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70 E Dover St Duplex
B- Composite 66.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$249,000

70 E Dover St · Waterbury, CT 06706
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,326 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1900 1,742 sqft lot $188/sqft · 11% above area Est $280k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

This two family home is ready for its next owner. The first-floor unit offers a comfortable one-bedroom layout with the possibility of converting to two bedrooms, ideal for added flexibility or rental income. The second-floor apartment includes two bedrooms and a generously sized living area, with plenty of natural light filling both levels of the home. The property features a roof only two years old, providing peace of mind for years to come. Heating is electric, but gas service is already available at the street for those who prefer to convert. A great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants alike-cash, conventional, or rehab loan buyers are welcome. This house is been SOLD AS IS!!

Key facts

  • First floor unit
  • Two family home
  • 1,742 sq ft lot

Tags

TWO FAMILY HOMEFIRST FLOOR UNITSECOND FLOOR APARTMENTGENEROUSLY SIZED LIVING AREAROOF ONLY TWO YEARS OLDGAS SERVICE AVAILABLE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Multi-family property (2-family)
  • Construction: Concrete foundation; Concrete construction; Beige exterior color
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Paved parking area

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heat (electric fuel); 40-gallon electric hot water tank
  • Interior features: Total of 9 rooms; Full, unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $239/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.6% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
  • Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,831/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 801% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $143k; list at $249k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $249,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.23%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$280,050
List price
$249,000
Delta
-11.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
30 Green St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,414 (+7%) 15mo $275,000 $194 44
30 Ashley St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,407 (+6%) 16mo $285,000 $203 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$40,018
Equity at exit
$90,147
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$127,149
Equity at exit
$123,878

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06706

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,831 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$349 /mo · $4,184/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$595
Net cashflow
$478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,226
Max offer price $249,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $619 -5% $549 +0% $478 +5% $408 +10% $337
Rent -10% $255 -5% $366 +0% $478 +5% $590 +10% $702
Rate -1.0pp $604 -0.5pp $542 base $478 +0.5pp $414 +1.0pp $348

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,831

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
691 S Main St Unit 3RD Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 0.11mi
423 Baldwin St Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 4d 1 0.19mi
429 Baldwin St Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 4d 1 0.19mi
63 Bank St Unit 3A Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 903 $1,700 $1.88 15d 1 0.52mi
59 Green St Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 900 $1,650 $1.83 44d 1 0.53mi
113 Southview St Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1860 $1,250 $0.67 24d 1 0.57mi
29 Madison St Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1010 $1,900 $1.88 44d 1 0.62mi
779 E Main St Unit 2nd floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1149 $1,400 $1.22 24d 1 0.63mi
25 Laurel St #1 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 44d 1 0.66mi
127 Congress Ave Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 44d 1 0.66mi
124 Charles St Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,800 $1.78 44d 1 0.67mi
143 Congress Ave Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1050 $1,800 $1.71 44d 1 0.68mi
241 Congress Ave Unit 1st Floor Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 909 $1,300 $1.43 44d 1 0.71mi
85 Draher St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 0.72mi
77 Wall St Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 12d 1 0.74mi
30 Walnut Ave Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 0.74mi
1120 Baldwin St Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 44d 1 0.75mi
140 Orange St Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1678 $1,500 $0.89 44d 1 0.76mi
64 Dikeman St Unit 2nd Floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 22d 1 0.80mi
203 Alder St Unit 1st floor Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1060 $1,600 $1.51 44d 1 0.81mi
53 Cooke St Unit 3rd floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 44d 1 0.81mi
59 Baldwin Ave Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,350 $1.96 44d 1 0.84mi
468 Congress Ave Unit third floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 24d 1 0.85mi
46 Webb St Unit 3 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 44d 1 0.85mi
214 Oak St Unit 3 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,700 $1.39 12d 1 0.85mi
41 Lawlor St Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1750 $2,000 $1.14 15d 1 0.87mi
10 2nd Ave Unit 1st Floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 24d 1 0.88mi
259 Grove St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 0.88mi
72 Chambers St Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1540 $1,750 $1.14 44d 1 0.91mi
49 Hillside Ave Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 12d 1 0.95mi
46 Ward St Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 24d 1 0.97mi
67 Avon Ave Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 887 $1,700 $1.92 24d 1 0.99mi
89 Willow St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 24d 1 1.00mi
125 Hillside Ave Unit B1 Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 4d 1 1.01mi
18 Cliff St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,650 $1.43 44d 1 1.01mi
76 Oak St Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,249 $1.39 44d 1 1.02mi
49 Johnson St Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 44d 1 1.03mi
654 Highland Ave Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 1.03mi
5 Hill St Unit B,D Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 15d 1 1.03mi
132 Locust St Unit 16 Waterbury, CT 2.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 24d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Under Contract 697-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $249,000 Active 697-char remark
  3. 2007-07-12
    soldstatus $143,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,184 · $349/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,756 · $396/mo
Expected delta
+$572/yr (+$48/mo · 13.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,972
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$4,184
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,718
− Management
−$2,718
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable income
$1,916
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$460
After-tax cash flow
$5,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterbury School District
NCES district ID
0904830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,040
Composite
14.85/100
National rank
#9380
State rank
#148 of 153 in CT

Livability — Waterbury

Score
79/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#2205

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterbury, CT
County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
115,012
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
15,551
Household income
$52,242
Rent vs Own
59.2% rent · 40.8% own
Severe rent burden
801.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 35% White 31% Black 25% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Estonian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.39%
Current HPI
309.8467
Rent YoY
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $249,000 Smart MLS
  • 2007-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,184 · +88.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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