2203 Chicago Ave · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
From the moment you arrive, this home makes a lasting impression. A grand wraparound porch welcomes you in and offers sweeping views of the Minneapolis skyline. Inside, timeless character shines through rich natural woodwork, high ceilings, and hardwood floors throughout the home. The main level offers an inviting and functional layout with a spacious living room, formal dining room, den or office currently used as a bedroom, a full bath, and a conveniently located laundry room. The kitchen also enjoys a beautiful skyline view. Upstairs, you will find three generously sized bedrooms, a full bath, and abundant closet and storage space. The full unfinished basement offers excellent potential to build equity and finish according to your needs. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard, an oversized two-car detached garage, and two additional parking spaces. Rarely does a home offer this kind of presence with a skyline view to match. This is one you need to experience in person.
Key facts
- Natural woodwork
- Skyline view
- Formal dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $238k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,768/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $245k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.22%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $357,913
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- -31.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-15,193
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $3,987
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55404
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,768 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$330 /mo · $3,962/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$581
- Net cashflow
- $470
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2121 11th Ave S Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $2,450 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 735 E 16th St #2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1819 15th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $2,050 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 739 E 27th St Unit 739 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1699 | $2,600 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2730 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $1,755 | $1.87 | 7d | 3 | 0.66mi |
| 220 E 27th St #1 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2516 | $3,100 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1010 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 834 | $2,725 | $3.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 615 S 8th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1248 | $6,125 | $4.91 | 2d | 52 | 0.79mi |
| 2929 Chicago Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $2,350 | $1.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2929 Chicago Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1325 | $2,325 | $1.75 | 43d | 2 | 0.81mi |
| 1111 3rd Ave S Unit 1511914P Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $9,693 | $8.97 | 3d | 2 | 0.81mi |
| 650 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1104 | $4,141 | $3.75 | 3d | 18 | 0.91mi |
| 600 5th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $3,315 | $3.62 | 2d | 9 | 0.97mi |
| 2821 1st Ave S Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1743 | $1,600 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 700 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 897 | $3,995 | $4.45 | 2d | 26 | 1.04mi |
| 1369 Spruce Pl Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1396 | $6,750 | $4.83 | 3d | 24 | 1.05mi |
| 511 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $2,945 | $3.34 | 2d | 11 | 1.06mi |
| 2217 Grand Ave S Unit 2215 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 608 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $2,300 | $2.30 | 2d | 34 | 1.12mi |
| 240 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1047 | $3,875 | $3.70 | 3d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 212 10th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1490 | $8,588 | $5.76 | 2d | 10 | 1.16mi |
| 500 W Franklin Ave #306 Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,995 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 500 W Franklin Ave Apt 204 Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $1,895 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 250 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $3,372 | $3.74 | 3d | 11 | 1.17mi |
| 1120 S 2nd St #213 Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $3,895 | $2.54 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 415 Oak Grove St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1019 | $3,590 | $3.52 | 3d | 12 | 1.21mi |
| 101 S 5th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1249 | $4,049 | $3.24 | 2d | 35 | 1.21mi |
| 430 Oak Grove St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1085 | $4,450 | $4.10 | 13d | 7 | 1.25mi |
| 2016 25th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 465 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1153 | $4,620 | $4.01 | 2d | 14 | 1.28mi |
| 400 Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1103 | $5,615 | $5.09 | 2d | 14 | 1.29mi |
| 365 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1656 | $9,753 | $5.89 | 3d | 33 | 1.32mi |
| 3322 Clinton Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,995 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 412 E 34th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1763 | $1,800 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2709 Aldrich Ave S Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1850 | $2,289 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2709 Aldrich Ave S Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1850 | $2,289 | $1.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 270 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1505 | $9,421 | $6.26 | 2d | 54 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-03status $245,000 Pending 43 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $250,000 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
From the moment you arrive, this home makes a lasting impression. A grand wraparound porch welcomes you in and offers sweeping views of the Minneapolis skyline. Inside, timeless character shines through rich natural woodwork, high ceilings, and hardwood floors throughout the home. The main level offers an inviting and functional layout with a spacious living room, formal dining room, den or office currently used as a bedroom, a full bath, and a conveniently located laundry room. The kitchen also enjoys a beautiful skyline view. Upstairs, you will find three generously sized bedrooms, a full bath, and abundant closet and storage space. The full unfinished basement offers excellent potential to build equity and finish according to your needs. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard, an oversized two-car detached garage, and two additional parking spaces. Rarely does a home offer this kind of presence with a skyline view to match. This is one you need to experience in person.
-
2026-05-01price $284,900 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
From the moment you arrive, this home makes a lasting impression. A grand wraparound porch welcomes you in and offers sweeping views of the Minneapolis skyline. Inside, timeless character shines through rich natural woodwork, high ceilings, and hardwood floors throughout the home. The main level offers an inviting and functional layout with a spacious living room, formal dining room, den or office currently used as a bedroom, a full bath, and a conveniently located laundry room. The kitchen also enjoys a beautiful skyline view. Upstairs, you will find three generously sized bedrooms, a full bath, and abundant closet and storage space. The full unfinished basement offers excellent potential to build equity and finish according to your needs. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard, an oversized two-car detached garage, and two additional parking spaces. Rarely does a home offer this kind of presence with a skyline view to match. This is one you need to experience in person.
-
2026-04-23price $289,900 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
From the moment you arrive, this home makes a lasting impression. A grand wraparound porch welcomes you in and offers sweeping views of the Minneapolis skyline. Inside, timeless character shines through rich natural woodwork, high ceilings, and hardwood floors throughout the home. The main level offers an inviting and functional layout with a spacious living room, formal dining room, den or office currently used as a bedroom, a full bath, and a conveniently located laundry room. The kitchen also enjoys a beautiful skyline view. Upstairs, you will find three generously sized bedrooms, a full bath, and abundant closet and storage space. The full unfinished basement offers excellent potential to build equity and finish according to your needs. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard, an oversized two-car detached garage, and two additional parking spaces. Rarely does a home offer this kind of presence with a skyline view to match. This is one you need to experience in person.
-
2026-04-17$315,000 Active 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
From the moment you arrive, this home makes a lasting impression. A grand wraparound porch welcomes you in and offers sweeping views of the Minneapolis skyline. Inside, timeless character shines through rich natural woodwork, high ceilings, and hardwood floors throughout the home. The main level offers an inviting and functional layout with a spacious living room, formal dining room, den or office currently used as a bedroom, a full bath, and a conveniently located laundry room. The kitchen also enjoys a beautiful skyline view. Upstairs, you will find three generously sized bedrooms, a full bath, and abundant closet and storage space. The full unfinished basement offers excellent potential to build equity and finish according to your needs. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced backyard, an oversized two-car detached garage, and two additional parking spaces. Rarely does a home offer this kind of presence with a skyline view to match. This is one you need to experience in person.
-
2012-02-06historical 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
24HR NOTICE FOR ALL SHOWINGS. LARGE 4BR ON CORNER LOT IN THE HEART OF THE CITY. HIGH CEILINGS, NATURAL WOODWORK, HDWD FLRS, GRAND PORCH.
-
2012-02-03soldstatus $90,000
-
2012-02-02soldstatus $90,000 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
24HR NOTICE FOR ALL SHOWINGS. LARGE 4BR ON CORNER LOT IN THE HEART OF THE CITY. HIGH CEILINGS, NATURAL WOODWORK, HDWD FLRS, GRAND PORCH.
-
2011-06-28$99,900 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
24HR NOTICE FOR ALL SHOWINGS. LARGE 4BR ON CORNER LOT IN THE HEART OF THE CITY. HIGH CEILINGS, NATURAL WOODWORK, HDWD FLRS, GRAND PORCH.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,962 · $330/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,962 · $330/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$3,962
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,657
- − Management
- −$2,657
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable income
- $1,863
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$447
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,189/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,920
- Household income
- $41,940
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2999.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Native American 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.31%
- Current HPI
- 224.8886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+150.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $284,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $289,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Listed $315,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-06 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-02 Sold (MLS) $90,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-28 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,962 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…