CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1456 Royal Rd
B- Composite 66.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

1456 Royal Rd · South Venice, FL 34293
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,597 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1971 8,000 sqft lot ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Discover 1456 Royal Rd in Venice, Florida, ideally located in the desirable South Venice community. This home offers two bedrooms, two bathrooms, plus a dedicated office and a versatile bonus room—providing plenty of space for work, guests, or hobbies. Bring your vision and finishing touches to make this the perfect seasonal retreat or year-round residence. Enjoy added peace of mind with no HOA fees and a location in a non-flood zone. South Venice offers an exceptional lifestyle with convenient access to nearby Gulf beaches, including Venice Beach and Manasota Key Beach. Take advantage of the unique South Venice ferry for beach access, explore n

Key facts

  • Dog-friendly parks
  • No hoa fees
  • Non-flood zone

Tags

DEDICATED OFFICEVERSATILE BONUS ROOMNO HOA FEESNON-FLOOD ZONENATURE TRAILSDOG-FRIENDLY PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned RSF3; No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: No HOA association; Community includes dog park, park and playground; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Facing southeast; Property condition: completed
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.18-acre lot (approx. 80 x 100)
  • Exterior features: Front porch and rear porch; Exterior lighting; Paved public-maintained road access; Lot located in county

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Inside utility / bonus room / den/office space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#549 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Taylor Ranch Elementary School (math 68% / reading 66%, grade B+, #450 of 2,144 statewide, top 22%, 901 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1247 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.00%
Cash-on-cash
13.23%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,466
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$31,729
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34293

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
1247
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,559 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,210/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$537
Net cashflow
$648

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,738
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-10
    listed $210,000 Active
  4. 2023-09-07
    soldstatus $395,000
  5. 2023-08-14
    price $269,000
  6. 2023-07-18
    listed $284,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,210 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,210 · $184/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,703
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,210
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,456
− Management
−$2,456
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$4,658
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,118
After-tax cash flow
$6,662/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — South Venice

Score
67/100
State rank
#549
US rank
#10377

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Venice, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
50,278
Household income
$90,038
Rent vs Own
11.3% rent · 88.7% own
Severe rent burden
548.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -355.64%
Current HPI
270.5242
Rent YoY
▲ 0.70%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-14 Price Changed $269,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-18 Listed $284,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,210 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…