1123 Hamilton St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enter this completely remodeled 3-bedroom home through a charming covered craftsman-style porch. New laminate flooring runs throughout the first and second floors, while a freshly painted interior fills the home with light. The kitchen boasts custom shaker cabinets and new counters, and the second-floor bath has been beautifully remodeled with an additional shower in the basement. Mechanical updates include a newer furnace, new hot water tank, and a brand-new roof being installed in 2024. This home is truly turn-key!
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- New counters
- 4,400 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.43%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $29,002
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 124.12%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1049 King St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,109 (-3%) | 3mo | $29,000 | $26 | 78 |
| 1119 Indiana Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (+6%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $41 | 67 |
| 834 Nebraska Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,199 (+5%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $29 | 65 |
| 1155 Pinewood Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,192 (+4%) | 6mo | $54,000 | $45 | 62 |
| 1321 Gordon St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,131 (-1%) | 5mo | $70,600 | $62 | 61 |
| 1038 Pinewood Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,203 (+5%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $74 | 60 |
| 1557 Indiana Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,161 (+2%) | 7mo | $87,000 | $75 | 58 |
| 1422 Tecumseh St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,298 (+14%) | 3mo | $16,700 | $13 | 57 |
| 1141 Pinewood Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,228 (+7%) | 4mo | $48,000 | $39 | 56 |
| 213 Dale St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+6%) | 3mo | $56,000 | $46 | 50 |
| 1534 Pinewood Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-10%) | 9mo | $74,900 | $73 | 41 |
| 1749 Hamilton St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,267 (+11%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $71 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $25,929
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $89,433
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43607
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,153 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $792/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $477
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1341 | $845 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1140 Palmwood Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $900 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1026 Oakwood Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 532 Carlton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 837 Colburn St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $700 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 837 Colburn St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $695 | $0.60 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 827 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $750 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 915 Woodstock Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 724 Spencer St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $645 | $0.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1133 Parkside Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $850 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2117 Clinton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,115 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,049 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 307 Danberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $950 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Enter this completely remodeled 3-bedroom home through a charming covered craftsman-style porch. New laminate flooring runs throughout the first and second floors, while a freshly painted interior fills the home with light. The kitchen boasts custom shaker cabinets and new counters, and the second-floor bath has been beautifully remodeled with an additional shower in the basement. Mechanical updates include a newer furnace, new hot water tank, and a brand-new roof being installed in 2024. This home is truly turn-key!
-
2026-04-29status Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Enter this completely remodeled 3-bedroom home through a charming covered craftsman-style porch. New laminate flooring runs throughout the first and second floors, while a freshly painted interior fills the home with light. The kitchen boasts custom shaker cabinets and new counters, and the second-floor bath has been beautifully remodeled with an additional shower in the basement. Mechanical updates include a newer furnace, new hot water tank, and a brand-new roof being installed in 2024. This home is truly turn-key!
-
2026-04-19status Pending 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Enter this completely remodeled 3-bedroom home through a charming covered craftsman-style porch. New laminate flooring runs throughout the first and second floors, while a freshly painted interior fills the home with light. The kitchen boasts custom shaker cabinets and new counters, and the second-floor bath has been beautifully remodeled with an additional shower in the basement. Mechanical updates include a newer furnace, new hot water tank, and a brand-new roof being installed in 2024. This home is truly turn-key!
-
2026-04-14price $65,000 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Enter this completely remodeled 3-bedroom home through a charming covered craftsman-style porch. New laminate flooring runs throughout the first and second floors, while a freshly painted interior fills the home with light. The kitchen boasts custom shaker cabinets and new counters, and the second-floor bath has been beautifully remodeled with an additional shower in the basement. Mechanical updates include a newer furnace, new hot water tank, and a brand-new roof being installed in 2024. This home is truly turn-key!
-
2026-03-18$75,000 Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Enter this completely remodeled 3-bedroom home through a charming covered craftsman-style porch. New laminate flooring runs throughout the first and second floors, while a freshly painted interior fills the home with light. The kitchen boasts custom shaker cabinets and new counters, and the second-floor bath has been beautifully remodeled with an additional shower in the basement. Mechanical updates include a newer furnace, new hot water tank, and a brand-new roof being installed in 2024. This home is truly turn-key!
-
2026-03-05status Active
-
2026-01-17status Pending
-
2026-01-17historical
-
2025-12-04price $75,000
-
2025-11-05price $84,900
-
2025-10-14price $75,000
-
2025-09-25historical $1,000
-
2025-09-17$89,900 Active
-
2025-09-11price $1,000
-
2025-08-28price $1,050
-
2025-08-12price $1,100
-
2025-07-18$1,150
-
2024-10-30soldstatus $75,000
-
2024-10-22soldstatus $75,000 Closed
-
2024-10-10status Pending
-
2024-10-04historical Contingent
-
2024-09-20status Active
-
2024-08-27historical Contingent
-
2024-08-22status Active
-
2024-07-16historical Contingent
-
2024-07-10$89,900 Active
-
2023-11-20historical $1,400
-
2023-10-21$1,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $792 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$111/yr (+$9/mo · 14.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$792
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,107
- − Management
- −$1,107
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,971
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,193
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,469
- Household income
- $41,335
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1157.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.58%
- Current HPI
- 175.2772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+4542.9% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — NORIS
- 2026-04-19 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $65,000 NORIS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $75,000 NORIS
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — NORIS
- 2026-01-17 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-01-17 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $75,000 NORIS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $84,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $75,000 NORIS
- 2025-09-25 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2025-09-17 Listed $89,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2025-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,150 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-22 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NORIS
- 2024-10-10 Pending — NORIS
- 2024-10-04 Contingent — NORIS
- 2024-09-20 Relisted — NORIS
- 2024-08-27 Contingent — NORIS
- 2024-08-22 Relisted — NORIS
- 2024-07-16 Contingent — NORIS
- 2024-07-10 Listed $89,900 NORIS
- 2023-11-20 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-21 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $792 · +27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…