14230 Montaigne Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great family home*shade trees front/back..great for ac bills!!*Neutral paint shades throughout home*Huge den-rm. for formal din/room or home office!Updates:Carpet/pad,floors in kitchen* Kitchen has been completely updated!counters/paint/hardware/light fixture/sink/faucet(2009)*microwave(2008)*Dishwasher/stove/oven-2006*Siding replaced with hardiplank as needed *Outside wood/trim replaced/painted as needed *Ceiling fans*close to Hwy.290,shopping & hospital!*Vacant and ready for immediate move-in!
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- 7,474 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Solar screens (energy efficiency feature)
- HOA & community: Bonaire Community Improvement HOA, $300 annually; Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Security: Prewired for security
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (First floor main living); Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Composition roof; Built in 1979
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Concrete road surface; Subdivision setting; Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First floor) 14 x 16; Bedroom (First floor) 10 x 12; Bedroom (First floor) 10 x 10
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Tub with shower; Kitchen and dining combined; Prewired security
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($647/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Arnold Middle (math 48% / reading 52%, grade C, #347 of 1,662 statewide, top 21%, 1,414 students, 67% FRL); Cy-Fair H S (math 60% / reading 73%, grade B, #186 of 1,632 statewide, top 11%, 3,425 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 608 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($119k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.45%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $241,517
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -34.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14230 Montaigne Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,427 (0%) | 0mo | $159,000 | $111 | 100 |
| 14030 Montaigne Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,465 (+3%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $170 | 85 |
| 11419 Bonaparte Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,477 (+4%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $132 | 81 |
| 14207 Montaigne Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-7%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $170 | 79 |
| 10503 Ladino Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (+1%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $219 | 78 |
| 11207 Rousseau Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-1%) | 4mo | $239,000 | $168 | 70 |
| 13719 Bonaventure Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-1%) | 3mo | $229,000 | $161 | 70 |
| 11611 Bonaparte Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,477 (+4%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $129 | 70 |
| 13843 Rosetta Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,383 (-3%) | 6mo | $229,500 | $166 | 69 |
| 10502 Deval Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,482 (+4%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $213 | 67 |
| 14618 Laura Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-8%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $209 | 64 |
| 14118 Bella Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (+13%) | 4mo | $229,000 | $142 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-27,216
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-38,123
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77429
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 608
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,718 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$378 /mo · $4,541/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11230 Angelique Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,875 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 10457 Huffmeister Rd Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,144 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 21122 Kirkland Woods Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 13419 Meisterwood Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10711 Oak Acres Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $1,375 | $0.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Unit 12068 Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,955 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Apt 424 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,189 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Unit 3228 Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,687 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Unit 2112 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,181 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Unit 07-720 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Unit 08-823 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Unit 08-823 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,375 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Unit 3174 Cypress, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,719 | $1.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Unit 2174 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,213 | $1.31 | 10d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12035 Huffmeister Rd Apt 422 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,189 | $1.29 | 7d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 13022 Foxburo Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12202 Huffmeister Rd Unit 2112 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,572 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12202 Huffmeister Rd Unit 12259 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,590 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12202 Huffmeister Rd Unit 424 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,580 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12202 Huffmeister Rd Cypress, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $1,989 | $2.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12202 Huffmeister Rd Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $2,336 | $2.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12202 Huffmeister Rd Unit 12259 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,604 | $1.52 | 10d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12202 Huffmeister Rd Unit 422 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,580 | $1.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12202 Huffmeister Rd Unit 12225 Cypress, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,644 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 11900 Barwood Bend Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 2d | 10 | 1.29mi |
| 11906 Barwood Bend Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $1,054 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 15511 Tuckerton Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1069 | $1,799 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 15517 Tuckerton Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-17status Pending 652-char remark
-
2026-05-13status Pending 652-char remark
-
2026-05-06$159,000 Active 652-char remark
-
2009-11-30soldstatus
-
2009-11-23soldstatus 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Great family home*shade trees front/back..great for ac bills!!*Neutral paint shades throughout home*Huge den-rm. for formal din/room or home office!Updates:Carpet/pad,floors in kitchen* Kitchen has been completely updated!counters/paint/hardware/light fixture/sink/faucet(2009)*microwave(2008)*Dishwasher/stove/oven-2006*Siding replaced with hardiplank as needed *Outside wood/trim replaced/painted as needed *Ceiling fans*close to Hwy.290,shopping & hospital!*Vacant and ready for immediate move-in!
-
2009-11-05historical 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Great family home*shade trees front/back..great for ac bills!!*Neutral paint shades throughout home*Huge den-rm. for formal din/room or home office!Updates:Carpet/pad,floors in kitchen* Kitchen has been completely updated!counters/paint/hardware/light fixture/sink/faucet(2009)*microwave(2008)*Dishwasher/stove/oven-2006*Siding replaced with hardiplank as needed *Outside wood/trim replaced/painted as needed *Ceiling fans*close to Hwy.290,shopping & hospital!*Vacant and ready for immediate move-in!
-
2009-06-22$98,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Great family home*shade trees front/back..great for ac bills!!*Neutral paint shades throughout home*Huge den-rm. for formal din/room or home office!Updates:Carpet/pad,floors in kitchen* Kitchen has been completely updated!counters/paint/hardware/light fixture/sink/faucet(2009)*microwave(2008)*Dishwasher/stove/oven-2006*Siding replaced with hardiplank as needed *Outside wood/trim replaced/painted as needed *Ceiling fans*close to Hwy.290,shopping & hospital!*Vacant and ready for immediate move-in!
-
2009-06-22historical
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Great family home*shade trees front/back..great for ac bills!!*Neutral paint shades throughout home*Huge den-rm. for formal din/room or home office!Updates:Carpet/pad,floors in kitchen* Kitchen has been completely updated!counters/paint/hardware/light fixture/sink/faucet(2009)*microwave(2008)*Dishwasher/stove/oven-2006*Siding replaced with hardiplank as needed *Outside wood/trim replaced/painted as needed *Ceiling fans*close to Hwy.290,shopping & hospital!*Vacant and ready for immediate move-in!
-
2008-05-02$105,000
-
2003-04-09soldstatus
-
2001-01-05soldstatus
-
1998-10-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,541 · $378/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,541 · $378/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,618
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$4,541
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,649
- − Management
- −$1,649
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$1,849
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$444
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816110
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,025
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2968
- State rank
- #161 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 96,334
- Household income
- $119,191
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1264.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 15% Black 11% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.36%
- Current HPI
- 232.7267
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.23%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+51.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2026-05-17 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $159,000 HARMLS
- 2009-11-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-11-23 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2009-11-05 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2009-06-22 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2009-06-22 Listed $98,000 HARMLS
- 2008-05-02 Listed $105,000 HARMLS
- 2003-04-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-01-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-10-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,541 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…