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223 Arby Dr
C+ Composite 60.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

223 Arby Dr · Hamilton, AL 35570
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,156 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1989 1.08 ac lot ↓ 55% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home to this spacious 4 bedroom 3 bath home sitting on an acre in the city limits of Hamilton. This home features hardwood floors, Roof-2019 and Central Unit - 2019, very spacious master bath, a second kitchenette and living area upstairs. Low Property Taxes. Buyer to verify all facts and measurements.

Key facts

  • Two kitchens
  • Expansive yard
  • Large lot

Tags

LARGE LOTTWO KITCHENSSPACIOUS FLOOR PLANEXPANSIVE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 1.08 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space; Carport
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built with vinyl siding and brick
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding and brick exterior

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Total of 9 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.0% in Hamilton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#190 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion County (rural): math 20% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #56 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,650 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.86%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-44
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$18,729
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35570

Home prices YoY
-7.8%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,076 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 663-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,350 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,350 · $113/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,912
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,033
− Management
−$1,033
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$1,386
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$333
After-tax cash flow
$2,404/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion County
NCES district ID
0102310
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,048
Composite
27.69/100
National rank
#6911
State rank
#56 of 129 in AL

Livability — Hamilton

Score
63/100
State rank
#190
US rank
#15568

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hamilton, AL
City population
10,621
Population (ZIP)
10,621

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,759 people
By 2030
27,834 · -3.2%
By 2040
25,974 · -9.7%
By 2050
24,129 · -16.1%
By 2075
20,179 · -29.8%
By 2100
16,341 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+81.7) · D 8.8% · R 90.5%
2008→2024 swing
-25.6pp toward R · 2008: -56.1pp · 2024: -81.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+81.7 2020: R+77.8 2016: R+76.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+56.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.98%
Current HPI
166.1943
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-55.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $90,000 Walker County Area MLS
  • 2022-11-04 Delisted Walker County Area MLS
  • 2022-11-04 Listed $199,900 Walker County Area MLS
  • 2022-11-04 Sold (MLS) $199,000 Walker County Area MLS
  • 2022-11-01 Sold (MLS) $199,000 VMLS
  • 2022-10-17 Pending VMLS
  • 2022-08-03 Relisted VMLS
  • 2022-07-06 Delisted VMLS
  • 2022-03-25 Listed $199,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+18.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,350 · +39.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…