1483 Rockdale Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investor opportunity in well-kept neighborhood! This 3/3 boasts a great bedroom/bathroom addition. With a little TLC, this one could easily return to its original luster.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1962
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-196/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $63k (3.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Brinkley Middle School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #165 of 179 statewide, top 93%, 354 students, 100% FRL); Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.05%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,410
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3815 Douglas Ave | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (+11%) | 3mo | $16,920 | $12 | 67 |
| 4328 California Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,308 (+6%) | 2mo | $72,500 | $55 | 62 |
| 4025 Carol Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (+7%) | 7mo | $67,500 | $51 | 51 |
| 4021 N Wabash St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (+9%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $43 | 49 |
| 571 Hickory Ridge Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (-0%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 3731 Brinkley Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (+14%) | 23mo | $130,000 | $93 | 48 |
| 3449 Fontaine Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (-7%) | 22mo | $77,000 | $67 | 45 |
| 1912 Overbrook Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,410 (+15%) | 17mo | $100,000 | $71 | 38 |
| 742 Montclair Pl | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,403 (+14%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $103 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $34,640
- Equity at exit
- $58,557
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.68×
- Total profit
- $103,379
- Equity at exit
- $126,281
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39213
- Home prices YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,088 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $-16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $29 | -5% $6 | +0% $-16 | +5% $-39 | +10% $-61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-102 | -5% $-59 | +0% $-16 | +5% $27 | +10% $70 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $16 | -0.5pp $0 | base $-16 | +0.5pp $-33 | +1.0pp $-50 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1175 Eminence Row Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3811 Mosley Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 533 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $820 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2475 Greenfield Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 963 Pine Lake Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3444 Martin Luther King Jr Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3434 Midlawn Ave Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $871 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Unit D Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $832 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Unit B Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $871 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-05-28status Pending
-
2025-05-12$65,000 Active
-
2022-04-08soldstatus
-
2011-08-01soldstatus
-
2006-02-01soldstatus
-
1962-10-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,054
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$5,444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,044
- − Management
- −$1,044
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable loss
- −$985
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$236
- After-tax cash flow
- $40/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,691
- Household income
- $29,541
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1138.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.42%
- Current HPI
- 329.1844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-28 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-05-12 Listed $65,000 MLSU
- 2022-04-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1962-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…