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4 Rocket Cir
B+ Composite 78.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$49,900

4 Rocket Cir · Rancho Cordova, CA 95742
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 27 Days on market
Built 1966

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SINGLE WIDE IN TWILIGHT PARK IN RANCHO CORDOVA FOR ALL AGES. CUTE CUTE !! THIS HOME HAS BEEN RENOVATED & UPDATED. 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH. NEWER ITEMS INCLUDE: KITCHEN WITH LAMINATE COUNTERS, STAINLESS SINK, CABINETS, BUILT IN MICROWAVE, STAINLESS REFRIGERATOR, & F/S GAS STOVE. LAMINATE FLOORING, BLINDS, BATHROOM VANITY, FAUCETS & SINK INCLUDING BEAUTIFUL CIRCULAR SHOWER STALL. HOME HAS BEEN PAINTED - INTERIOR & EXTERIOR, VINYL SKIRTING & REBUILT STEPS & PORCH FOR BOTH FRONT & BACK DOORS. MINI SPLIT SYSTEM FOR HEAT & A/C & NEWER WATER HEATER. CUTE, FRESH, CLEAN & READY FOR SOMEONE TO CALL HOME. ENJOY THE OUTDOORS IN THE SPACIOUS BACKYARD

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Built in microwave
  • Gas stove

Tags

KITCHEN WITH LAMINATE COUNTERSSTAINLESS SINKBUILT IN MICROWAVESTAINLESS REFRIGERATORGAS STOVELAMINATE FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is not land-leased
  • HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Guest parking available
  • Utilities: Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Public water; Public sewer; Electric: other
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park; Single-wide; Built in 1966
  • Construction: Vinyl skirting; Champion manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Regular-shaped lot; Other roof type

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Shower stall
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: see remarks / other; Cooling: see remarks / other
  • Interior features: Great room living area; Laminate kitchen countertops; Pets allowed
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 32.5% vs local median 3.0% in Rancho Cordova — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#268 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D.
  • Folsom-Cordova Unified (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #365 of 517 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 466 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($156k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.64%
Cap rate
32.51%
Cash-on-cash
93.63%
DSCR
5.17
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.80×
Total profit
$94,971
Equity at exit
$44,954
10-year hold
IRR
96.7%
Equity multiple
16.88×
Total profit
$221,870
Equity at exit
$96,945

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95742

Home prices YoY
28.3%
Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
466
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,816 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$1,090

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,798
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,744
− Management
−$1,744
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$13,065
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,136
After-tax cash flow
$9,946/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Folsom-Cordova Unified
NCES district ID
0613890
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -38.00%
Median HH income
$75,408
Composite
24.49/100
National rank
#7656
State rank
#365 of 517 in CA

Livability — Rancho Cordova

Score
68/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#9126

Category grades

Amenities C Commute C- Cost of living F Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
98,329
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
17,768
Household income
$155,855
Rent vs Own
13.4% rent · 86.6% own
Severe rent burden
172.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
25% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Other Indo-European 7% Tagalog/Filipino 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.05%
Current HPI
236.1388
Rent YoY
▲ 2.08%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $66 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…