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2119 Ashburton St
D Composite 43.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,000

2119 Ashburton St · Baltimore, MD 21216
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 512 sqft · Townhouse public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1960 $408/sqft · 64% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming Baltimore rowhome located on Ashburton Street, offering classic city character combined with comfortable living. This inviting property presents a wonderful opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in a convenient and established Baltimore neighborhood. Step inside to find a bright and spacious main living area with an open flow between the living and dining spaces, creating a welcoming environment for everyday living and entertaining. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space, providing both comfort and practicality. The upper level offers well-proportioned bedrooms filled with natural light and a full bath. Additional space in the lower level provides flexibility for storage, recreation, or future finishing possibilities. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, public transportation, and major commuter routes, this home offers easy access to downtown Baltimore and surrounding areas, making commuting and city living simple. Schedule your showing today to see all this home has to offer.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Baltimore rowhome
  • Ample cabinet space

Tags

BALTIMORE ROWHOMEASHBURTON STREETFUNCTIONAL KITCHENAMPLE CABINET SPACEWELL-PROPORTIONED BEDROOMSFILLED WITH NATURAL LIGHT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elmer A. Henderson: A Johns Hopkins Partnership (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 642 students, 80% FRL); Vanguard Collegiate Middle (math 3% / reading 15%, grade F, #212 of 225 statewide, top 95%, 343 students, 84% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,769/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2264% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $106k; list at $209k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,917 (15.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.18%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,679
List price
$209,000
Delta
63.69%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2100 Ashburton St 0.04mi 3/2.0 (-1) 512 (0%) 12mo $235,000 $459 81
2112 Koko Ln 0.07mi 3/1.0 (-1) 512 (0%) 6mo $95,000 $186 80
2137 Koko Ln 0.06mi 3/3.0 (-1) 512 (0%) 13mo $260,000 $508 79
2121 Braddish Ave 0.06mi 3/1.0 (-1) 512 (0%) 22mo $81,000 $158 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-21,462
Equity at exit
$31,163
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$14,654
Equity at exit
$18,071

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21216

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,769 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,297/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,634
Max offer price $209,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $225 -5% $166 +0% $106 +5% $47 +10% $-12
Rent -10% $-33 -5% $37 +0% $106 +5% $176 +10% $246
Rate -1.0pp $212 -0.5pp $160 base $106 +0.5pp $52 +1.0pp $-3

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2910 Reisterstown Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 950 $1,414 $1.49 16d 4 0.75mi
2614 Pennsylvania Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 982 $1,141 $1.16 6d 4 0.94mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,000 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,000 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,000 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $209,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $209,000 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,000 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,000 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,000 Active 86 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $209,000 1107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1107 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Baltimore rowhome located on Ashburton Street, offering classic city character combined with comfortable living. This inviting property presents a wonderful opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in a convenient and established Baltimore neighborhood. Step inside to find a bright and spacious main living area with an open flow between the living and dining spaces, creating a welcoming environment for everyday living and entertaining. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space, providing both comfort and practicality. The upper level offers well-proportioned bedrooms filled with natural light and a full bath. Additional space in the lower level provides flexibility for storage, recreation, or future finishing possibilities. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, public transportation, and major commuter routes, this home offers easy access to downtown Baltimore and surrounding areas, making commuting and city living simple. Schedule your showing today to see all this home has to offer.

  16. 2026-04-15
    price $219,000 1107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1107 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Baltimore rowhome located on Ashburton Street, offering classic city character combined with comfortable living. This inviting property presents a wonderful opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in a convenient and established Baltimore neighborhood. Step inside to find a bright and spacious main living area with an open flow between the living and dining spaces, creating a welcoming environment for everyday living and entertaining. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space, providing both comfort and practicality. The upper level offers well-proportioned bedrooms filled with natural light and a full bath. Additional space in the lower level provides flexibility for storage, recreation, or future finishing possibilities. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, public transportation, and major commuter routes, this home offers easy access to downtown Baltimore and surrounding areas, making commuting and city living simple. Schedule your showing today to see all this home has to offer.

  17. 2026-03-06
    listed $229,900 Active 1107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1107 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Baltimore rowhome located on Ashburton Street, offering classic city character combined with comfortable living. This inviting property presents a wonderful opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for value in a convenient and established Baltimore neighborhood. Step inside to find a bright and spacious main living area with an open flow between the living and dining spaces, creating a welcoming environment for everyday living and entertaining. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space, providing both comfort and practicality. The upper level offers well-proportioned bedrooms filled with natural light and a full bath. Additional space in the lower level provides flexibility for storage, recreation, or future finishing possibilities. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, public transportation, and major commuter routes, this home offers easy access to downtown Baltimore and surrounding areas, making commuting and city living simple. Schedule your showing today to see all this home has to offer.

  18. 2025-10-23
    soldstatus $106,000
  19. 2025-10-03
    soldstatus $106,000 Closed 239-char remark
    Show marketing remark (239 chars)

    SHORT SALE * * Home needs full renovation * * Being sold as-is and subject to third-party approval. The property may not be in broom-swept condition upon closing. Many items may convey with sale. Hold Harmless required to see property.

  20. 2025-03-06
    status Pending 239-char remark
    Show marketing remark (239 chars)

    SHORT SALE * * Home needs full renovation * * Being sold as-is and subject to third-party approval. The property may not be in broom-swept condition upon closing. Many items may convey with sale. Hold Harmless required to see property.

  21. 2025-02-14
    listed $165,000 Active 239-char remark
    Show marketing remark (239 chars)

    SHORT SALE * * Home needs full renovation * * Being sold as-is and subject to third-party approval. The property may not be in broom-swept condition upon closing. Many items may convey with sale. Hold Harmless required to see property.

  22. 2010-01-20
    soldstatus $130,000
  23. 2009-12-01
    soldstatus $130,000 Sold
  24. 2009-12-01
    soldstatus $130,000
  25. 2009-10-29
    status Contract
  26. 2009-10-07
    historical
  27. 2009-10-06
    historical
  28. 2009-09-24
    listed $135,000
  29. 2009-09-24
    listed $135,000 Active
  30. 2009-04-15
    soldstatus $45,100 Sold
  31. 2009-03-16
    historical
  32. 2009-02-01
    price $39,900
  33. 2009-02-01
    status
  34. 2008-12-01
    historical
  35. 2008-09-12
    price $47,900
  36. 2008-09-12
    status
  37. 2008-06-22
    historical
  38. 2008-03-27
    price $69,900
  39. 2008-02-27
    price $74,900
  40. 2007-10-12
    price $79,900
  41. 2007-09-04
    listed $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,297 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,787 · $149/mo
Expected delta
+$491/yr (+$41/mo · 37.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,230
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$1,297
− Insurance
−$1,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,698
− Management
−$1,698
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$2,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$551
After-tax cash flow
$1,829/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
29,426
Household income
$42,031
Rent vs Own
49.8% rent · 50.2% own
Severe rent burden
2264.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% White 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.42%
Current HPI
164.3933
Rent YoY
▲ 6.10%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.0% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $209,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $219,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
  • 2025-10-03 Sold (MLS) $106,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-06 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-14 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2009-12-01 Sold (MLS) $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-12-01 Sold (MLS) $130,000 MRIS
  • 2009-10-29 Pending MRIS
  • 2009-10-07 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-10-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-09-24 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-09-24 Listed $135,000 MRIS
  • 2009-04-15 Sold (MLS) $45,100 MRIS
  • 2009-03-16 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-02-01 Relisted MRIS
  • 2009-02-01 Price Changed $39,900 MRIS
  • 2008-12-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-09-12 Price Changed $47,900 MRIS
  • 2008-09-12 Relisted MRIS
  • 2008-06-22 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-03-27 Price Changed $69,900 MRIS
  • 2008-02-27 Price Changed $74,900 MRIS
  • 2007-10-12 Price Changed $79,900 MRIS
  • 2007-09-04 Listed $95,000 MRIS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,297 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…