-163
Rent -10% $-204 -5% $-118 +0% $-32 +5% $55 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $86 -0.5pp $28 base $-32 +0.5pp $-92 +1.0pp $-153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,250
Closing costs
$6,990
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
223 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1418 $1,950 $1.38 31d 1 0.01mi
183 Coneflower Rd Unit Labs Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,000 $1.41 5d 1 0.03mi
210 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1418 $1,900 $1.34 36d 1 0.03mi
214 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,300 $1.62 184d 1 0.03mi
173 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,000 $1.41 2d 1 0.04mi
169 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,000 $1.41 0d 1 0.04mi
164 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,100 $1.48 0d 1 0.05mi
164 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,100 $1.48 1d 1 0.05mi
128 Skylark Rd Bloomingdale, GA 4.0 2.0 1786 $2,195 $1.23 2d 1 0.44mi
404 Turpentine Trl Bloomingdale, GA 4.0 2.0 1775 $2,350 $1.32 154d 1 0.49mi
217 Justify Ave Bloomingdale, GA 3.0 2.0 1449 $2,195 $1.51 35d 1 0.93mi
480 John Carter Rd Bloomingdale, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,332 $2.33 0d 20 1.08mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Subdivision: The Pines at New HampsteadDirections available
HOA & community
Homeowners association with $200 monthly feeCommunity clubhouseFitness centerPlaygroundPoolStreet lights and sidewalks

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage with garage door opener1 garage space
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerUnderground utilitiesRoad access via asphalt and concrete
Home design
Townhouse2 storiesProperty is attached with one common wall
Construction
Vinyl sidingTar/gravel roofConcrete perimeter and slab foundationBuilt as residential townhouse
Exterior features
Front porchCommunity poolOn a lagoon waterfrontHas a viewAccessible features

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveOvenRangeRefrigeratorElectric water heater
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroomAccessible full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
Interior features
Kitchen islandPantry
Laundry & utility
Washer hookup on upper level

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $233,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $233,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $233,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $233,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $233,000 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $233,000 Active 122 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $233,000 Active 121 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $233,000 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $233,000 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $233,000 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $233,000 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $233,000 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $233,000 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $233,000 Active 114 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $233,000 Active 113 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $233,000 Active 112 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $233,000 Active 111 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $233,000 Active 110 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $233,000 Active 109 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $233,000 Active 108 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $233,000 Active 107 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $233,000 Active 106 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $233,000 Active 105 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $233,000 Active 104 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $233,000 Active 103 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $233,000 Active 102 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $233,000 Active 101 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $233,000 Active 100 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $233,000 Active 99 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $233,000 Active 98 DOM
  31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $233,000 Active 97 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $233,000 Active 96 DOM
  33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $233,000 Active 95 DOM
  34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $233,000 Active 94 DOM
  35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $233,000 Active 93 DOM
  36. 2026-10-03
    days on market $233,000 Active 92 DOM
  37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $233,000 Active 91 DOM
  38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $233,000 Active 90 DOM
  39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $233,000 Active 89 DOM
  40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $233,000 Active 88 DOM
  41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $233,000 Active 87 DOM
  42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $233,000 Active 86 DOM
  43. 2026-09-26
    days on market $233,000 Active 85 DOM
  44. 2026-09-25
    days on market $233,000 Active 84 DOM
  45. 2026-09-24
    pricestatus $233,000 Active 83 DOM
  46. 2026-08-30
    statusdays on market $219,900 Pending 83 DOM
  47. 2026-08-29
    days on market $219,900 Active Under Contract 82 DOM
  48. 2026-08-28
    days on market $219,900 Active Under Contract 81 DOM
  49. 2026-08-27
    days on market $219,900 Active Under Contract 80 DOM
  50. 2026-08-26
    days on market $219,900 Active Under Contract 79 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,828 · $236/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,828 · $236/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,173
− Mortgage interest
−$13,052
− Property taxes
−$2,828
− Insurance
−$1,165
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,094
− Management
−$2,094
− HOA
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$6,778
Taxable loss
−$4,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,017
After-tax cash flow
$638/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This well-maintained townhome in The Pines at New Hampstead is move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by adding modern conveniences ↑
F Composite school gradezoned avg 18/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary New Hampstead K-8 School High New Hampstead High School F GA #254/424 Nat'l #14,713/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Savannah-Chatham County
NCES district ID
1301020
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$47,443
Composite
20.14/100
National rank
#8639
State rank
#134 of 174 in GA
A Composite livability gradescore 86/100

Livability — Savannah

Score
86/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#397

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Savannah, GA
County
Effingham County · 332,584 people
City population
216,564
Metro
Savannah, GA
Population (ZIP)
8,899
Household income
$68,998
Rent vs Own
32.4% rent · 67.6% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
332,584 people
By 2030
355,508 · +6.9%
By 2040
400,030 · +20.3%
By 2050
443,019 · +33.2%
By 2075
534,579 · +60.7%
By 2100
583,863 · +75.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chatham

2024 margin
D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $236,498 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Pending — Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-11 Listed — Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $255,000 Hive MLS
  • 2023-06-15 Sold (MLS) $260,450 Hive MLS
  • 2023-02-06 Listed $260,450 Hive MLS
  • 2023-02-06 Listed $260,450 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+131.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,828 · -48.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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