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1324 Lebanon Ave
F Composite 29.82
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

1324 Lebanon Ave · Belleville, IL 62221
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 480 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1903 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfort, style, and a motivated seller open to offers! Featuring newer roof, A/C, furnace, and windows, the home has been thoughtfully updated for worry-free living. Freshly painted interiors showcase bright, open spaces with beautifully refinished hardwood floors. The kitchen includes a refrigerator, dishwasher, and wall-mounted TV. The spacious bedrooms provide a tranquil retreat, and an upstairs bonus room can function as office space or a non-conforming bedroom. The detached garage offers two 220-volt power sources, perfect for a workshop or EV charging. Conveniently located minutes from shops, restaurants, parks, and schools. Don't miss this opportunity! Additional Rooms: Mud Room

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Enclosed sunroom
  • Bonus room

Tags

BONUS ROOMEAT-IN KITCHENCOVERED FRONT PORCHENCLOSED SUNROOMDETACHED TWO-CAR GARAGEFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller open to concessions; Not available for lease (lease not considered)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 spaces; Garage faces rear with garage door opener; Additional parking with alley access and gravel surface
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, water, and sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One-and-a-half levels; Entry from front (front porch)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed front and side porches; Porch; Front yard and back yard; Level lot; Near public transit; Asphalt city street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the upper level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main/upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (29.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (29.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (29.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Jefferson Elem School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #850 of 2,056 statewide, top 45%, 351 students, 0% FRL); West Jr High School (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #482 of 665 statewide, top 73%, 422 students, 0% FRL); Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $150k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,810 (29.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.29%
Cash-on-cash
-7.15%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,400
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1922 E C St 0.54mi 1/1.0 (-1) 460 (-4%) 4mo $59,900 $130 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.1%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-35,713
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-31,447
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62221

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,059 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$-250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,375
Max offer price $105,810
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-165 -5% $-208 +0% $-250 +5% $-293 +10% $-335
Rent -10% $-334 -5% $-292 +0% $-250 +5% $-208 +10% $-167
Rate -1.0pp $-175 -0.5pp $-212 base $-250 +0.5pp $-289 +1.0pp $-329

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-21
    listed $150,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,850 · $238/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,128 · $261/mo
Expected delta
+$277/yr (+$23/mo · 9.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,706
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,016
− Management
−$1,016
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$5,693
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,366
After-tax cash flow
$-1,635/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
29,875
Household income
$82,271
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
658.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.50%
Current HPI
167.8124
Rent YoY
▲ 7.04%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $150,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-19 Coming Soon $150,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-12 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-12 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-07 Price Changed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-14 Price Changed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-04 Price Changed $134,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-24 Price Changed $138,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-13 Listed $142,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-09 Coming Soon $142,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2019-09-18 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-24 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-04 Price Changed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-04 Price Changed $54,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-12 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-24 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-07 Listed $62,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-19 Price Changed $58,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1999-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,850 · +23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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