402 N Wood St · Mulberry Grove, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
Key facts
- Built 1938
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,127 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Mulberry Grove CUSD 1 (rural): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #732 of 919 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Bond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Bond County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $120k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.06%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $18,720
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 N Maple St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,548 (+8%) | 5mo | $19,900 | $13 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $24,366
- Equity at exit
- $54,900
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $73,040
- Equity at exit
- $85,347
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62262
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,594/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$120,000 Active 245-char remark
-
2021-05-11soldstatus $66,000
-
2021-04-23status Pending 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2021-04-23soldstatus $66,000 Closed Sale 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2021-04-23soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2021-04-19status Pending
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2021-04-08historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2021-03-16status Active 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2021-03-16status Active
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2021-01-27status Contingent 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2021-01-27historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2020-11-03$73,500 Active
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2020-10-30$73,500 New 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
This 3 bedroom home with a nice eat in kitchen, has a nice large LR and family room, The back yard is nice and shaded with a nice 2 car garage . Come take a look, and make your memories
-
2006-09-14soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,594 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,159 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$565/yr (+$47/mo · 35.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,486
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,594
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$238
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$57
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,756/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mulberry Grove CUSD 1
- NCES district ID
- 1727450
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,252
- Composite
- 19.32/100
- National rank
- #13954
- State rank
- #732 of 919 in IL
Livability — Mulberry Grove
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1127
- US rank
- #21267
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mulberry Grove, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,887
Population outlook (Bond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,651 people
- By 2030
- 15,008 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 13,490 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 12,002 · -23.3%
- By 2075
- 9,019 · -42.4%
- By 2100
- 6,539 · -58.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bond
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.5% · R 71.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.5pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.14%
- Current HPI
- 133.1925
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $120,000 FSBO.com
- 2021-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-23 Sold (MLS) $66,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-23 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-19 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-08 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-16 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-16 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-27 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-27 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-03 Listed $73,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-30 Listed $73,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,594 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…