420 Carson St · Monongahela, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$83,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1,600+ sqft home sits on a quiet corner lot and offers endless potential for its next owner. The additional side lot adds valuable outdoor space and opens the door to countless possibilities. On top of that, a four-car detached garage is perfect for car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or anyone in need of serious storage. Step onto the spacious front porch and into a welcoming entryway that leads to a thoughtful layout with the living room to the left, dining room straight ahead, and a convenient updated first-floor bathroom. The generously sized kitchen and first-floor laundry area are ready for your personal updates and vision. Upstairs, you’ll find three well-sized bedrooms and a second full bathroom. With solid space, great bones, and room to make it your own, this home is ready for its next owner!
Key facts
- Front porch
- Corner lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.9% in Monongahela — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#629 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Ringgold SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #452 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $574 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.58%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,545
- List price
- $83,000
- Delta
- -7.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 7th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (+2%) | 9mo | $154,000 | $93 | 79 |
| 809 Thomas St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,713 (+5%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $50 | 72 |
| 908 Marne Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,603 (-2%) | 10mo | $54,900 | $34 | 71 |
| 1010 Thomas St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,584 (-3%) | 6mo | $27,000 | $17 | 67 |
| 1213 Corrin Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+0%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $95 | 67 |
| 612 Hancock St | 0.18mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,582 (-3%) | 18mo | $75,000 | $47 | 65 |
| 900 Lincoln St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-11%) | 7mo | $52,250 | $36 | 62 |
| 424 Hillman St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,513 (-7%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $152 | 62 |
| 518 Grant St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,480 (-9%) | 15mo | $47,500 | $32 | 57 |
| 802 Howard St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,842 (+13%) | 6mo | $42,500 | $23 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,147
- Equity at exit
- $12,376
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $22,162
- Equity at exit
- $7,176
Cash invested: $23,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15063
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,153 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,371/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,750
- Closing costs
- $2,490
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $83,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $83,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,500 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $87,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $87,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $87,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $87,500 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
This 1,600+ sqft home sits on a quiet corner lot and offers endless potential for its next owner. The additional side lot adds valuable outdoor space and opens the door to countless possibilities. On top of that, a four-car detached garage is perfect for car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or anyone in need of serious storage. Step onto the spacious front porch and into a welcoming entryway that leads to a thoughtful layout with the living room to the left, dining room straight ahead, and a convenient updated first-floor bathroom. The generously sized kitchen and first-floor laundry area are ready for your personal updates and vision. Upstairs, you’ll find three well-sized bedrooms and a second full bathroom. With solid space, great bones, and room to make it your own, this home is ready for its next owner!
-
2026-03-05price $92,500 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
This 1,600+ sqft home sits on a quiet corner lot and offers endless potential for its next owner. The additional side lot adds valuable outdoor space and opens the door to countless possibilities. On top of that, a four-car detached garage is perfect for car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or anyone in need of serious storage. Step onto the spacious front porch and into a welcoming entryway that leads to a thoughtful layout with the living room to the left, dining room straight ahead, and a convenient updated first-floor bathroom. The generously sized kitchen and first-floor laundry area are ready for your personal updates and vision. Upstairs, you’ll find three well-sized bedrooms and a second full bathroom. With solid space, great bones, and room to make it your own, this home is ready for its next owner!
-
2026-01-15$95,000 Active 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
This 1,600+ sqft home sits on a quiet corner lot and offers endless potential for its next owner. The additional side lot adds valuable outdoor space and opens the door to countless possibilities. On top of that, a four-car detached garage is perfect for car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or anyone in need of serious storage. Step onto the spacious front porch and into a welcoming entryway that leads to a thoughtful layout with the living room to the left, dining room straight ahead, and a convenient updated first-floor bathroom. The generously sized kitchen and first-floor laundry area are ready for your personal updates and vision. Upstairs, you’ll find three well-sized bedrooms and a second full bathroom. With solid space, great bones, and room to make it your own, this home is ready for its next owner!
-
2023-01-17soldstatus $80,000
-
2023-01-14status Pending 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
This house truly has something for everyone. It has 3 beds / 2 baths, an additional lot for the side yard and a 4 CAR GARAGE! The side yard is great for cookouts or cornhole. The front porch is perfect for a rocking chair and sipping a glass of tea. The 4 car garage is perfect for the car enthusiast as they tinker away and you still have room to store your motorcycles! You'll find hardwood floors throughout the first floor and a bathroom on the main floor and upstairs. the house is in "move in" condition, but could use some updates. This unique home has many things to offer your typical home in the area does not. What are you waiting for?
-
2023-01-12soldstatus $80,000 Closed 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
This house truly has something for everyone. It has 3 beds / 2 baths, an additional lot for the side yard and a 4 CAR GARAGE! The side yard is great for cookouts or cornhole. The front porch is perfect for a rocking chair and sipping a glass of tea. The 4 car garage is perfect for the car enthusiast as they tinker away and you still have room to store your motorcycles! You'll find hardwood floors throughout the first floor and a bathroom on the main floor and upstairs. the house is in "move in" condition, but could use some updates. This unique home has many things to offer your typical home in the area does not. What are you waiting for?
-
2022-11-20historical Contingent 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
This house truly has something for everyone. It has 3 beds / 2 baths, an additional lot for the side yard and a 4 CAR GARAGE! The side yard is great for cookouts or cornhole. The front porch is perfect for a rocking chair and sipping a glass of tea. The 4 car garage is perfect for the car enthusiast as they tinker away and you still have room to store your motorcycles! You'll find hardwood floors throughout the first floor and a bathroom on the main floor and upstairs. the house is in "move in" condition, but could use some updates. This unique home has many things to offer your typical home in the area does not. What are you waiting for?
-
2022-10-31price $105,000 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
This house truly has something for everyone. It has 3 beds / 2 baths, an additional lot for the side yard and a 4 CAR GARAGE! The side yard is great for cookouts or cornhole. The front porch is perfect for a rocking chair and sipping a glass of tea. The 4 car garage is perfect for the car enthusiast as they tinker away and you still have room to store your motorcycles! You'll find hardwood floors throughout the first floor and a bathroom on the main floor and upstairs. the house is in "move in" condition, but could use some updates. This unique home has many things to offer your typical home in the area does not. What are you waiting for?
-
2022-10-11$120,000 Active 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
This house truly has something for everyone. It has 3 beds / 2 baths, an additional lot for the side yard and a 4 CAR GARAGE! The side yard is great for cookouts or cornhole. The front porch is perfect for a rocking chair and sipping a glass of tea. The 4 car garage is perfect for the car enthusiast as they tinker away and you still have room to store your motorcycles! You'll find hardwood floors throughout the first floor and a bathroom on the main floor and upstairs. the house is in "move in" condition, but could use some updates. This unique home has many things to offer your typical home in the area does not. What are you waiting for?
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,371 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,371 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,649
- − Property taxes
- −$2,371
- − Insurance
- −$415
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,107
- − Management
- −$1,107
- − Depreciation
- −$2,415
- Taxable income
- $1,776
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$426
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,498/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ringgold SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220400
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,754
- Composite
- 23.75/100
- National rank
- #7819
- State rank
- #452 of 539 in PA
Livability — Monongahela
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #6064
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monongahela, PA
- City population
- 10,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,479
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.31%
- Current HPI
- 261.0334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-27.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $87,500 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $92,500 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $95,000 West Penn MLS
- 2023-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-14 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2023-01-12 Sold (MLS) $80,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-11-20 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2022-10-31 Price Changed $105,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-10-11 Listed $120,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,371 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…