1890 50th St · Marion, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $150 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath condo listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($428/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in IA, #633 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Linn-Mar Community School District (suburban): math 75% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #44 of 289 in IA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Linn Grove Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 412 students, 39% FRL); Excelsior Middle School (math 71% / reading 72%, grade A, #106 of 246 statewide, top 44%, 617 students, 28% FRL); Linn-Mar High School (math 73% / reading 78%, grade A-, #79 of 336 statewide, top 25%, 2,271 students, 23% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.78%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-18,733
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $34,755
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52302
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 455
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,978 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $36
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $146 | -5% $91 | +0% $36 | +5% $-19 | +10% $-75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-121 | -5% $-42 | +0% $36 | +5% $114 | +10% $192 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $134 | -0.5pp $85 | base $36 | +0.5pp $-15 | +1.0pp $-66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 49th St Marion, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,175 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3040 3rd Ave Marion, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2799 29th Ave Marion, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-21soldstatus $195,000
-
2026-03-02status Pending
-
2026-03-02$195,000 Active
-
2013-05-01soldstatus $133,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,274 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,274 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$3,274
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,899
- − Management
- −$1,899
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$2,709
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$650
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,079/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Linn-Mar Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1917220
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,473
- Composite
- 66.08/100
- National rank
- #440
- State rank
- #44 of 289 in IA
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #633
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, IA
- County
- Linn County · 179,860 people
- City population
- 42,706
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,706
- Household income
- $87,983
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 239,589 people
- By 2030
- 248,587 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 264,817 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 278,685 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 311,754 · +30.1%
- By 2100
- 336,773 · +40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.98%
- Current HPI
- 199.2949
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+46.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-02 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $195,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2013-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,274 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…