109 E Marion Dr · Dothan, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment for your personal residence or would make a great rental. Conveniently located in walking distance of the elementary school. HVAC and metal roof 2019. New LVP floors and ceiling fans throughout the home. Plumbing pipes under home updated as well as new sever line ran from the home to sewer tap. Covered front porch. Home sold "AS IS" All information to be confirmed by purchaser.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- New lvp floors
- New sewer line
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Selma Street Elementary School (math 13% / reading 33%, grade F, #431 of 627 statewide, top 69%, 413 students, 93% FRL); Dothan Preparatory Academy (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #163 of 257 statewide, top 64%, 1,133 students, 78% FRL); Dothan High School (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 1,454 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 59% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $110k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.77%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,032
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1102 Deborah St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,450 (+1%) | 2mo | $122,900 | $85 | 82 |
| 113 Naomi Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,399 (-2%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $39 | 81 |
| 109 E Marion Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (+9%) | 0mo | $114,000 | $73 | 80 |
| 121 Saint Johns St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,332 (-7%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $64 | 73 |
| 107 Timbers Dr | 0.24mi | 3/3.0 | 1,536 (+7%) | 9mo | $160,000 | $104 | 61 |
| 1127 Normandale Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-14%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $106 | 58 |
| 105 Woodcreek Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+11%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $119 | 57 |
| 105 Woodcreek Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+11%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $119 | 57 |
| 2023 Brackin Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-2%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 1103 Sassar St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (+8%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $97 | 51 |
| 1000 Martin St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,607 (+12%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $50 | 46 |
| 910 Agutha Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,249 (-13%) | 9mo | $149,000 | $119 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,879
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $18,788
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36301
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 410
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,178 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $690/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 Roebuck St Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1609 | $1,175 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1809 Haisten Dr Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $1,300 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 403 Holly Ln Dothan, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 43d | 4 | 0.92mi |
| 1658 W Main St Dothan, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 927 Honeysuckle Rd Dothan, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,245 | $1.19 | 43d | 8 | 1.21mi |
| 310 W Lafayette St Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1459 | $995 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-08price $109,900
-
2026-04-06status Active
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-03-12price $114,900
-
2026-02-06$119,900 Active
-
2024-10-05price $127,000
-
2024-07-18$130,000 Active
-
2019-09-25soldstatus $55,000
-
2018-06-14$59,900
-
2018-06-14$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $690 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $690 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,130
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$690
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,276
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$306
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,701/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dothan City
- NCES district ID
- 0101230
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,279
- Composite
- 24.56/100
- National rank
- #7640
- State rank
- #73 of 129 in AL
Livability — Dothan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #13662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dothan, AL
- City population
- 47,783
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,627
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,280 people
- By 2030
- 112,668 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 116,149 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 117,805 · +6.8%
- By 2075
- 118,577 · +7.5%
- By 2100
- 110,940 · +0.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.46%
- Current HPI
- 161.1212
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+83.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — SAMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $109,900 SAMLS
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — SAMLS
- 2026-03-24 Pending — SAMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $114,900 SAMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $119,900 SAMLS
- 2024-10-05 Price Changed $127,000 SAMLS
- 2024-07-18 Listed $130,000 SAMLS
- 2019-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-14 Listed $59,900 MAAR
- 2018-06-14 Listed $59,900 WBR
Property tax history
+14.2%/yrLatest (2025): $690 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…