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513 Fourth St
B Composite 74.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

513 Fourth St · Towanda, PA 18848
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · SingleFamily · 45 Days on market
Built 1925 3,920 sqft lot $65/sqft · 49% below area Est $146k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity Knocks for Investors & First-Time Buyers! Looking for your first flip, a single-family rental investment, or a home where you can build equity? This affordable 2-story home is priced to sell and leaves room in your budget for repairs and updates. With approximately 1,200 square feet, the home offers a spacious living room and large kitchen on the first floor, while upstairs features 2 bedrooms and a full bath. Outside, enjoy a private backyard, covered back deck, and a front porch perfect for relaxing and watching the neighborhood go by. Whether you are an investor, first-time buyer, or someone looking for an affordable fixer-upper, this property offers the chance to create value without the upkeep of a larger home. Affordable, easy to maintain, and full of potential—bring your ideas and make it your own!

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Front porch
  • Covered back deck

Tags

PRIVATE BACKYARDCOVERED BACK DECKFRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#661 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
  • Towanda Area SD (town): math 32% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #372 of 539 in PA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Towanda Area El Sch (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 443 students, 100% FRL); Towanda Area Jshs (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #287 of 437 statewide, top 66%, 720 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 43% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bradford County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
10.31%
Cash-on-cash
14.34%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$145,829
List price
$75,000
Delta
-48.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
223 Lombard St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,291 (+11%) 9mo $64,000 $50 50
21 Mechanic St 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,036 (-11%) 22mo $103,000 $99 49
104 Lombard St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,304 (+12%) 22mo $142,000 $109 35
940 &942 S Main St 0.71mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-7%) 21mo $91,500 $85 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$3,878
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$24,140
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18848

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,032 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,677/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $714
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $293 -5% $272 +0% $251 +5% $230 +10% $209
Rent -10% $169 -5% $210 +0% $251 +5% $292 +10% $333
Rate -1.0pp $289 -0.5pp $270 base $251 +0.5pp $232 +1.0pp $212

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    status $75,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 840-char remark
    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks for Investors & First-Time Buyers! Looking for your first flip, a single-family rental investment, or a home where you can build equity? This affordable 2-story home is priced to sell and leaves room in your budget for repairs and updates. With approximately 1,200 square feet, the home offers a spacious living room and large kitchen on the first floor, while upstairs features 2 bedrooms and a full bath. Outside, enjoy a private backyard, covered back deck, and a front porch perfect for relaxing and watching the neighborhood go by. Whether you are an investor, first-time buyer, or someone looking for an affordable fixer-upper, this property offers the chance to create value without the upkeep of a larger home. Affordable, easy to maintain, and full of potential—bring your ideas and make it your own!

  18. 2026-04-20
    listed $75,000 Active 840-char remark
    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks for Investors & First-Time Buyers! Looking for your first flip, a single-family rental investment, or a home where you can build equity? This affordable 2-story home is priced to sell and leaves room in your budget for repairs and updates. With approximately 1,200 square feet, the home offers a spacious living room and large kitchen on the first floor, while upstairs features 2 bedrooms and a full bath. Outside, enjoy a private backyard, covered back deck, and a front porch perfect for relaxing and watching the neighborhood go by. Whether you are an investor, first-time buyer, or someone looking for an affordable fixer-upper, this property offers the chance to create value without the upkeep of a larger home. Affordable, easy to maintain, and full of potential—bring your ideas and make it your own!

  19. 2010-10-01
    soldstatus $79,500
  20. 2009-10-08
    listed $64,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,677 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,677 · $140/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,384
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,677
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$991
− Management
−$991
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$1,968
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$472
After-tax cash flow
$2,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Towanda Area SD
NCES district ID
4223550
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$45,242
Composite
32.74/100
National rank
#5638
State rank
#372 of 539 in PA

Livability — Towanda

Score
72/100
State rank
#661
US rank
#6466

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Towanda, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,625

Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,236 people
By 2030
54,660 · -4.5%
By 2040
49,502 · -13.5%
By 2050
44,277 · -22.6%
By 2075
33,420 · -41.6%
By 2100
22,919 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Polish 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradford

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-29.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.57%
Current HPI
158.5429
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending NMPA
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $75,000 NMPA
  • 2010-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records
  • 2009-10-08 Listed $64,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,677 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…