3210 Junior Pl · Shreveport, LA 71109

$45,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,843 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1999 1.08 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0

Listing remarks

Cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with approximately 1,843 square feet on just over 1 acre in Shreveport. Property is in very poor condition and will require a full renovation, including extensive cosmetic work and repair or replacement of major systems. Home will not qualify for traditional financing and is being sold strictly as-is, where-is, with no repairs or concessions by seller. Buyer and buyer’s agent to verify all measurements, utilities, and intended use.

Key facts

• 1.08 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1999

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Possession expected in 30–60 days
• Financial info: No second mortgage reported; Listing offered under an Exclusive Right To Sell agreement
• HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

• Parking: On-site parking; One-car garage; No covered or carport spaces reported
• Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1999; One story
• Construction: Year built: 1999
• Exterior features: Approximately 1.08-acre lot; Will not subdivide; Subdivision: Myers Sub

Interior

• Kitchen: Other appliances
• Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the main level)
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Interior features: One-level layout; Three total rooms; No fireplaces; Other interior features
• Laundry & utility: No specific laundry/utility details provided

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $45k).
• Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $531 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.21% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 42.04%
• DSCR: 2.87
• GRM: 3.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $263,549
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3841 Lakeside Dr	0.62mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,586 (-14%)	1mo	$227,500	$143	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 41.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.94×
• Total profit: $24,391
• Equity at exit: $10,472

10-year hold

• IRR: 45.7%
• Equity multiple: 5.83×
• Total profit: $60,867
• Equity at exit: $10,668

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71109

• Home prices YoY: -2.1%
• Active inventory: 123
• Price-to-rent: 3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $992 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax from tax record: −$88 /mo · $1,054/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$208
• Net cashflow: $441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $434

Max offer price $45,000

Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $467	-5% $454	+0% $441	+5% $429	+10% $416
Rent	-10% $363	-5% $402	+0% $441	+5% $481	+10% $520
Rate	-1.0pp $464	-0.5pp $453	base $441	+0.5pp $430	+1.0pp $418

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,250
• Closing costs: $1,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4131 Barbara Ave Shreveport, LA	3.0	1.0	1400	$1,200	$0.86	44d	1	1.04mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-14
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-09
   listed $45,000 Active
3. 2001-04-09
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,054 · $88/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,054 · $88/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,908
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,521
• − Property taxes: −$1,054
• − Insurance: −$225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$953
• − Management: −$953
• − Depreciation: −$1,309
• Taxable income: $4,894
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,175
• After-tax cash flow: $4,122/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Caddo Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200300
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -33.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -30.00%
• Median HH income: $39,227
• Composite: 22.23/100
• National rank: #8148
• State rank: #53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #270
• US rank: #19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shreveport, LA
• County: Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
• City population: 164,123
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• Population (ZIP): 17,412
• Household income: $32,939
• Rent vs Own: 58.3% rent · 41.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1265.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 243,190 people
• By 2030: 237,231 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 222,502 · -8.5%
• By 2050: 206,516 · -15.1%
• By 2075: 165,706 · -31.9%
• By 2100: 122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 95% White 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.18%
• Current HPI: 54.4158
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-05-09 Listed $45,000 NTREIS
• 2001-04-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+14.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,054 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.