317 W Glenn St · Shelburn, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$27,904
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enclosed front porch is L shaped and measures 5 x 12 on one side & 7 x 22 on other.
Key facts
- Enclosed front porch
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $28k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($987 rent vs $28k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#463 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Northeast School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #228 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($193 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sullivan County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 460 days — a 12% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 460 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 90.32%
- DSCR
- 5.02
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,734
- List price
- $27,904
- Delta
- -78.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318 W Mill St | 0.10mi | 2/1.5 | 1,152 (+1%) | 19mo | $125,000 | $109 | 76 |
| 217 N Alabama St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-4%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $136 | 71 |
| 111 W Jefferson St St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,215 (+6%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 428 W Jefferson St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,007 (-12%) | 2mo | $155,500 | $154 | 61 |
| 223 W Lincoln St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 975 (-15%) | 23mo | $49,900 | $51 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 99.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.74×
- Total profit
- $52,667
- Equity at exit
- $25,138
- IRR
- 94.7%
- Equity multiple
- 17.08×
- Total profit
- $125,670
- Equity at exit
- $54,211
Cash invested: $7,813 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47879
- Home prices YoY
- 27.5%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $987 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$146
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $408/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,976
- Closing costs
- $837
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $27,904 Active 460 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $27,904 Active 459 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $27,904 Active 458 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $27,904 Active 457 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $27,904 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $27,904 Active 454 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $27,904 Active 453 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $27,904 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $27,904 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $27,904 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $27,904 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $27,904 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $27,904 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,904 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,904 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $27,904 Active 440 DOM
-
2025-12-22price $27,904 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
Enclosed front porch is L shaped and measures 5 x 12 on one side & 7 x 22 on other.
-
2025-09-05price $28,405 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
Enclosed front porch is L shaped and measures 5 x 12 on one side & 7 x 22 on other.
-
2025-03-17$29,900 Active 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
Enclosed front porch is L shaped and measures 5 x 12 on one side & 7 x 22 on other.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $408 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $408 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,849
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,563
- − Property taxes
- −$408
- − Insurance
- −$140
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$948
- − Management
- −$948
- − Depreciation
- −$812
- Taxable income
- $7,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,687
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,370/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northeast School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1808160
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,565
- Composite
- 27.01/100
- National rank
- #7061
- State rank
- #228 of 301 in IN
Livability — Shelburn
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #463
- US rank
- #16331
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shelburn, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,120
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,313 people
- By 2030
- 19,908 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 19,009 · -6.4%
- By 2050
- 17,972 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 14,929 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 11,391 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.8% · R 75.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -52.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.7 2020: R+50.5 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 40.40%
- Current HPI
- 187.51
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $27,904 IRMLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $28,405 IRMLS
- 2025-03-17 Listed $29,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $408 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…