🏷️ Likely Rental
24516 Larry Dr · Denham Springs, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity in the heart of Walker! This charming 2-bedroom home offers great potential for anyone looking to expand their investment portfolio or purchase an affordable property with income-producing possibilities. Conveniently located with easy access to local shopping, dining, and schools, this property could make an excellent rental or starter home. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and plenty of opportunity to make it your own. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, this property offers strong potential, with estimated rental income ranging from $1,200 to $1,400 per month. Don't miss the chance to add this promising property to your portfolio. Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- 0.66 acre lot
- Built 1975
- Listed 86 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $844 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 4.5% in Denham Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#29 in LA, #4,939 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 1258 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.53%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,013
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -64.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24371 Walker South Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,803 (-6%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $183 | 64 |
| 23510 Ryder Dr | 0.85mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (-8%) | 2mo | $247,035 | $139 | 46 |
| 23472 Mango Dr | 0.99mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,825 (-5%) | 11mo | $269,900 | $148 | 42 |
| 23369 Mango Dr | 0.98mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,689 (-12%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $136 | 38 |
| 23528 Ryder Dr | 0.90mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,578 (-18%) | 2mo | $237,150 | $150 | 34 |
| 23288 Conifer Dr | 1.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,557 (-19%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $141 | 33 |
| 23419 Ruger Dr | 1.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,551 (-20%) | 4mo | $234,900 | $151 | 32 |
| 23436 Encore Dr | 1.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,649 (-14%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $149 | 32 |
| 23478 Encore Dr | 1.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,617 (-16%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $136 | 28 |
| 14212 Stones Throw Ct | 0.86mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,547 (-20%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $152 | 26 |
| 23564 Conifer Dr | 0.89mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,659 (-14%) | 13mo | $234,655 | $141 | 26 |
| 23606 Conifer Dr | 0.96mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (-17%) | 13mo | $232,260 | $145 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $41,503
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 46.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.70×
- Total profit
- $111,795
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 14 under contract
- Months of supply
- 1.8 mo (56%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $254,900 ($148/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 37 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -15.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 70726
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 1258
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,811 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $844
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $902 | -5% $873 | +0% $844 | +5% $814 | +10% $785 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $700 | -5% $772 | +0% $844 | +5% $915 | +10% $987 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $886 | -0.5pp $865 | base $844 | +0.5pp $822 | +1.0pp $799 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23248 Cinder Dr Denham Springs, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $1,986 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 13783 Fig Dr Denham Springs, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,900 | $1.18 | 72d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 13739 Pinyon Dr Denham Springs, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,086 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located in the West Colyell Acres subdivision
Exterior
- Parking
- Open parking
- Utilities
- Public water
- Home design
- Single-family detached homeSingle story
- Construction
- Wood sidingFrame construction
- Exterior features
- PorchLevel topography
Interior
- Kitchen
- OvenRangeElectric cooktopDishwasherDouble ovenRange hood
- Flooring
- TileCeramic tileLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral airCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- OvenRangeElectric cooktopDishwasherDouble ovenRange hood
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookup insideElectric dryer hookup
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $85,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $85,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $85,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $85,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $85,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $85,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $85,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $85,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $85,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $85,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $85,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $85,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-22pricedays on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,736
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,739
- − Management
- −$1,739
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $9,324
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,885/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This property offers a solid investment opportunity with moderate rehab needs. A fresh coat of paint, landscaping, and flooring updates can significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Overgrown vegetation — Needs trimming and landscaping
- Minor Paint chipping — Can be touched up with a fresh coat
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint fresh coat — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring — Freshens up the interior and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livingston Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201020
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,755
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3811
- State rank
- #13 of 98 in LA
Livability — Denham Springs
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #4939
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Livingston Parish · 158,511 people
- City population
- 63,575
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,575
- Household income
- $78,621
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 158,511 people
- By 2030
- 168,241 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 186,252 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 201,516 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 231,217 · +45.9%
- By 2100
- 241,697 · +52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.37%
- Current HPI
- 170.2207
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.83%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-50.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $99,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $99,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-10-01 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2016-04-06 Listed $200,000 GBRMLS
- 2016-03-31 Listed $200,000 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…