3042 5 Iron Dr · Port St. Lucie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$142,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Bargain on a Beautiful Islander III in Savanna Club. Long View of 14th Hole -- so pretty! You will love the Open Concept of this home. 2 Bedroom with a Den that can be used as office & for that extra guest. The Master Suite is large and has a lovely Master Bath with shower and Garden Tub. Perfectly situated with a North/South exposure for sunshine on the porch and in the living room in the winter. Wide decor drive with 10 x 10 shed will accommodate several cars and a golf cart.
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Community amenities
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community
- Financial info: Land lease in place (monthly land lease payment)
- HOA & community: Has association (Savannah Club HOA); Monthly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, heated pool, spa/hot tub, fitness center, tennis courts, pickleball courts, golf course, billiard room, game room, community room, library, sauna, shuffleboard, picnic area, sidewalks, manager on site, and onsite management
Exterior
- Parking: 4 parking spaces total; Attached carport (2 covered/carport spaces); Driveway; Concrete parking; Golf cart parking
- Security: Community has gated directions (property located after gate)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Resale; Faces northeast
- Construction: Frame and vinyl siding construction; Modular construction; Shingle roof with roof over
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; Aluminum skirting
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds and sliding window features
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $982 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $142k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.08%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,808
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7822 White Ibis Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+3%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $71 | 72 |
| 3720 Pebble Bch | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+3%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $140 | 65 |
| 3005 Approach Shot Way | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,333 (-15%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $112 | 65 |
| 7928 Meadowlark Ln | 0.45mi | 2/3.0 | 1,475 (-6%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $44 | 64 |
| 3700 Westchester Ct | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 1,480 (-6%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $88 | 64 |
| 172 W Carribean | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,650 (+5%) | 8mo | $9,500 | $6 | 55 |
| 8394 Delphinium Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (-11%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $158 | 55 |
| 3817 Sleepy Hollow Ln | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,390 (-11%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $187 | 51 |
| 110 W Caribbean | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (-10%) | 5mo | $77,500 | $55 | 50 |
| 8526 Lidflower Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,404 (-10%) | 6mo | $70,900 | $50 | 48 |
| 192 W Caribbean | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (-10%) | 6mo | $49,000 | $35 | 48 |
| 2968 Eagles Nest Way | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,786 (+14%) | 8mo | $199,999 | $112 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $470
- Equity at exit
- $21,173
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $25,166
- Equity at exit
- $12,278
Cash invested: $39,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,022 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$745
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,015/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$309
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,500
- Closing costs
- $4,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,764 | $1.77 | 14d | 15 | 0.72mi |
| 71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $1,926 | $1.72 | 14d | 6 | 1.12mi |
| 1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $2,055 | $2.03 | 14d | 7 | 1.16mi |
| 2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1425 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $2,950 | $2.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $309 · $3,708/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $142,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $142,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $142,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $142,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $142,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $142,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $142,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $142,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $142,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $142,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $142,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $142,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $142,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $142,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $142,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $142,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-01$142,000 Active
-
2025-05-19historical
-
2025-02-19$174,900 Active
-
2015-01-30soldstatus $60,000 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Great Bargain on a Beautiful Islander III in Savanna Club. Long View of 14th Hole -- so pretty! You will love the Open Concept of this home. 2 Bedroom with a Den that can be used as office & for that extra guest. The Master Suite is large and has a lovely Master Bath with shower and Garden Tub. Perfectly situated with a North/South exposure for sunshine on the porch and in the living room in the winter. Wide decor drive with 10 x 10 shed will accommodate several cars and a golf cart.
-
2014-11-19historical 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Great Bargain on a Beautiful Islander III in Savanna Club. Long View of 14th Hole -- so pretty! You will love the Open Concept of this home. 2 Bedroom with a Den that can be used as office & for that extra guest. The Master Suite is large and has a lovely Master Bath with shower and Garden Tub. Perfectly situated with a North/South exposure for sunshine on the porch and in the living room in the winter. Wide decor drive with 10 x 10 shed will accommodate several cars and a golf cart.
-
2014-10-06$64,900 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
Great Bargain on a Beautiful Islander III in Savanna Club. Long View of 14th Hole -- so pretty! You will love the Open Concept of this home. 2 Bedroom with a Den that can be used as office & for that extra guest. The Master Suite is large and has a lovely Master Bath with shower and Garden Tub. Perfectly situated with a North/South exposure for sunshine on the porch and in the living room in the winter. Wide decor drive with 10 x 10 shed will accommodate several cars and a golf cart.
-
2013-09-21historical
-
2007-08-29$109,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,015 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,179 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$164/yr (+$14/mo · 16.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,268
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,954
- − Property taxes
- −$1,015
- − Insurance
- −$710
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,941
- − Management
- −$1,941
- − HOA
- −$3,708
- − Depreciation
- −$4,131
- Taxable income
- $2,867
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$688
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,115/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port St. Lucie
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 221,051
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+29.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $142,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-05-19 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-02-19 Listed $174,900 Beaches MLS
- 2015-01-30 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Beaches MLS
- 2014-11-19 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2014-10-06 Listed $64,900 Beaches MLS
- 2013-09-21 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2007-08-29 Listed $109,900 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,015 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…