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B+ Composite 75.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

1222 Hargrove St · Rocky Mount, NC 27801
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,170 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1930 Est $115k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Three bedroom bick home. Hardwood flooring in the living and family room. Kitchen has wooden cabinets. Bedrooms are spacious. Backyard is a good size and has a lot of privacy. Property Condition UI. Case # 381-653044.

Key facts

  • Spacious bedrooms
  • Yard space
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

YARD SPACESPACIOUS BEDROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $720 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 4344% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $60k implies a 704% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.36%
Cap rate
20.70%
Cash-on-cash
51.44%
DSCR
3.29
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,660
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
929 Tyan St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,187 (+2%) 10mo $90,000 $76 70
727 Long Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,177 (+1%) 10mo $40,000 $34 68
225 Hendricks St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,203 (+3%) 2mo $20,000 $17 66
722 Long Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,231 (+5%) 10mo $48,000 $39 64
1317 Proctor St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,107 (-5%) 11mo $140,000 $126 57
801 Lincoln Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,251 (+7%) 5mo $170,000 $136 57
1525 Hargrove St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-13%) 11mo $100,000 $98 56
1104 Johnson St 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,076 (-8%) 9mo $60,000 $56 55
617 Pender St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,232 (+5%) 8mo $42,000 $34 54
1121 Hill St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-6%) 10mo $110,000 $100 54
906 Arlington St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,326 (+13%) 1mo $180,000 $136 50
540 Lincoln Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,067 (-9%) 9mo $128,000 $120 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.3%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$36,159
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
54.8%
Equity multiple
6.39×
Total profit
$90,599
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27801

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,416 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $706/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$720

Break-even live

Break-even rent $504
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2025-12-15
    historical $1,250
  2. 2025-12-07
    price $1,250
  3. 2025-11-13
    listed $1,350
  4. 2025-09-26
    historical $1,350
  5. 2025-08-26
    listed $1,350
  6. 2025-08-19
    historical $1,350
  7. 2025-07-19
    listed $1,350
  8. 2025-04-16
    historical $1,350
  9. 2025-03-15
    listed $1,350
  10. 2024-08-11
    status Pending
  11. 2024-08-05
    listed $60,000 Active
  12. 2011-07-25
    soldstatus $7,460 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Three bedroom bick home. Hardwood flooring in the living and family room. Kitchen has wooden cabinets. Bedrooms are spacious. Backyard is a good size and has a lot of privacy. Property Condition UI. Case # 381-653044.

  13. 2011-07-25
    soldstatus $7,460 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Three bedroom bick home. Hardwood flooring in the living and family room. Kitchen has wooden cabinets. Bedrooms are spacious. Backyard is a good size and has a lot of privacy. Property Condition UI. Case # 381-653044.

  14. 2011-06-09
    listed $8,250 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Three bedroom bick home. Hardwood flooring in the living and family room. Kitchen has wooden cabinets. Bedrooms are spacious. Backyard is a good size and has a lot of privacy. Property Condition UI. Case # 381-653044.

  15. 2011-06-09
    listed $8,250 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Three bedroom bick home. Hardwood flooring in the living and family room. Kitchen has wooden cabinets. Bedrooms are spacious. Backyard is a good size and has a lot of privacy. Property Condition UI. Case # 381-653044.

  16. 1992-06-15
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$706 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$706 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,993
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$706
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,359
− Management
−$1,359
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$8,162
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,959
After-tax cash flow
$6,684/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edgecombe County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701320
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,711
Composite
19.85/100
National rank
#8696
State rank
#163 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocky Mount, NC
County
Edgecombe County · 37,913 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
19,532
Household income
$44,884
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,800 people
By 2030
44,396 · -7.1%
By 2040
37,562 · -21.4%
By 2050
31,495 · -34.1%
By 2075
20,943 · -56.2%
By 2100
13,674 · -71.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% White 24% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.65%
Current HPI
296.3428
Rent YoY
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-96.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-15 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-12-07 Price Changed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-11-13 Listed for Rent $1,350 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-09-26 Rental Removed $1,350 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-08-26 Listed for Rent $1,350 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-08-19 Rental Removed $1,350 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-07-19 Listed for Rent $1,350 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-04-16 Rental Removed $1,350 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-03-15 Listed for Rent $1,350 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-08-11 Pending TMLS
  • 2024-08-05 Listed $60,000 TMLS
  • 2011-07-25 Sold (MLS) $7,460 AMLSNC
  • 2011-07-25 Sold (MLS) $7,460 TMLS
  • 2011-06-09 Listed $8,250 AMLSNC
  • 2011-06-09 Listed $8,250 TMLS
  • 1992-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $706 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…