4 Rocket Cir · Rancho Cordova, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 30 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 34 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SINGLE WIDE IN TWILIGHT PARK IN RANCHO CORDOVA FOR ALL AGES. CUTE CUTE !! THIS HOME HAS BEEN RENOVATED & UPDATED. 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH. NEWER ITEMS INCLUDE: KITCHEN WITH LAMINATE COUNTERS, STAINLESS SINK, CABINETS, BUILT IN MICROWAVE, STAINLESS REFRIGERATOR, & F/S GAS STOVE. LAMINATE FLOORING, BLINDS, BATHROOM VANITY, FAUCETS & SINK INCLUDING BEAUTIFUL CIRCULAR SHOWER STALL. HOME HAS BEEN PAINTED - INTERIOR & EXTERIOR, VINYL SKIRTING & REBUILT STEPS & PORCH FOR BOTH FRONT & BACK DOORS. MINI SPLIT SYSTEM FOR HEAT & A/C & NEWER WATER HEATER. CUTE, FRESH, CLEAN & READY FOR SOMEONE TO CALL HOME. ENJOY THE OUTDOORS IN THE SPACIOUS BACKYARD
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Built in microwave
- Gas stove
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is not land-leased
- HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Guest parking available
- Utilities: Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Public water; Public sewer; Electric: other
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Single-wide; Built in 1966
- Construction: Vinyl skirting; Champion manufactured home
- Exterior features: Regular-shaped lot; Other roof type
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Shower stall
- Heating & cooling: Heating: see remarks / other; Cooling: see remarks / other
- Interior features: Great room living area; Laminate kitchen countertops; Pets allowed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.5% vs local median 3.0% in Rancho Cordova — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#268 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D.
- Folsom-Cordova Unified (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #365 of 517 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 466 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($156k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 93.63%
- DSCR
- 5.17
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.80×
- Total profit
- $94,971
- Equity at exit
- $44,954
- IRR
- 96.7%
- Equity multiple
- 16.88×
- Total profit
- $221,870
- Equity at exit
- $96,945
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95742
- Home prices YoY
- 28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 466
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,816 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $1,090
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,798
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,744
- − Management
- −$1,744
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $13,065
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,136
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,946/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Folsom-Cordova Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0613890
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -38.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,408
- Composite
- 24.49/100
- National rank
- #7656
- State rank
- #365 of 517 in CA
Livability — Rancho Cordova
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #9126
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 98,329
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,768
- Household income
- $155,855
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Other Indo-European 7% Tagalog/Filipino 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.05%
- Current HPI
- 236.1388
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.08%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $66 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…