3411 Royal Carriage Dr · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$206,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW appliances, new paint, new light fixtures (updated to LED), new blinds, new carpet, and new hardware in a classic home! Located in the Carriage Hills neighborhood of Montgomery, this home boasts an expansive Great Room with a brick fireplace and built in shelving. In addition, there's a formal Living Room and a Formal Dining Room as well as a Breakfast Room. In the kitchen, the NEW granite counter tops steal the show but the brand new stainless steel appliances are runner up with the new back-splash following close behind. The Main Suite is quite spacious and offers two closets, double split vanities in the bathroom along with a separate shower. Between two of the remaining four guest rooms is a Jack and Jill bathroom. Out back you will find a large flat lawn, an attached workshop as well as a detached storage building. When it comes to finding a home with old-world style accompanied by modern era perks, this home fits the bill. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 0.42 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1973
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Irregular lot shape; Level lot; City lot
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Slab foundation; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered porch; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Self-cleaning oven; Disposal; Electric water heater; Breakfast nook
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms located on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Blinds; Storm door(s); Linen closet; Pull-down attic stairs; Separate shower; Workshop; Window treatments; Breakfast bar; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $206k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $206k).
- Recommended offer: $200k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Brewbaker Primary School (799 students, 78% FRL); Brewbaker Middle School (math 0% / reading 19%, grade F, #227 of 257 statewide, top 90%, 838 students, 91% FRL); Jefferson Davis High School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #258 of 305 statewide, top 85%, 1,522 students, 83% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,399/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2786% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $58k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $206k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.47%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,327
- List price
- $206,000
- Delta
- 4.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5743 Carriage Barn Ln | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,248 (-5%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $87 | 65 |
| 3243 Covered Bridge Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,126 (-10%) | 3mo | $187,000 | $88 | 63 |
| 5724 Carriage Brook Rd | 0.52mi | 5/3.0 | 2,200 (-7%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $118 | 57 |
| 5883 Bridle Path Ln | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,641 (+11%) | 4mo | $198,500 | $75 | 55 |
| 4513 Lisa Ct | 0.70mi | 5/3.0 | 2,493 (+5%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $114 | 52 |
| 5777 Carriage Barn Ln | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,631 (+11%) | 10mo | $237,000 | $90 | 52 |
| 3524 Coachman Rd | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,074 (-13%) | 12mo | $181,900 | $88 | 46 |
| 3616 Oak Shadow Ln | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,019 (-15%) | 6mo | $171,000 | $85 | 46 |
| 6401 Guiness Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,207 (-7%) | 8mo | $231,000 | $105 | 38 |
| 4518 Fairlane Ct | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,603 (+10%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $106 | 36 |
| 4525 Lisa Ct | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,022 (-15%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $106 | 31 |
| 6412 Ridgeside Blvd | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,719 (+14%) | 7mo | $362,000 | $133 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $63,064
- Equity at exit
- $30,715
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.60×
- Total profit
- $207,388
- Equity at exit
- $17,811
Cash invested: $57,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36116
- Home prices YoY
- -9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,399 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,080
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$86
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $1,368
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,485 | -5% $1,427 | +0% $1,368 | +5% $1,310 | +10% $1,252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,100 | -5% $1,234 | +0% $1,368 | +5% $1,503 | +10% $1,637 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,472 | -0.5pp $1,421 | base $1,368 | +0.5pp $1,315 | +1.0pp $1,261 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,500
- Closing costs
- $6,180
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5540 Ash Grove Cir Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1904 | $2,200 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4409 McCampbell Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,600 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2224 W Aberdeen Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1994 | $1,600 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4285 Shamrock Ln Unit 1043850P Montgomery, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1991 | $3,909 | $1.96 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2420 Haddington Rd Unit 1519890P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1679 | $4,483 | $2.67 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4318 White Acres Rd Unit 1043851P Montgomery, AL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2292 | $5,876 | $2.56 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $206,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $206,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $206,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $206,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $206,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $206,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $206,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $206,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $206,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $206,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $206,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $206,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $206,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $206,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $206,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $206,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-29$206,000 Active 811-char remark
-
2024-01-18historical $1,645
-
2023-12-22$1,645
-
2020-05-22soldstatus $130,000 972-char remark
Show marketing remark (972 chars)
NEW appliances, new paint, new light fixtures (updated to LED), new blinds, new carpet, and new hardware in a classic home! Located in the Carriage Hills neighborhood of Montgomery, this home boasts an expansive Great Room with a brick fireplace and built in shelving. In addition, there's a formal Living Room and a Formal Dining Room as well as a Breakfast Room. In the kitchen, the NEW granite counter tops steal the show but the brand new stainless steel appliances are runner up with the new back-splash following close behind. The Main Suite is quite spacious and offers two closets, double split vanities in the bathroom along with a separate shower. Between two of the remaining four guest rooms is a Jack and Jill bathroom. Out back you will find a large flat lawn, an attached workshop as well as a detached storage building. When it comes to finding a home with old-world style accompanied by modern era perks, this home fits the bill. Schedule a showing today!
-
2020-05-22soldstatus $130,000
Show marketing remark (972 chars)
NEW appliances, new paint, new light fixtures (updated to LED), new blinds, new carpet, and new hardware in a classic home! Located in the Carriage Hills neighborhood of Montgomery, this home boasts an expansive Great Room with a brick fireplace and built in shelving. In addition, there's a formal Living Room and a Formal Dining Room as well as a Breakfast Room. In the kitchen, the NEW granite counter tops steal the show but the brand new stainless steel appliances are runner up with the new back-splash following close behind. The Main Suite is quite spacious and offers two closets, double split vanities in the bathroom along with a separate shower. Between two of the remaining four guest rooms is a Jack and Jill bathroom. Out back you will find a large flat lawn, an attached workshop as well as a detached storage building. When it comes to finding a home with old-world style accompanied by modern era perks, this home fits the bill. Schedule a showing today!
-
2020-01-24$139,900 972-char remark
Show marketing remark (972 chars)
NEW appliances, new paint, new light fixtures (updated to LED), new blinds, new carpet, and new hardware in a classic home! Located in the Carriage Hills neighborhood of Montgomery, this home boasts an expansive Great Room with a brick fireplace and built in shelving. In addition, there's a formal Living Room and a Formal Dining Room as well as a Breakfast Room. In the kitchen, the NEW granite counter tops steal the show but the brand new stainless steel appliances are runner up with the new back-splash following close behind. The Main Suite is quite spacious and offers two closets, double split vanities in the bathroom along with a separate shower. Between two of the remaining four guest rooms is a Jack and Jill bathroom. Out back you will find a large flat lawn, an attached workshop as well as a detached storage building. When it comes to finding a home with old-world style accompanied by modern era perks, this home fits the bill. Schedule a showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,539
- − Property taxes
- −$1,805
- − Insurance
- −$1,030
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,263
- − Management
- −$3,263
- − Depreciation
- −$5,993
- Taxable income
- $13,892
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,334
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,087/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,250
- Household income
- $55,160
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2786.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 12% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.31%
- Current HPI
- 151.8598
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.65%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+47.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $206,000 MAAR
- 2024-01-18 Rental Removed $1,645 RENTLY
- 2023-12-22 Listed for Rent $1,645 RENTLY
- 2020-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2020-05-22 Sold (MLS) $130,000 MAAR
- 2020-01-24 Listed $139,900 MAAR
Property tax history
+14.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,805 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…