🏗️ New Construction
Lancia's Franklin II Plan · Fort Wayne, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$222,100
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Franklin II is an easy plan to personalize! Arched doorway leads to the Great Room with 9' ceilings. Kitchen island with sink and breakfast bar also overlooks the Great Room. 13x9 covered porch with open 13x6 patio beyond - also worked well with a screened back porch as an upgrade! Separate laundry room off garage Bedroom 3 could be an office or bonus room A full or partial basement is available with additional home base price cost * Base price does not include land
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Bonus room
- Kitchen island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $222k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-604 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (2.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (11.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.51%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,307
- List price
- $222,100
- Delta
- -27.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1019 Candlewood Way | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+1%) | 2mo | $273,000 | $191 | 84 |
| 11724 Coldwater Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-5%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $197 | 76 |
| 12415 Falcatta Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (+4%) | 2mo | $271,000 | $184 | 68 |
| 12412 Stoneboro Ct | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (-7%) | 0mo | $266,000 | $203 | 64 |
| 12531 Stoneboro Ct | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (-2%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $172 | 63 |
| 12129 Willow Cv | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,596 (+13%) | 7mo | $302,000 | $189 | 62 |
| 417 Rampart Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (-10%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $201 | 62 |
| 12625 Stoneboro Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,366 (-4%) | 4mo | $257,500 | $189 | 61 |
| 109 Kittridge Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,309 (-8%) | 10mo | $242,500 | $185 | 53 |
| 12016 Willowind Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (+14%) | 10mo | $283,500 | $175 | 48 |
| 1718 Monet Cv | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (-13%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $216 | 46 |
| 1809 Monet Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (-11%) | 3mo | $266,100 | $210 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-77,378
- Equity at exit
- $45,373
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-69,540
- Equity at exit
- $26,311
Cash invested: $85,206 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46845
- Home prices YoY
- -34.6%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,960 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,596
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$380 /mo · $4,565/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-604
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,077
- Closing costs
- $9,129
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10617 Wood Flower Ct Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,695 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 401 Augusta Way Fort Wayne, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1198 | $1,765 | $1.47 | 13d | 14 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $222,100 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $222,100 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $222,100 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $222,100 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $222,100 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $222,100 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $222,100 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $222,100 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $222,100 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $222,100 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $222,100 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $222,100 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $217,300 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $217,300 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $217,300 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-02-09price $217,300 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Franklin II is an easy plan to personalize! Arched doorway leads to the Great Room with 9' ceilings. Kitchen island with sink and breakfast bar also overlooks the Great Room. 13x9 covered porch with open 13x6 patio beyond - also worked well with a screened back porch as an upgrade! Separate laundry room off garage Bedroom 3 could be an office or bonus room A full or partial basement is available with additional home base price cost * Base price does not include land
-
2025-08-22$215,200 Active 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Franklin II is an easy plan to personalize! Arched doorway leads to the Great Room with 9' ceilings. Kitchen island with sink and breakfast bar also overlooks the Great Room. 13x9 covered porch with open 13x6 patio beyond - also worked well with a screened back porch as an upgrade! Separate laundry room off garage Bedroom 3 could be an office or bonus room A full or partial basement is available with additional home base price cost * Base price does not include land
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,046
- − Property taxes
- −$4,565
- − Insurance
- −$1,522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,882
- − Management
- −$1,882
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$8,853
- Taxable loss
- −$12,824
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,078
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and well-maintained landscaping. It is move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases through minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase property value and attract potential buyers
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase property value and attract potential buyers ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest Allen County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1808250
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,952
- Composite
- 49.26/100
- National rank
- #2027
- State rank
- #25 of 301 in IN
Livability — Fort Wayne
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen County · 326,813 people
- City population
- 326,813
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,583
- Household income
- $112,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 467.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.27%
- Current HPI
- 212.3516
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.47%
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+1.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $217,300 Zillow
- 2025-08-22 Listed $215,200 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…