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3042 5 Iron Dr
C+ Composite 63.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,000

3042 5 Iron Dr · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,566 sqft · Manufactured public records · 77 Days on market
Built 2002 Est $138k · at est. $309/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Bargain on a Beautiful Islander III in Savanna Club. Long View of 14th Hole -- so pretty! You will love the Open Concept of this home. 2 Bedroom with a Den that can be used as office & for that extra guest. The Master Suite is large and has a lovely Master Bath with shower and Garden Tub. Perfectly situated with a North/South exposure for sunshine on the porch and in the living room in the winter. Wide decor drive with 10 x 10 shed will accommodate several cars and a golf cart.

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Community amenities
  • Screened porch

Tags

SCREENED PORCHCOVERED CARPORTWIDE CONCRETE DRIVEWAYCOMMUNITY AMENITIESPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Senior community
  • Financial info: Land lease in place (monthly land lease payment)
  • HOA & community: Has association (Savannah Club HOA); Monthly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, heated pool, spa/hot tub, fitness center, tennis courts, pickleball courts, golf course, billiard room, game room, community room, library, sauna, shuffleboard, picnic area, sidewalks, manager on site, and onsite management

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces total; Attached carport (2 covered/carport spaces); Driveway; Concrete parking; Golf cart parking
  • Security: Community has gated directions (property located after gate)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Resale; Faces northeast
  • Construction: Frame and vinyl siding construction; Modular construction; Shingle roof with roof over
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront; Aluminum skirting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds and sliding window features
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $982 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $142k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,480 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.08%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,808
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7822 White Ibis Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (+3%) 2mo $115,000 $71 72
3720 Pebble Bch 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (+3%) 3mo $225,000 $140 65
3005 Approach Shot Way 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,333 (-15%) 3mo $149,900 $112 65
7928 Meadowlark Ln 0.45mi 2/3.0 1,475 (-6%) 1mo $65,000 $44 64
3700 Westchester Ct 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,480 (-6%) 8mo $130,000 $88 64
172 W Carribean 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,650 (+5%) 8mo $9,500 $6 55
8394 Delphinium Ct 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (-11%) 4mo $220,000 $158 55
3817 Sleepy Hollow Ln 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,390 (-11%) 4mo $260,000 $187 51
110 W Caribbean 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,416 (-10%) 5mo $77,500 $55 50
8526 Lidflower Ct 0.48mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,404 (-10%) 6mo $70,900 $50 48
192 W Caribbean 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,416 (-10%) 6mo $49,000 $35 48
2968 Eagles Nest Way 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,786 (+14%) 8mo $199,999 $112 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$470
Equity at exit
$21,173
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$25,166
Equity at exit
$12,278

Cash invested: $39,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34952

Home prices YoY
-29.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
639
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,022 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$745
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,015/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$309
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$425
Net cashflow
$400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,516
Max offer price $142,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,500
Closing costs
$4,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,300 $2.05 23d 1 0.61mi
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,764 $1.77 14d 15 0.72mi
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,700 $1.20 23d 1 0.85mi
1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $1,926 $1.72 14d 6 1.12mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $2,055 $2.03 14d 7 1.16mi
2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1524 $1,850 $1.21 23d 1 1.18mi
2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL 2.0 2.5 1425 $2,200 $1.54 14d 1 1.19mi
2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1550 $1,900 $1.23 14d 1 1.19mi
2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $2,950 $2.43 14d 1 1.20mi
2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 14d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$309 · $3,708/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $142,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $142,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $142,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $142,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $142,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $142,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $142,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $142,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $142,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $142,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $142,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $142,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $142,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $142,000 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-04-01
    listed $142,000 Active
  18. 2025-05-19
    historical
  19. 2025-02-19
    listed $174,900 Active
  20. 2015-01-30
    soldstatus $60,000 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Great Bargain on a Beautiful Islander III in Savanna Club. Long View of 14th Hole -- so pretty! You will love the Open Concept of this home. 2 Bedroom with a Den that can be used as office & for that extra guest. The Master Suite is large and has a lovely Master Bath with shower and Garden Tub. Perfectly situated with a North/South exposure for sunshine on the porch and in the living room in the winter. Wide decor drive with 10 x 10 shed will accommodate several cars and a golf cart.

  21. 2014-11-19
    historical 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Great Bargain on a Beautiful Islander III in Savanna Club. Long View of 14th Hole -- so pretty! You will love the Open Concept of this home. 2 Bedroom with a Den that can be used as office & for that extra guest. The Master Suite is large and has a lovely Master Bath with shower and Garden Tub. Perfectly situated with a North/South exposure for sunshine on the porch and in the living room in the winter. Wide decor drive with 10 x 10 shed will accommodate several cars and a golf cart.

  22. 2014-10-06
    listed $64,900 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Great Bargain on a Beautiful Islander III in Savanna Club. Long View of 14th Hole -- so pretty! You will love the Open Concept of this home. 2 Bedroom with a Den that can be used as office & for that extra guest. The Master Suite is large and has a lovely Master Bath with shower and Garden Tub. Perfectly situated with a North/South exposure for sunshine on the porch and in the living room in the winter. Wide decor drive with 10 x 10 shed will accommodate several cars and a golf cart.

  23. 2013-09-21
    historical
  24. 2007-08-29
    listed $109,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,015 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,179 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$164/yr (+$14/mo · 16.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,268
− Mortgage interest
−$7,954
− Property taxes
−$1,015
− Insurance
−$710
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,941
− Management
−$1,941
− HOA
−$3,708
− Depreciation
−$4,131
Taxable income
$2,867
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$688
After-tax cash flow
$4,115/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,655
Household income
$61,628
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.80%
Current HPI
371.0573
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $142,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-05-19 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-02-19 Listed $174,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2015-01-30 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2014-11-19 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2014-10-06 Listed $64,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2013-09-21 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $109,900 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,015 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…