11536 11536 Crestlake Village Dr · Riverview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely single family, two car garage home has 3 bedroom/2 bathrooms, neutral colors and wall to wall carpeting throughout and an enclosed backyard. A must see, stop by today!
Key facts
- Dog walks
- Excellent schools
- Swimming pools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association fee includes pool; Buyer approval required for association
- Financial info: CDD present; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Wise Properties Mgt, Ky Martin; Monthly HOA approximately $17.50 (annual fee $210); Association approval required; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, basketball court, dog park, playground, park, sidewalks; Deed restrictions and fence restrictions; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: No water source listed; Public sewer; High-speed internet and BB/HS internet available; Cable available and connected; Electricity available and connected; Fiber optics available; Phone service available; Fire hydrant nearby
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property; Planned Development (PD) zoning; Faces east; One level; Entry on main level
- Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built area details from public records
- Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Dog run; Vinyl fencing; Mature landscaping; Asphalt road access (public maintained road); Lot dimensions approximately 35' x 110'
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Ice maker; Kitchen reverse osmosis system; Microwave; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split-bedroom layout; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Aluminum window frames; Curtain rods
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry room; Inside utility (great room/inside utility listed as additional rooms)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $311k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (6.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $251k (19.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $251k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#134 in FL, #2,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Riverview High School (math 37% / reading 50%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 2,599 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 228 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $157k; list at $311k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.49%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-59,761
- Equity at exit
- $46,356
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-70,953
- Equity at exit
- $26,881
Cash invested: $87,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33569
- Home prices YoY
- -16.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,512 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,630
- Tax from tax record
- −$316 /mo · $3,786/yr
- Insurance
- −$130
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$527
- Net cashflow
- $-108
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,725
- Closing costs
- $9,327
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10310 Lakeside Vista Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $2,099 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10918 Winter Crest Dr Riverview, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 11106 Havasu Ct Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1343 | $2,100 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 11351 Coconut Island Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,015 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 11865 Mile Marsh Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2051 | $3,500 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 11865 Mile Marsh Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2053 | $3,500 | $1.70 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 11855 Mountain Retreat Ln Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,399 | $1.43 | 12d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11904 Stoneport Pl Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,399 | $1.43 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11888 Mountain Retreat Ln Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,299 | $1.37 | 20d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11415 Mountain Bay Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 11573 Hammocks Glade Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,765 | $1.93 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 11991 Stoneport Pl Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $2,699 | $1.54 | 12d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 11607 Storywood Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2079 | $2,500 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 11821 Stone Pine St Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $2,190 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11124 Running Pine Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2074 | $2,300 | $1.11 | 10d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11815 Stone Pine St Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $2,450 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11943 Stone Pine St Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $2,400 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10976 Verawood Dr Unit Lake Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,149 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10976 Verawood Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,149 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10710 Verawood Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 10903 Verawood Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10638 Laguna Plains Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2014 | $2,300 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 10540 Whispering Hammock Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $2,180 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 10611 Summer Azure Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1805 | $2,390 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11702 Miracle Mile Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $2,105 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10430 Whispering Hammock Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2086 | $2,495 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 12214 Legacy Bright St Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 10231 Opaline Sky Pl Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 10236 Bright Crystal Ave Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,750 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10631 Sweet Sapling St Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $2,224 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11220 Beeswing Pl Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,400 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11424 Sage Canyon Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11436 Ivy Flower Loop Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1341 | $2,170 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10553 Egret Haven Ln Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 11147 Rodeo Ln Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2056 | $2,350 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10621 Sweet Sapling St Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $2,224 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10615 Sweet Sapling St Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $2,224 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 10243 Allenwood Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $2,195 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10643 Lake Montauk Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1928 | $2,150 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 11535 Ivy Flower Loop Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1926 | $2,550 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-10price $310,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $302,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $310,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $310,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $310,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$319,900 Active
-
2017-08-07soldstatus $157,049 Sold 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Lovely single family, two car garage home has 3 bedroom/2 bathrooms, neutral colors and wall to wall carpeting throughout and an enclosed backyard. A must see, stop by today!
-
2017-07-05status Pending 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Lovely single family, two car garage home has 3 bedroom/2 bathrooms, neutral colors and wall to wall carpeting throughout and an enclosed backyard. A must see, stop by today!
-
2017-06-28status Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Lovely single family, two car garage home has 3 bedroom/2 bathrooms, neutral colors and wall to wall carpeting throughout and an enclosed backyard. A must see, stop by today!
-
2017-06-27status Pending 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Lovely single family, two car garage home has 3 bedroom/2 bathrooms, neutral colors and wall to wall carpeting throughout and an enclosed backyard. A must see, stop by today!
-
2017-06-05$148,400 Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Lovely single family, two car garage home has 3 bedroom/2 bathrooms, neutral colors and wall to wall carpeting throughout and an enclosed backyard. A must see, stop by today!
-
2002-07-25soldstatus $4,427,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,786 · $316/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,786 · $316/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,143
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,415
- − Property taxes
- −$3,786
- − Insurance
- −$1,554
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,411
- − Management
- −$2,411
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$9,044
- Taxable loss
- −$6,685
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,604
- After-tax cash flow
- $307/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Riverview
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #2000
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverview, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 137,988
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,867
- Household income
- $105,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 562.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 5% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.47%
- Current HPI
- 296.9169
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.00%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-92.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $319,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-07 Sold (MLS) $157,049 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-28 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-27 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-05 Listed $148,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $4,427,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,786 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…