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205 SE Lynn Blvd #20
B+ Composite 77.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$93,500

205 SE Lynn Blvd #20 · Prineville, OR 97754
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · Manufactured public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1972 $106/sqft · 15% below area Est $110k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great price for so many updates! Double wide in family friendly park that has been well loved. Updated floors in living room and kitchen, newer paint throughout most of inside and out. Newer roof and many of the windows have been replaced in living room and most bedrooms. Bathrooms have been updated with newer toilets and showers. Carport and storage shed included. Decking has recently been stained.

Key facts

  • Built 1972
  • Listed 56 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manufacturer: HOMETTE; Main level area approximately 880 (assessor)
  • Financial info: Lot rent listed monthly
  • HOA & community: Community provides sewer, trash and water; Located in Dunaway Mobile Home Court (not senior-only)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Driveway
  • Utilities: Electricity; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Single-story (main level living); Resale
  • Construction: Built in 1972; Composition roof; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Yard; Wood siding; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing range; Microwave; Water purifier
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Second bedroom; Third bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet; Washer and dryer included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 2.1% in Prineville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#117 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Crook County SD (town): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #19 of 58 in OR (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Crooked River Elementary School (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #108 of 412 statewide, top 31%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Crook County Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #48 of 128 statewide, top 38%, 617 students, 36% FRL); Crook County High School (830 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 142 units permitted in Crook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $646 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crook County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $94k implies a 1458% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,695 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
20.25%
Cash-on-cash
49.83%
DSCR
3.22
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$110,000
List price
$93,500
Delta
-15.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
185 NW Harwood St #32 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 960 (+9%) 7mo $161,000 $168 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.3%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$57,600
Equity at exit
$13,941
10-year hold
IRR
55.5%
Equity multiple
6.89×
Total profit
$154,224
Equity at exit
$8,084

Cash invested: $26,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97754

Home prices YoY
-1.8%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
534
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,071 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$490
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $239/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$1,087

Break-even live

Break-even rent $695
Max offer price $93,500
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,375
Closing costs
$2,805
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
250 NE Saint Charles Way Prineville, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 938 $2,260 $2.41 13d 185 1.06mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $93,500 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $93,500 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $93,500 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $93,500 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $93,500 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $93,500 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $93,500 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $93,500 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $93,500 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Great price for so many updates! Double wide in family friendly park that has been well loved. Updated floors in living room and kitchen, newer paint throughout most of inside and out. Newer roof and many of the windows have been replaced in living room and most bedrooms. Bathrooms have been updated with newer toilets and showers. Carport and storage shed included. Decking has recently been stained.

  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $99,000 Active 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Great price for so many updates! Double wide in family friendly park that has been well loved. Updated floors in living room and kitchen, newer paint throughout most of inside and out. Newer roof and many of the windows have been replaced in living room and most bedrooms. Bathrooms have been updated with newer toilets and showers. Carport and storage shed included. Decking has recently been stained.

  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $99,000 Active 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Great price for so many updates! Double wide in family friendly park that has been well loved. Updated floors in living room and kitchen, newer paint throughout most of inside and out. Newer roof and many of the windows have been replaced in living room and most bedrooms. Bathrooms have been updated with newer toilets and showers. Carport and storage shed included. Decking has recently been stained.

  19. 2021-09-22
    historical
  20. 2021-08-31
    price $74,900
  21. 2021-07-04
    price $80,000
  22. 2021-06-22
    listed $90,000 Active
  23. 2002-05-01
    soldstatus $6,000
  24. 2002-05-01
    soldstatus $25,000
  25. 2001-11-01
    soldstatus $15,000
  26. 2000-02-07
    soldstatus $7,000
  27. 1998-10-09
    soldstatus $28,000
  28. 1998-08-03
    soldstatus $16,200
  29. 1998-07-21
    soldstatus $21,500
  30. 1998-05-22
    soldstatus $12,000
  31. 1998-05-18
    soldstatus $5,300
  32. 1998-04-10
    soldstatus $8,000
  33. 1998-03-20
    soldstatus $13,142
  34. 1997-11-18
    soldstatus $13,850
  35. 1997-04-21
    soldstatus $9,500
  36. 1997-03-18
    soldstatus $7,500
  37. 1996-11-05
    soldstatus $1,125,000
  38. 1996-08-02
    soldstatus $12,000
  39. 1996-07-01
    soldstatus $20,000
  40. 1996-06-06
    soldstatus $11,000
  41. 1996-05-17
    soldstatus $17,500
  42. 1996-04-22
    soldstatus $10,000
  43. 1996-02-29
    soldstatus $5,500
  44. 1996-02-12
    soldstatus $7,885
  45. 1995-11-14
    soldstatus $26,000
  46. 1995-10-10
    soldstatus $10,500
  47. 1995-06-02
    soldstatus $19,595
  48. 1994-12-13
    soldstatus $32,500
  49. 1992-03-06
    soldstatus $16,500
  50. 1991-07-29
    soldstatus $7,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$239 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$907 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$668/yr (+$56/mo · 279.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,856
− Mortgage interest
−$5,237
− Property taxes
−$239
− Insurance
−$468
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,989
− Management
−$1,989
− Depreciation
−$2,720
Taxable income
$12,215
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,932
After-tax cash flow
$10,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crook County SD
NCES district ID
4103720
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,394
Composite
33.22/100
National rank
#5527
State rank
#19 of 58 in OR

Livability — Prineville

Score
71/100
State rank
#117
US rank
#6885

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prineville, OR
County
Crook County · 22,960 people
City population
22,960
Metro
Prineville, OR
Population (ZIP)
22,960
Household income
$77,199
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
481.0

Population outlook (Crook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,232 people
By 2030
23,833 · +2.6%
By 2040
24,531 · +5.6%
By 2050
24,639 · +6.1%
By 2075
24,026 · +3.4%
By 2100
21,419 · -7.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Crook

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 23.5% · R 74.3% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.4pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+48.5 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+36.5 2008: R+26.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.01%
Current HPI
533.6457
Rent YoY
▲ 4.67%
Metro
Prineville, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.0% since first listed
55 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $93,500 RMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $93,500 MLSCO
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $99,000 MLSCO
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $99,000 RMLS
  • 2021-09-22 Listing Removed MLSCO
  • 2021-08-31 Price Changed $74,900 MLSCO
  • 2021-07-04 Price Changed $80,000 MLSCO
  • 2021-06-22 Listed $90,000 MLSCO
  • 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
  • 2001-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 2000-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
  • 1998-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 1998-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $16,200 Public Records
  • 1998-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
  • 1998-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 1998-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $5,300 Public Records
  • 1998-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
  • 1998-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $13,142 Public Records
  • 1997-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $13,850 Public Records
  • 1997-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
  • 1997-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
  • 1996-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $1,125,000 Public Records
  • 1996-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 1996-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1996-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
  • 1996-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
  • 1996-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1996-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $5,500 Public Records
  • 1996-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $7,885 Public Records
  • 1995-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 1995-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
  • 1995-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $19,595 Public Records
  • 1994-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
  • 1992-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
  • 1991-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
  • 1991-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
  • 1991-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
  • 1991-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,152 Public Records
  • 1991-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
  • 1990-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
  • 1990-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
  • 1990-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
  • 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
  • 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
  • 1989-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
  • 1988-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 1988-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
  • 1987-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,878 Public Records
  • 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
  • 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,960 Public Records
  • 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
  • 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,900 Public Records
  • 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+42.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $239 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…