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70 Underwood Ln
D- Composite 35.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$339,900

70 Underwood Ln · Salem, PA 18436
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1986 0.37 ac lot Est $313k · 9% over $194/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful contemporary home located in a four season amenity filled community in The Northern Poconos, just two hours from the NYC and Philadelphia Areas. This salt-box style home has three finished levels. The main level has an open floor plan, high ceilings, brick fireplace, laminate flooring, updated bathroom. There's a bedroom on each level too. The 2nd level has a loft overlooking the living room, a bedroom and full bath. The finished lower level has a family room, 3rd bedroom with half bath and laundry room. Flooring in lower level needs to be finished. Beautiful Screened in Porch! Storage shed below. , Beds Description: Primary1st, Beds Description: 2+BED 2nd, Beds Description: 1BedLL, Baths: 1 Bath Level 1, Baths: 1 Bath Level 2, Baths: 1/2 Bath Lev L, Eating Area: Dining Area, Beds Description: 1Bed1st

Key facts

  • Four season sunroom
  • Knotty pine ceilings
  • Included hot tub

Tags

PRIVATE WOODED BACKYARDNEW FRONT DECKFOUR SEASON SUNROOMKNOTTY PINE CEILINGSLARGE RECREATION ROOMINCLUDED HOT TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (association provides security and trash services); Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, tennis courts, fitness center, playground, park, golf, lake, fishing, trails, barbecue and various recreation facilities

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (unpaved); On-site/off-street parking
  • Security: Gated community with security gate and security service
  • Utilities: Public water and public sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Propane available; Cable, phone and electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Located on Roamingwood Lake (lake access); Subdivision: The Hideout; Private road frontage with private road maintenance agreement; Paved road access
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Workshop on property
  • Exterior features: Fire pit; Deck; Patio (screened); Porch; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range/oven
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric and propane heating; Fireplace(s); Ceiling fans; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closet(s); Finished full basement with walk-out access; Fireplace in living room and family room (masonry, propane)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-525 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (27.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (30.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 337 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $270k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $234,869 (30.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.44%
Cash-on-cash
-6.62%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$313,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
378 Lakewood Dr 0.15mi 3/3.0 2,130 (-1%) 2mo $143,000 $67 85
53 Cedarwood Ter 0.24mi 3/3.0 2,046 (-5%) 0mo $380,000 $186 76
73 Cedarwood Ter 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,182 (+1%) 9mo $305,000 $140 71
67 Cedarwood Ter 0.29mi 3/2.5 2,064 (-4%) 10mo $299,000 $145 69
222 Parkwood Dr 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,238 (+4%) 15mo $380,000 $170 64
24 Lakewood Dr 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,900 (-12%) 5mo $240,000 $126 63
152 Lakeview Dr W 0.34mi 3/2.5 2,055 (-5%) 14mo $364,000 $177 63
75 Cedarwood Ter 0.32mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,146 (-1%) 15mo $339,900 $158 63
13 Lakewood Ct Lot 396 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,928 (-11%) 14mo $292,500 $152 62
72 Lakeview Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 2,475 (+15%) 8mo $350,000 $141 60
84 Ridgewood Cir 0.53mi 3/3.0 2,383 (+10%) 5mo $295,000 $124 50
55 Oak Cir 0.56mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,236 (+4%) 12mo $285,000 $127 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$151,721
Equity at exit
$306,209
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.97×
Total profit
$473,210
Equity at exit
$660,351

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18436

Home prices YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,349 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,782
Tax from tax record
$263 /mo · $3,151/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$194
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-525

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,014
Max offer price $247,115
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,975
Closing costs
$10,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$194 · $2,328/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $339,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $339,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $339,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $339,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $339,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $339,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $339,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $339,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $339,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $339,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,151 · $263/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,261 · $355/mo
Expected delta
+$1,110/yr (+$92/mo · 35.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,184
− Mortgage interest
−$19,040
− Property taxes
−$3,151
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,255
− Management
−$2,255
− HOA
−$2,328
− Depreciation
−$9,888
Taxable loss
−$12,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,984
After-tax cash flow
$-3,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western Wayne SD
NCES district ID
4226070
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,358
Composite
43.65/100
National rank
#2964
State rank
#165 of 539 in PA

Livability — Salem

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
The Hideout, PA
Population (ZIP)
13,225

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,924 people
By 2030
46,191 · -3.6%
By 2040
42,815 · -10.7%
By 2050
39,873 · -16.8%
By 2075
34,556 · -27.9%
By 2100
28,358 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.95%
Current HPI
331.9645
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+190.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $339,900 PWMLS
  • 2025-05-18 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Pending PWMLS
  • 2025-04-25 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2025-02-10 Price Changed $349,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-01-08 Price Changed $359,000 PWMLS
  • 2024-07-23 Listed $365,000 PWMLS
  • 2022-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
  • 2022-02-10 Sold (MLS) PWMLS
  • 2022-02-10 Sold (MLS) $270,000 PWMLS
  • 2021-12-11 Listed $259,900 PWMLS
  • 2021-12-11 Listed $259,900 PWMLS
  • 2019-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
  • 1989-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,151 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…