205 SE Lynn Blvd #20 · Prineville, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.6
$88,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great price for so many updates! Double wide in family friendly park that has been well loved. Updated floors in living room and kitchen, newer paint throughout most of inside and out. Newer roof and many of the windows have been replaced in living room and most bedrooms. Bathrooms have been updated with newer toilets and showers. Carport and storage shed included. Decking has recently been stained.
Key facts
- Built 1972
- Listed 106 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $763 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 2.3% in Prineville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#117 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F, employment F.
- Crook County SD (town): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #19 of 58 in OR (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crooked River Elementary School (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #108 of 412 statewide, top 31%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Crook County Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #48 of 128 statewide, top 38%, 617 students, 36% FRL); Crook County High School (830 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 641 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 142 units permitted in Crook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crook County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $89k implies a 1382% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.79%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,000
- List price
- $88,900
- Delta
- -15.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 860 SE 6th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 946 (+8%) | 6mo | $321,500 | $340 | 57 |
| 706 SE 5th St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 946 (+8%) | 15mo | $350,000 | $370 | 53 |
| 705 SE Elm St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+19%) | 16mo | $285,000 | $272 | 52 |
| 185 NW Harwood St #32 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 960 (+9%) | 8mo | $161,000 | $168 | 46 |
| 407 SE 2nd St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (+21%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $258 | 41 |
| 293 NE 7th St | 0.79mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 944 (+7%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $318 | 41 |
| 775 SE Juniper St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+14%) | 10mo | $359,900 | $357 | 40 |
| 185 NW Harwood Ave #98 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+23%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $139 | 36 |
| 2240 SE Roadway Ln | 1.20mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,000 (+14%) | 5mo | $334,000 | $334 | 31 |
| 1298 NW Harwood St | 1.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 760 (-14%) | 3mo | $293,400 | $386 | 31 |
| 350 NE Mariposa Ave | 1.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+19%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $333 | 30 |
| 1552 NE Alabama Way | 1.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,054 (+20%) | 9mo | $345,000 | $327 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $36,952
- Equity at exit
- $13,255
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.28×
- Total profit
- $106,448
- Equity at exit
- $7,686
Cash invested: $24,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Median asking
- $775,000 ($718/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 155 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -83.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 97754
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 641
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,628 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$466
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $239/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $763
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $814 | -5% $788 | +0% $763 | +5% $738 | +10% $713 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $635 | -5% $699 | +0% $763 | +5% $827 | +10% $892 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $808 | -0.5pp $786 | base $763 | +0.5pp $740 | +1.0pp $717 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,225
- Closing costs
- $2,667
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 NE Saint Charles Way Prineville, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $2,260 | $2.41 | 62d | 185 | 1.06mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Manufacturer: HOMETTEMain level area approximately 880 (assessor)
- Financial info
- Lot rent listed monthly
- HOA & community
- Community provides sewer, trash and waterLocated in Dunaway Mobile Home Court (not senior-only)
Exterior
- Parking
- CarportDriveway
- Utilities
- ElectricityPublic waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Manufactured home in a parkSingle-story (main level living)Resale
- Construction
- Built in 1972Composition roofWood siding
- Exterior features
- YardWood sidingPaved road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalFree-standing rangeMicrowaveWater purifier
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom (Main level)Second bedroomThird bedroom
- Flooring
- Laminate flooringWall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Forced-air heatingNo central cooling
- Interior features
- Laminate flooringWall-to-wall carpetWasher and dryer included
- Laundry & utility
- Washer and dryer included
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $88,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $88,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $88,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $88,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $88,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $88,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $88,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $88,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $88,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $88,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $88,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $88,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $88,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $88,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $88,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $88,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $88,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $88,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $88,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $88,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-11pricedays on market $88,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $93,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $93,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $93,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $93,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $93,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $93,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $93,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $93,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $93,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $93,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $93,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $93,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $93,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $93,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $93,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $93,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $93,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $93,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $93,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $93,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $93,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $93,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $93,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $93,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $93,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $93,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $93,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Great price for so many updates! Double wide in family friendly park that has been well loved. Updated floors in living room and kitchen, newer paint throughout most of inside and out. Newer roof and many of the windows have been replaced in living room and most bedrooms. Bathrooms have been updated with newer toilets and showers. Carport and storage shed included. Decking has recently been stained.
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 45 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $239 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $862 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$623/yr (+$52/mo · 260.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,540
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,980
- − Property taxes
- −$239
- − Insurance
- −$444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,563
- − Management
- −$1,563
- − Depreciation
- −$2,586
- Taxable income
- $8,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,959
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates and improvements, making it a solid investment opportunity.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Stain or seal deck — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crook County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4103720
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,394
- Composite
- 33.22/100
- National rank
- #5527
- State rank
- #19 of 58 in OR
Livability — Prineville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #6885
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prineville, OR
- County
- Crook County · 23,232 people
- City population
- 22,960
- Metro
- Prineville, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,960
- Household income
- $77,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Crook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,232 people
- By 2030
- 23,833 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 24,531 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 24,639 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 24,026 · +3.4%
- By 2100
- 21,419 · -7.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Crook
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.8) · D 23.5% · R 74.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.4pp · 2024: -50.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.8 2020: R+48.5 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+36.5 2008: R+26.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.01%
- Current HPI
- 533.6457
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- Prineville, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+274.0% since first listed55 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $93,500 RMLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $93,500 MLSCO
- 2026-04-23 Listed $99,000 MLSCO
- 2026-04-23 Listed $99,000 RMLS
- 2021-09-22 Listing Removed — MLSCO
- 2021-08-31 Price Changed $74,900 MLSCO
- 2021-07-04 Price Changed $80,000 MLSCO
- 2021-06-22 Listed $90,000 MLSCO
- 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 2001-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2000-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1998-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $16,200 Public Records
- 1998-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
- 1998-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 1998-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $5,300 Public Records
- 1998-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $13,142 Public Records
- 1997-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $13,850 Public Records
- 1997-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
- 1997-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 1996-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $1,125,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 1996-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1996-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
- 1996-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1996-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $5,500 Public Records
- 1996-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $7,885 Public Records
- 1995-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1995-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
- 1995-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $19,595 Public Records
- 1994-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
- 1992-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
- 1991-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 1991-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
- 1991-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
- 1991-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,152 Public Records
- 1991-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1990-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
- 1990-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
- 1990-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
- 1989-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 1988-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1988-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 1987-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,878 Public Records
- 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
- 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,960 Public Records
- 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,900 Public Records
- 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+42.1%/yrLatest (2025): $239 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…