🌊 Lakefront
721 Taggart Ave · Big Stone Gap, VA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special situated on 1.6 Acres!!! Tennant just moved out just in time for a fresh rehab and move another one in! Also, could be a great flip opportunity! Includes Parcel #001106 & 001225
Key facts
- 1.6 acre lot
- Built 1983
- Listed 40 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured house (double wide); Single-family residence; One level; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Other exterior features; Level topography
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-528/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $27k (22.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($761 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $27k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 3.3% in Big Stone Gap — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#279 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Wise County Public School District (town): math 74% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #11 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Union High (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 601 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 55% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wise County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.98%
- DSCR
- 3.09
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,171
- List price
- $34,900
- Delta
- -62.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-8,197
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-9,691
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24219
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $761 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $250/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$160
- Net cashflow
- $-44
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $34,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $34,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $34,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $34,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $34,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $34,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $34,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $34,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $34,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$34,900 Active 200-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $250 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $286 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- +$36/yr (+$3/mo · 14.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥96°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$250
- − Insurance
- −$5,293
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$730
- − Management
- −$730
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable loss
- −$845
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$203
- After-tax cash flow
- $-325/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wise County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5104080
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,624
- Composite
- 63.37/100
- National rank
- #625
- State rank
- #11 of 131 in VA
Livability — Big Stone Gap
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #279
- US rank
- #10035
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Big Stone Gap, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,416
Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,714 people
- By 2030
- 33,742 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 29,870 · -16.4%
- By 2050
- 26,233 · -26.5%
- By 2075
- 18,296 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 12,147 · -66.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 10% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wise
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.3) · D 18.1% · R 81.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.7pp · 2024: -63.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.3 2020: R+61.7 2016: R+62.0 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+27.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.21%
- Current HPI
- 144.2927
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $34,900 TVRMLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $250 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…